Showing papers by "Chloe Orkin published in 2021"

Ethnicity and outcomes in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 infection in East London: an observational cohort study.

Abstract: Objective To describe outcomes within different ethnic groups of a cohort of hospitalised patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. To quantify and describe the impact of a number of prognostic factors, including frailty and inflammatory markers. Setting Five acute National Health Service Hospitals in east London. Design Prospectively defined observational study using registry data. Participants 1737 patients aged 16 years or over admitted to hospital with confirmed COVID-19 infection between 1 January and 13 May 2020. Main outcome measures The primary outcome was 30-day mortality from time of first hospital admission with COVID-19 diagnosis during or prior to admission. Secondary outcomes were 90-day mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, ICU and hospital length of stay and type and duration of organ support. Multivariable survival analyses were adjusted for potential confounders. Results 1737 were included in our analysis of whom 511 had died by day 30 (29%). 538 (31%) were from Asian, 340 (20%) black and 707 (40%) white backgrounds. Compared with white patients, those from minority ethnic backgrounds were younger, with differing comorbidity profiles and less frailty. Asian and black patients were more likely to be admitted to ICU and to receive invasive ventilation (OR 1.54, (95% CI 1.06 to 2.23); p=0.023 and OR 1.80 (95% CI 1.20 to 2.71); p=0.005, respectively). After adjustment for age and sex, patients from Asian (HR 1.49 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.86); p Conclusions Patients from Asian and black backgrounds had higher mortality from COVID-19 infection despite controlling for all previously identified confounders and frailty. Higher rates of invasive ventilation indicate greater acute disease severity. Our analyses suggest that patients of Asian and black backgrounds suffered disproportionate rates of premature death from COVID-19.

Decline in Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) Incidence in Men Who Have Sex With Men Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: Progress to HCV Microelimination in the United Kingdom?

Abstract: Background Modeling of the London hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic in men who have sex with men (MSM) and are living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) suggested that early access to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment may reduce incidence. With high rates of linkage to care, microelimination of HCV within MSM living with HIV may be realistic ahead of 2030 World Health Organization targets. We examined trends in HCV incidence in the pre- and post-DAA eras for MSM living with HIV in London and Brighton, United Kingdom. Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted at 5 HIV clinics in London and Brighton between 2013 and 2018. Each site reported all acute HCV episodes during the study period. Treatment timing data were collected. Incidence rates and reinfection proportion were calculated. Results A total of. 378 acute HCV infections were identified, comprising 292 first infections and 86 reinfections. Incidence rates of acute HCV in MSM living with HIV peaked at 14.57/1000 person-years of follow-up (PYFU; 95% confidence interval [CI], 10.95-18.20) in 2015. Rates fell to 4.63/1000 PYFU (95% CI, 2.60 to 6.67) by 2018. Time from diagnosis to starting treatment declined from 29.8 (2013) to 3.7 months (2018). Conclusions We observed a 78% reduction in the incidence of first HCV episode and a 68% reduction in overall HCV incidence since the epidemic peak in 2015, which coincides with wider access to DAAs in England. Further interventions to reduce transmission, including earlier access to treatment and for reinfection, are likely needed for microelimination to be achieved in this population.

Weight Change Following Antiretroviral Therapy Switch in People with Viral Suppression: Pooled Data from Randomized Clinical Trials

Abstract: BACKGROUND We sought to identify factors associated with weight gain in randomized clinical trials of antiretroviral therapy (ART) switch. METHODS We explored the effects of demographic factors, clinical characteristics, and ART on weight gain in a pooled analysis of 12 prospective clinical trials, wherein virologically suppressed people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) were randomized to switch or remain on a stable baseline regimen (SBR). RESULTS Both PWH randomized to switch ART (n = 4166) and those remaining on SBR (n = 3150) gained weight. Median weight gain was greater in those who switched (1.6 kg, interquartile range [IQR], -.05 to 4.0 vs 0.4 kg, [IQR], -1.8 to 2.4 at 48 weeks, P < .0001), with most weight gain occurring in the first 24 weeks after switch. Among baseline demographic and clinical characteristics, only younger age and lower baseline body mass index were associated with any or ≥10% weight gain. By week 48, 4.6% gained ≥10% weight (6.4% of switch and 2.2% of SBR), the greatest risk was with switch from efavirenz (EFV) to rilpivirine (RPV) or elvitegravir/cobicistat and switch from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) to tenofovir alafenamide (TAF). Switch from abacavir to TAF was associated with less weight gain than switch from TDF to TAF and was not associated with increased risk for ≥10% weight gain. CONCLUSIONS Moderate weight gain after ART switch was common and usually plateaued by 48 weeks. Baseline ART was a predictor of post-switch weight gain; participants who switched off of EFV and TDF had the greatest weight gain. The biological mechanisms that underlie the differential effects of switching ART agents on weight and associated clinical implications require further study.

Changes in weight and BMI with first-line doravirine-based therapy.

Abstract: Objective To evaluate changes in weight and BMI in adults with HIV-1 at 1 and 2 years after starting an antiretroviral regimen that included doravirine, ritonavir-boosted darunavir, or efavirenz. Design Post-hoc analysis of pooled data from three randomized controlled trials. Methods We evaluated weight change from baseline, weight gain at least 10%, and increase in BMI after 48 and 96 weeks of treatment with doravirine, ritonavir-boosted darunavir, or efavirenz-based regimens. Risk factors for weight gain and metabolic outcomes associated with weight gain were also examined. Results Mean (and median) weight changes were similar for doravirine [1.7 (1.0) kg] and ritonavir-boosted darunavir [1.4 (0.6) kg] and were lower for efavirenz [0.6 (0.0) kg] at week 48 but were similar across all treatment groups at week 96 [2.4 (1.5), 1.8 (0.7), and 1.6 (1.0) kg, respectively]. No significant differences between treatment groups were found in the proportion of participants with at least 10% weight gain or the proportion with BMI class increase at either time point. Low CD4 T-cell count and high HIV-1 RNA at baseline were associated with at least 10% weight gain and BMI class increase at both timepoints, but treatment group, age, sex, and race were not. Conclusion Weight gains over 96 weeks were low in all treatment groups and were similar to the average yearly change in adults without HIV-1. Significant weight gain and BMI class increase were similar across the treatment groups and were predicted by low baseline CD4 T-cell count and high baseline HIV-1 RNA.

Acute kidney injury in COVID-19: multicentre prospective analysis of registry data.

Abstract: Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and important complication of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Further characterization is required to reduce both short- and long-term adverse outcomes. Methods: We examined registry data including adults with confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection admitted to five London Hospitals from 1 January to 14 May 2020. Prior end-stage kidney disease was excluded. Early AKI was defined by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes creatinine criteria within 7 days of admission. Independent associations of AKI and survival were examined in multivariable analysis. Results are given as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: Among 1855 admissions, 455 patients (24.5%) developed early AKI: 200 (44.0%) Stage 1, 90 (19.8%) Stage 2 and 165 (36.3%) Stage 3 (74 receiving renal replacement therapy). The strongest risk factor for AKI was high C-reactive protein [OR 3.35 (2.53-4.47), P < 0.001]. Death within 30 days occurred in 242 (53.2%) with AKI compared with 255 (18.2%) without. In multivariable analysis, increasing severity of AKI was incrementally associated with higher mortality: Stage 3 [HR 3.93 (3.04-5.08), P < 0.001]. In 333 patients with AKI surviving to Day 7, 134 (40.2%) recovered, 47 (14.1%) recovered then relapsed and 152 (45.6%) had persistent AKI at Day 7; an additional 105 (8.2%) patients developed AKI after Day 7. Persistent AKI was strongly associated with adjusted mortality at 90 days [OR 7.57 (4.50-12.89), P < 0.001]. Conclusions: AKI affected one in four hospital in-patients with COVID-19 and significantly increased mortality. Timing and recovery of COVID-19 AKI is a key determinant of outcome.

Clinical outcomes of patients with and without HIV hospitalized with COVID-19 in England during the early stages of the pandemic: a matched retrospective multi-centre analysis (RECEDE-C19 study).

Abstract: Background The contribution of HIV to COVID-19 outcomes in hospitalized inpatients remains unclear. We conducted a multi-centre, retrospective matched cohort study of SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive hospital inpatients analysed by HIV status. Methods HIV-negative patients were matched to people living with HIV (PLWH) admitted from 1 February 2020 to 31 May 2020 up to a 3:1 ratio by the following: hospital site, SARS-CoV-2 test date ± 7 days, age ± 5 years, gender, and index of multiple deprivation decile ± 1. The primary objective was clinical improvement (two-point improvement or better on a seven-point ordinal scale) or hospital discharge by day 28, whichever was earlier. Results A total of 68 PLWH and 181 HIV-negative comparators were included. In unadjusted analyses, PLWH had a reduced hazard of achieving clinical improvement or discharge [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.57, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.85, p = 0.005], but this association was ameliorated (aHR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.43-1.17, p = 0.18) after additional adjustment for ethnicity, frailty, baseline hypoxaemia, duration of symptoms prior to baseline, body mass index (BMI) categories and comorbidities. Baseline frailty (aHR = 0.79, 95% CI: 0.65-0.95, p = 0.011), malignancy (aHR = 0.37, 95% CI 0.17, 0.82, p = 0.014) remained associated with poorer outcomes. The PLWH were more likely to be of black, Asian and minority ethnic background (75.0% vs 48.6%, p = 0.0002), higher median clinical frailty score [3 × interquartile range (IQR): 2-5 vs, 2 × IQR: 1-4, p = 0.0069), and to have a non-significantly higher proportion of active malignancy (14.4% vs 9.9%, p = 0.29). Conclusions Adjusting for confounding comorbidities and demographics in a matched cohort ameliorated differences in outcomes of PLWH hospitalized with COVID-19, highlighting the importance of an appropriate comparison group when assessing outcomes of PLWH hospitalized with COVID-19.

Long-acting injectable HIV therapies: the next frontier

Abstract: Purpose of review There has been significant development of long-acting injectable therapy for the management of HIV in recent years that has the potential to revolutionise HIV care as we know it. This review summarises the data and outlines the potential challenges in the field of long-acting antiretroviral therapy (ART). Recent findings In recent years, monthly and two monthly long-acting injectable ART in the form of cabotegravir and rilpivirine has shown safety and efficacy in large-scale phase 3 randomised control trials. Also, agents with novel mechanisms of action, such as Lenacapavir, have been tested in early-phase studies and are currently being tested in phase 2-3 clinical trials; if successful, this may allow six-monthly dosing schedules. Summary However, despite evidence that suggests that these therapies are efficacious and acceptable to patients, the challenge of integrating these agents into our current healthcare infrastructure and making these novel agents cost-effective and available to the populations most likely to benefit remains. The next frontier for long-acting therapy will be to introduce these agents in a real-world setting ensuring that the groups most in need of long-acting therapy are not left behind.

Implementing U=U in clinical practice: results of a British HIV association members survey.

Abstract: In 2016, the Prevention Access Campaign, launched the Undetectable=Untransmittable statement.1 U=U is arguably the single most important communication for people living with HIV and is based on a solid foundation of scientific evidence. The zero risk of sexual …

Efficacy, safety and CNS effects after switch from efavirenz/tenofovir/emtricitabine to doravirine/tenofovir/lamivudine in a randomized controlled trial

Abstract: OBJECTIVE Doravirine is an alternative treatment option for individuals who do not tolerate efavirenz. We assessed efficacy, safety, and CNS effects in adults with HIV-1 and CNS complaints who switched from an efavirenz-based regimen to a doravirine-based regimen. DESIGN Multicenter, double-blind, randomized trial (NCT02652260). METHODS Virologically suppressed adults receiving efavirenz/emtricitabine/tenofovir (EFV/FTC/TDF), or its components, with ongoing EFV-associated CNS toxicity grade 2 or higher (DAIDS criteria) were switched to doravirine/lamivudine/tenofovir (DOR/3TC/TDF) on day 1 (Immediate Switch Group [ISG]) or after 12 weeks (Deferred Switch Group [DSG]). CNS toxicity data were collected by self-administered questionnaire. The primary endpoint was the proportion of participants with any grade 2 or higher CNS toxicity at week 12. Secondary endpoints included virologic response and effect on fasting lipids. RESULTS Eighty-six participants (58% men, 56% black, median age 41 years, median 4 years on prior EFV regimen) were enrolled (43 ISG, 43 DSG) and included in the analyses. At week 12, 42% of ISG and 37% of DSG had at least 1 grade 2 or higher CNS toxicity [difference 4.7%, 95% CI (-16 to 25%); P = 0.33]. At 24 weeks postswitch, HIV-1 RNA less than 50 copies/ml was maintained in 95.3% of participants, and fasting lipids were significantly decreased (LDL-cholesterol -11.0, non-HDL-cholesterol -13.2, HDL-cholesterol -7.7, total cholesterol -20.9, and triglycerides -13.0 mg/dl). CONCLUSION In participants who had CNS complaints while receiving EFV/FTC/TDF, improvement in CNS toxicities attributable to EFV was not significantly different after switching to DOR/3TC/TDF compared with remaining on EFV/FTC/TDF. Virologic efficacy was maintained and lipid profiles improved after switching to DOR/3TC/TDF.

Long-acting injectable HIV therapies: the next frontier: Republication.

Abstract: Purpose of review There has been significant development of long-acting injectable therapy for the management of HIV in recent years that has the potential to revolutionise HIV care as we know it. This review summarises the data and outlines the potential challenges in the field of long-acting antiretroviral therapy (ART). Recent findings In recent years, monthly and two monthly long-acting injectable ART in the form of cabotegravir and rilpivirine has shown safety and efficacy in large-scale phase 3 randomised control trials. Also, agents with novel mechanisms of action, such as Lenacapavir, have been tested in early-phase studies and are currently being tested in phase 2-3 clinical trials; if successful, this may allow six-monthly dosing schedules. Summary However, despite evidence that suggests that these therapies are efficacious and acceptable to patients, the challenge of integrating these agents into our current healthcare infrastructure and making these novel agents cost-effective and available to the populations most likely to benefit remains. The next frontier for long-acting therapy will be to introduce these agents in a real-world setting ensuring that the groups most in need of long-acting therapy are not left behind.

Brief Report: Efficacy and Safety of Bictegravir/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide in Females Living With HIV: An Integrated Analysis of 5 Trials.

Abstract: Background We characterized the efficacy and safety of bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (B/F/TAF) in a broad population of pediatric/adolescent/adult/elderly females living with HIV (FWH). Setting Integrated analysis. Methods Available data from 5 trials were integrated. Week 48 virologic suppression (HIV-1 RNA Results 373 FWH (304 virologically suppressed; 69 antiretroviral therapy [ART]-naive) received B/F/TAF (data from comparator regimens available for 306 [236 virologically suppressed; 70 ART-naive]). Virologic suppression rates with B/F/TAF at week 48 were high regardless of age, in participants virologically suppressed at baseline (≥95%) and in ART-naive participants (≥87%). Virologic suppression rates were similar between B/F/TAF and comparator regimens (both virologically suppressed/ART-naive). Treatment-emergent resistance was not detected in the B/F/TAF group. AEs considered related to study drugs were experienced by 9.2% (B/F/TAF) and 5.5% (comparator regimens) of virologically suppressed participants and 15.9% (B/F/TAF) and 31.4% (comparator regimens) of ART-naive participants. For virologically suppressed and ART-naive FWH combined, only 1/373 B/F/TAF-treated and 2/306 comparator-regimen participants discontinued due to AEs (none were bone/renal/hepatic AEs); grade 3/4 AEs were experienced by 5.1% (B/F/TAF) and 7.8% (comparator regimen); and grade 3/4 elevation of low-density lipoprotein/total cholesterol occurred in 2.7%/0.3% (B/F/TAF) and 5.9%/2.0% (comparator regimen). At week 48, median changes from baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate in adults were Conclusion B/F/TAF treatment was effective and well tolerated over 48 weeks, confirming B/F/TAF as an option for a broad population of FWH.

Ethnic disparities in hospitalisation and hospital-outcomes during the second wave of COVID-19 infection in east London

Abstract: ObjectivesTo determine if changes in public behaviours, developments in COVID-19 treatments, improved patient care, and directed policy initiatives have altered outcomes for minority ethnic groups in the second pandemic wave. DesignProspectively defined observational study using registry data. SettingFour acute NHS Hospitals in east London. ParticipantsPatients aged [≥]16 years with an emergency hospital admission with SARS-CoV-2 infection between 1st September 2020 and 17th February 2021. Main outcome measuresPrimary outcome was 30-day mortality from time of index COVID-19 hospital admission. Secondary endpoints were 90-day mortality and need for ICU admission. Multivariable survival analysis was used to assess associations between ethnicity and mortality accounting for predefined risk factors. Age-standardised rates of hospital admission relative to the local population were compared between ethnic groups. ResultsOf 5533 patients, the ethnic distribution was White (n=1805, 32.6%), Asian/Asian British (n=1983, 35.8%), Black/Black British (n=634, 11.4%), Mixed/Other (n=433, 7.8%), and unknown (n=678, 12.2%). Excluding 678 patients with missing data, 4855 were included in multivariable analysis. Relative to the White population, Asian and Black populations experienced 4.1 times (3.77-4.39) and 2.1 times (1.88-2.33) higher rates of age-standardised hospital admission. After adjustment for various patient risk factors including age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation, Asian patients were at significantly higher risk of death within 30 days (HR 1.47 [1.24-1.73]). No association with increased risk of death in hospitalised patients was observed for Black or Mixed/Other ethnicity. ConclusionsAsian and Black ethnic groups continue to experience poor outcomes following COVID-19. Despite higher-than-expected rates of admission, Black and Asian patients experienced similar or greater risk of death in hospital, implying a higher overall risk of COVID-19 associated death in these communities. Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIThis study represents one of the largest descriptors of outcomes in minority ethnic patients with COVID-19 distinguished by the majority ethnically diverse cohort within a catchment area of approximately one million people in the east of London. C_LIO_LILarge absolute numbers of patients drawn from a single geographic region and treated within the same hospital system minimize many of the geographic biases present within other studies including the impact of variation in transmission risk. C_LIO_LIOur analyses are strengthened by adherence to a prespecified analysis plan, inclusion of a detailed baseline, comorbidity, and COVID-19 risk factors in multivariable modelling, and sensitivity tests using different measures of comorbidity. C_LIO_LIHowever as with all observational studies, not all potential contributing risk factors could be assessed, including other measures of baseline health status such as nutritional or lifestyle influences as well as contextual factors such as household composition and occupation. C_LIO_LIWe were not able to include suspected but not proven COVID-19 cases or community cases not requiring hospital admission or the effect of the differing viral strains in the first and second wave. C_LI