Statistical method for testing the neutral mutation hypothesis by DNA polymorphism.

Background and Methods National surveillance data show recent, marked reductions in morbidity and mortality associated with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). To evaluate these declines, we analyzed data on 1255 patients, each of whom had at least one CD4+ count below 100 cells per cubic millimeter, who were seen at nine clinics specializing in the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in eight U.S. cities from January 1994 through June 1997. Results Mortality among the patients declined from 29.4 per 100 person-years in 1995 to 8.8 per 100 person-years in the second quarter of 1997. There were reductions in mortality regardless of sex, race, age, and risk factors for transmission of HIV. The incidence of any of three major opportunistic infections (Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia, Mycobacterium avium complex disease, and cytomegalovirus retinitis) declined from 21.9 per 100 person-years in 1994 to 3.7 per 100 person-years by mid-1997. In a failure-rate model, increases in t...

Declining morbidity and mortality among patients with advanced human immunodeficiency virus infection. HIV Outpatient Study Investigators.

Background Antiretroviral therapy that reduces viral replication could limit the transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) in serodiscordant couples. Methods In nine countries, we...

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Prevention of HIV-1 Infection with Early Antiretroviral Therapy

The MMWR series of publications is published by the Office of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Atlanta, GA 30333.

/pdf/sexually-transmitted-diseases-treatment-guidelines-4zaqk3joit.pdf

Sexually transmitted diseases treatment guidelines.

Summary Background Since December, 2019, Wuhan, China, has experienced an outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 have been reported but risk factors for mortality and a detailed clinical course of illness, including viral shedding, have not been well described. Methods In this retrospective, multicentre cohort study, we included all adult inpatients (≥18 years old) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from Jinyintan Hospital and Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital (Wuhan, China) who had been discharged or had died by Jan 31, 2020. Demographic, clinical, treatment, and laboratory data, including serial samples for viral RNA detection, were extracted from electronic medical records and compared between survivors and non-survivors. We used univariable and multivariable logistic regression methods to explore the risk factors associated with in-hospital death. Findings 191 patients (135 from Jinyintan Hospital and 56 from Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital) were included in this study, of whom 137 were discharged and 54 died in hospital. 91 (48%) patients had a comorbidity, with hypertension being the most common (58 [30%] patients), followed by diabetes (36 [19%] patients) and coronary heart disease (15 [8%] patients). Multivariable regression showed increasing odds of in-hospital death associated with older age (odds ratio 1·10, 95% CI 1·03–1·17, per year increase; p=0·0043), higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (5·65, 2·61–12·23; p Interpretation The potential risk factors of older age, high SOFA score, and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage. Prolonged viral shedding provides the rationale for a strategy of isolation of infected patients and optimal antiviral interventions in the future. Funding Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences; National Science Grant for Distinguished Young Scholars; National Key Research and Development Program of China; The Beijing Science and Technology Project; and Major Projects of National Science and Technology on New Drug Creation and Development.

Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study

Corrigendum to: Clinical Effectiveness of Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor-Based Antiretroviral Regimens Among Adults With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Collaboration of Cohort Studies in the United States and Canada.

Most clinical trials evaluating COVID-19 therapeutics include assessments of antiviral activity. In recently completed outpatient trials, changes in nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels from baseline were commonly assessed using analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) or mixed models for repeated measures (MMRM) with single-imputation for results below assay lower limits of quantification (LLoQ). Analyzing changes in viral RNA levels with singly-imputed values can lead to biased estimates of treatment effects. In this paper, using an illustrative example from the ACTIV-2 trial, we highlight potential pitfalls of imputation when using ANCOVA or MMRM methods, and illustrate how these methods can be used when considering values <LLoQ as censored measurements. Best practices when analyzing quantitative viral RNA data should include details about the assay and its LLoQ, completeness summaries of viral RNA data, and outcomes among participants with baseline viral RNA [≥]LLoQ, as well as those with viral RNA <LLoQ.

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Statistical Challenges when Analyzing SARS-CoV-2 RNA Measurements Below the Assay Limit of Quantification in COVID-19 Clinical Trials

OP 4.6 – 00185 No associations between magnitudes of HIV-specific CTL responses on stable art and subsequent decay of intact proviruses or cell-associated HIV mRNA

Reply to Bottanelli et al.

Abstract Background Substantial changes in access and delivery of primary HIV care occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic. To assess how care access changed during the COVID-19 pandemic, we estimated ED use among PWH in care 2017-2021 in the southeastern US. Methods For each calendar year, among PWH in care in the UNC CFAR HIV Clinical Cohort (defined as having a clinic visit in the current or prior year), we estimated the percent of patients with ≥ 1 ED visit in a given year, overall and by age, gender, race/ethnicity, HIV viral load (VL), and CD4 count. We estimated risk ratios (RRs) comparing patient characteristics and years 2020-2021 vs. 2017-2019, using Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations to account for repeated measures. Results Among 2129 PWH in care 2017-2021 (N≈1700-1800 in each year), 57% identified as Black, 31% White, 8% Hispanic, 26% women, with median age of 47 years (IQR 35-55). During the study period, there were 3645 ED visits over 8813 person-years, a rate of 41.4 ED visits-per 100 person-years(95% CI 36.8-46.5) per 100 person-years. The 845 PWH with at least one ED visit during the study period contributed a median of 2 visits each (IQR 1-5). The unadjusted probability of having ≥1 ED visit in a given year was higher among women vs. men (RR=1.14, 95% CI 0.99-1.32), Black vs. White PWH (1.31, 1.13-1.52), with VL ≥ 40 copies/mL (1.40, 1.20-1.64), and with CD4 < 200 (1.66, 1.32-2.09) or 200-349 (1.50, 1.25-1.79) vs. ≥ 500 cells/μL; age was not associated with ED use. Compared with 2017-2019, the annual probability of having ≥ 1 ED visit was lower in 2020-2021, with RRs of 0.83 (95% CI 0.76-0.90) in unadjusted analyses and 0.80 (95% CI 0.71-0.90) after adjusting for demographics, VL, and CD4. There was also a significant unadjusted decrease for 2020-2021 vs. 2017-2019 among women, men, PWH who were Black, White, < 40 or 50-59 years old, and with CD4 >500 (Fig. B-F, all P< 0.05). Conclusion Among PWH in HIV care, ED use was higher among women, Black PWH, and PWH with poorly controlled HIV. ED use decreased 2020-2021 in most groups, indicating that PWH during the COVID-19 pandemic may be delaying seeking care for acute conditions, or accessing care in other ways. Work is ongoing to characterize reasons for ED visits across calendar years and examine the impact of reduced ED utilization among PWH. Disclosures Joseph J. Eron, MD, Adagio Therapeutics: data safety monitoring committee|Gilead Sciences: Advisor/Consultant|Gilead Sciences: Grant/Research Support|Glaxo Smith Kline: Advisor/Consultant|Merck: Advisor/Consultant|ViiV Healthcare: Advisor/Consultant|ViiV Healthcare: Grant/Research Support.

Joseph J. Eron

Papers

Corrigendum to: Clinical Effectiveness of Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor-Based Antiretroviral Regimens Among Adults With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Collaboration of Cohort Studies in the United States and Canada.

Statistical Challenges when Analyzing SARS-CoV-2 RNA Measurements Below the Assay Limit of Quantification in COVID-19 Clinical Trials

OP 4.6 – 00185 No associations between magnitudes of HIV-specific CTL responses on stable art and subsequent decay of intact proviruses or cell-associated HIV mRNA

Reply to Bottanelli et al.

1400. Emergency Department (ED) Use among Persons With HIV (PWH) before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic