Journal ArticleDOI
Complexity and performance of urban expansion models
Lien Poelmans,Anton Van Rompaey +1 more
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TLDR
The results show that a hybrid model structure, integrating (static) determining factors (distance to the main roads, distance to the largest cities, employment potential, slope and zoning status of the land) and (dynamic) neighbourhood interactions produces the most accurate probability map.About:
This article is published in Computers, Environment and Urban Systems.The article was published on 2010-01-01. It has received 189 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Urban planning & Logistic regression.read more
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Integration of logistic regression, Markov chain and cellular automata models to simulate urban expansion
TL;DR: A hybrid model consisting of logistic regression model, Markov chain (MC), and cellular automata (CA) was designed to improve the performance of the standard logistic regressors of Tehran, Iran to create a probability surface of spatiotemporal states of built-up land use for the years 2006, 2016, and 2026.
Journal ArticleDOI
Urban growth of Kampala, Uganda: Pattern analysis and scenario development
TL;DR: In this paper, a spatially-explicit logistic regression model was developed for Kampala to predict future urban sprawl patterns with a significant impact on the local quality of life.
Journal ArticleDOI
Urban land-use change: the role of strategic spatial planning
Anna M. Hersperger,Eduardo Oliveira,Sofia Pagliarin,Gaëtan Palka,Peter H. Verburg,Janine Bolliger,Simona R. Grădinaru +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors focus on the role of spatial planning in urban land change and propose a research agenda to further develop the understanding of these three components and their interconnections as well as their application in quantitative land-change modelling approaches for urban regions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Urban Growth Prediction: A Review of Computational Models and Human Perceptions
TL;DR: In this paper, a survey of developers and users of urban growth prediction models was conducted to assess developer and user perceptions and critically discuss existing urban growth forecasting models, acting as a reference for future model development.
Journal ArticleDOI
Spatio-temporal modelling of informal settlement development in Sancaktepe district, Istanbul, Turkey
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explored the possibilities offered by progress in Geo-Information Science and spatial modelling to improve understanding of informal settlement development through comprehensive spatio-temporal analyses.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
An introduction to ROC analysis
TL;DR: The purpose of this article is to serve as an introduction to ROC graphs and as a guide for using them in research.
Journal ArticleDOI
The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths
Eric F. Lambin,Billie Turner,Helmut Geist,Samuel Babatunde Agbola,Arild Angelsen,John W. Bruce,Oliver T. Coomes,Rodolfo Dirzo,Günther Fischer,Carl Folke,P.S. George,Katherine Homewood,Jacques Imbernon,Rik Leemans,Xiubin Li,Emilio F. Moran,Michael Mortimore,P. S. Ramakrishnan,John F. Richards,Helle Skånes,Will Steffen,Glenn Davis Stone,Uno Svedin,Tom A. Veldkamp,Coleen Vogel,Jianchu Xu +25 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors track some of the major myths on driving forces of land cover change and propose alternative pathways of change that are better supported by case study evidence, concluding that neither population nor poverty alone constitute the sole and major underlying causes of land-cover change worldwide.
Journal ArticleDOI
A Self-Modifying Cellular Automaton Model of Historical Urbanization in the San Francisco Bay Area
TL;DR: A cellular automaton simulation model developed to predict urban growth as part of a project for estimating the regional and broader impact of urbanization on the San Francisco Bay area's climate is described.
Journal ArticleDOI
Landscape change and the urbanization process in Europe
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors propose a new concept of functional urban regions (FURs) for landscape ecologists to understand the change of traditional European cultural landscapes, which are highly dynamic, complex and multifunctional.
Journal ArticleDOI
Modeling the Spatial Dynamics of Regional Land Use: The CLUE-S Model
Peter H. Verburg,Welmoed Soepboer,A. Veldkamp,Ramil Limpiada,Victoria Espaldon,Sharifah S.A. Mastura +5 more
TL;DR: A dynamic, spatially explicit, land-use change model is presented for the regional scale: CLUE-S that explicitly addresses the hierarchical organization of land use systems, spatial connectivity between locations and stability.
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