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Journal ArticleDOI

Improved Surrogate Data for Nonlinearity Tests.

Thomas Schreiber, +1 more
- 22 Jul 1996 - 
- Vol. 77, Iss: 4, pp 635-638
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TLDR
It is shown that nonlinear rescalings of a Gaussian linear stochastic process cannot be accounted for by a simple amplitude adjustment of the surrogates which leads to spurious detection of nonlinearity.
Abstract
Current tests for nonlinearity compare a time series to the null hypothesis of a Gaussian linear stochastic process. For this restricted null assumption, random surrogates can be constructed which are constrained by the linear properties of the data. We propose a more general null hypothesis allowing for nonlinear rescalings of a Gaussian linear process. We show that such rescalings cannot be accounted for by a simple amplitude adjustment of the surrogates which leads to spurious detection of nonlinearity. An iterative algorithm is proposed to make appropriate surrogates which have the same autocorrelations as the data and the same probability distribution.

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Citations
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Nonlinear Interaction Between the Tide and the Storm Surge with the Current due to the River Flow in the Río de la Plata

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The impact of geopolitical risk on the behavior of oil prices and freight rates

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References
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Book

Time Series Prediction: Forecasting The Future And Understanding The Past

TL;DR: By reading time series prediction forecasting the future and understanding the past, you can take more advantages with limited budget.
Book

Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability: Statistical Theory and Economic Evidence

TL;DR: In this paper, the changing structure of stock returns nonlinearity in foreign exchange summary, relation to other work, and future horizons are discussed, as well as the size and distribution of the BDS statistic quantiles.
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Constrained-realization Monte-Carlo method for hypothesis testing

TL;DR: The typical-realization approach, on the other hand, does not share this requirement, and can provide an accurate and powerful test without having to sacrifice flexibility in the choice of discriminating statistic, and is found to depend on whether or not the discriminating statistic is pivotal.
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