Modelling the complexity of the network of interactions in flood emergency management: The Lorca flash flood case
Raffaele Giordano,Alessandro Pagano,Irene Pluchinotta,Rosa Olivo del Amo,Sonia M. Hernandez,Eduardo S. Lafuente +5 more
TLDR
The design and implementation of an integrated approach aiming to unravel the complexity of the interaction network based on Storytelling, the Problem Structuring Method, and Social Network Analysis are detailed.Abstract:
There is growing awareness that fast response to emergency situation requires effective coordination among several institutional and non-institutional actors. The most common approaches, based on innovating technologies for information collection and management, are not sufficient to cope with the increasing complexity of emergency management. This work demonstrates that effective cooperation claims for a shift from information management to interaction management. Therefore, methods and tools are required in order to better understand the complexity of the interactions taking place during an emergency, and to analyse the actual roles and responsibilities of the different actors. This paper details the design and implementation of an integrated approach aiming to unravel the complexity of the interaction network based on Storytelling, the Problem Structuring Method, and Social Network Analysis. The potential of the integrated approach has been investigated in the Lorca (Spain) flood risk management case study.read more
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Assessing stakeholders' risk perception to promote Nature Based Solutions as flood protection strategies: The case of the Glinščica river (Slovenia).
Stefania Santoro,Irene Pluchinotta,Alessandro Pagano,Polona Pengal,Blaž Cokan,Raffaele Giordano +5 more
TL;DR: The present work describes a methodology to enhance the Nature Based Solutions implementation by facilitating the generation, acquisition and diffusion of different stakeholders' risk perceptions through the combination of Problem Structuring Methods for the elicitation of stakeholders'risk perceptions through individual Fuzzy Cognitive Maps, and Ambiguity Analysis for the investigation of differences in risk perceptions and problem framing.
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Engaging stakeholders in the assessment of NBS effectiveness in flood risk reduction: A participatory System Dynamics Model for benefits and co-benefits evaluation
TL;DR: The activities described in the present paper aim at developing a participatory System Dynamic Model capable to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of NBS to deal with flood risks, while producing a multiplicity of co-benefits.
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A new intelligence approach based on GIS-based Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines and metaheuristic optimization for predicting flash flood susceptible areas at high-frequency tropical typhoon area
Dieu Tien Bui,Nhat-Duc Hoang,Tien Dat Pham,Phuong Thao Thi Ngo,Pham Viet Hoa,Nguyen Quang Minh,Xuan-Truong Tran,Pijush Samui +7 more
TL;DR: The proposed hybrid PSO-MARS model outperformed other benchmark models in all the employed statistical measures and can be particularly suited for flash flood forecasting problems at high frequency tropical typhoon area.
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Design Theory for Generating Alternatives in Public Decision Making Processes
TL;DR: In this article, the authors explore the operational role of design theory in the policy making process for the generation of policy alternatives, highlighting the value of early stakeholders' engagement and problem understanding.
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Fuzzy cognitive mapping to support multi-agent decisions in development of urban policymaking
TL;DR: Fuzzy cognitive maps are utilizes to explore environmental complexity and support multiagent decisions in the scenario-building process of the new plan of Taranto, a paradigmatic example of decaying industrial area, heavily characterized by social fragmentation and environment degradation.
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