Multi-Scenario Simulation and Driving Force Analysis of Ecosystem Service Value in Arid Areas Based on PLUS Model: A Case Study of Jiuquan City, China
Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
In this paper , a parametric optimal geographic model is used to analyze the driving factors of ESV spatial dispersion in Jiuquan City as an example, and the PLUS model is also used to simulate the spatial and temporal evolution of ESV in 2035 under the scenarios of natural development, urban development, water constraints and ecological conservation, based on the historical change pattern of land use and ecosystem service value.Abstract:
The arid region of northwest China is an extremely fragile area of natural ecology. With population growth and continuous expansion of urban scale, the ecosystem in the arid region is facing greater pressure. Scientific assessment and prediction of the value of ecosystem services in arid areas are necessary and of great significance for the sustainable development of regional ecological environments. In this paper, a parametric optimal geographic model is used to analyze the driving factors of ESV spatial dispersion in Jiuquan City as an example. The PLUS model is also used to simulate the spatial and temporal evolution of ESV in 2035 under the scenarios of natural development, urban development, water constraints and ecological conservation, based on the historical change pattern of land use and ecosystem service value (ESV). The results showed that from 1980 to 2020, the plowland, water and construction land area in Jiuquan City showed a significant increasing trend, while other land use types showed a decreasing trend. ESV has increased from CNY 139.394 billion to CNY 142.642 billion. The expansion of plowland and water area was the main reason for the increase in ESV. Elevation, temperature, and precipitation are the main driving factors of spatial differentiation of ESV in Jiuquan City. The interaction of natural and human factors enhances the explanatory power of each factor to the spatial differentiation of ESV. In 2035, the ESV in four development scenarios in Jiuquan City showed an upward trend, and the ESV of the ecological protection scenario was the highest, which was the best mode to realize a sustainable development in Jiuquan City in the future. This study can provide scientific basis and decision-making basis for Jiuquan City to formulate sustainable development strategy.read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Quota and Space Allocations of New Urban Land Supported by Urban Growth Simulations: A Case Study of Guangzhou City, China
Xiang (Robert) Li,Jiang Zhu,Tao Liu,Xiangdong Yin,Jiangchun Yao,Hao Jiang,Bing Bu,Jia Yan,Yi-Xiang Li,Zhangcheng Chen +9 more
TL;DR: In this article , the authors proposed a new and more reasonable urban land allocation method to guide the smart growth of cities using a logistic regression model and multisource data to explore the laws of urban growth and employed a cellular automata model to simulate this under inertial and constrained scenarios.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital
Robert Costanza,Rudolf de Groot,Stephen Farberk,Monica Grasso,Bruce Hannon,Karin E. Limburg,Shahid Naeem,José M. Paruelo,Robert Raskin,Paul Suttonkk,Marjan van den Belt +10 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors have estimated the current economic value of 17 ecosystem services for 16 biomes, based on published studies and a few original calculations, for the entire biosphere, the value (most of which is outside the market) is estimated to be in the range of US$16-54 trillion (10^(12)) per year, with an average of US $33 trillion per year.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units
Rudolf de Groot,Luke Brander,Sander van der Ploeg,Robert Costanza,Florence Bernard,Leon Braat,Michael Christie,Neville D. Crossman,Andrea Ghermandi,Lars Hein,Salman Hussain,Pushpam Kumar,Alistair McVittie,Rosimeiry Portela,Luis C. Rodriguez,Patrick ten Brink,Pieter van Beukering +16 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors presented an overview of the value of ecosystem services of 10 main biomes expressed in monetary units and showed that most of this value is outside the market and best considered as nontradable public benefits.
Journal ArticleDOI
Revegetation in China’s Loess Plateau is approaching sustainable water resource limits
Xiaoming Feng,Bojie Fu,Shilong Piao,Shilong Piao,Shuai Wang,Philippe Ciais,Zhenzhong Zeng,Yihe Lü,Yuan Zeng,Yue Li,Xiaohui Jiang,Bingfang Wu +11 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors study the semi-arid Loess Plateau in China, where the "Grain to Green" large-scale revegetation programme has been in operation since 1999.
Journal ArticleDOI
Integrating ecosystem-service tradeoffs into land-use decisions
Joshua H. Goldstein,Giorgio Caldarone,Thomas Kaeo Duarte,Driss Ennaanay,Neil Hannahs,Guillermo Mendoza,Stephen Polasky,Stacie Wolny,Gretchen C. Daily +8 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors quantified ecosystem-service values to help the largest private landowner in Hawaii, Kamehameha Schools, design a land-use development plan that balances multiple private and public values on its North Shore land holdings (Island of O'ahu) of ∼10,600 ha.
Journal ArticleDOI
Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States.
Joshua J. Lawler,David J. Lewis,Erik J. Nelson,Andrew J. Plantinga,Stephen Polasky,John C. Withey,David P. Helmers,Sebastián Martinuzzi,Derric Pennington,Volker C. Radeloff +9 more
TL;DR: This work project land-use change from 2001 to 2051 for the contiguous United States under two scenarios reflecting continuation of 1990s trends and high crop demand more reflective of the recent past, and three policy alternatives that provide incentives to maintain and expand forest cover, conserve natural habitats, and limit urban sprawl.