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Testing for Granger Non-causality in Heterogeneous Panels

Elena Ivona Dumitrescu, +1 more
- 01 Jul 2012 - 
- Vol. 29, Iss: 4, pp 1450-1460
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TLDR
In this paper, a simple test of Granger (1969) non-causality for hetero- geneous panel data models is proposed, based on the individual Wald statistics of Granger non causality averaged across the cross-section units.
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This article is published in Economic Modelling.The article was published on 2012-07-01 and is currently open access. It has received 2741 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Test statistic & Ancillary statistic.

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels

TL;DR: In this article, a unit root test for dynamic heterogeneous panels based on the mean of individual unit root statistics is proposed, which converges in probability to a standard normal variate sequentially with T (the time series dimension) →∞, followed by N (the cross sectional dimension)→∞.
Book ChapterDOI

Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods

TL;DR: In this article, it is shown that the cross spectrum between two variables can be decomposed into two parts, each relating to a single causal arm of a feedback situation, and measures of causal lag and causal strength can then be constructed.
Book

Analysis of Panel Data

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors propose a homogeneity test for linear regression models (analysis of covariance) and show that linear regression with variable intercepts is more consistent than simple regression with simple intercepts.
Journal ArticleDOI

A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence

TL;DR: In this paper, a simple alternative where the standard ADF regressions are augmented with the cross section averages of lagged levels and first-differences of the individual series is proposed, and it is shown that the individual CADF statistics are asymptotically similar and do not depend on the factor loadings.
Journal ArticleDOI

Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels☆

TL;DR: In panel data four procedures are widely used: pooling, aggregating, averaging group estimates, and cross-section regression as discussed by the authors, and the theoretical results on the properties of these procedures are illustrated by UK labour demand functions for 38 industries over 30 years.
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Frequently Asked Questions (15)
Q1. What are the contributions mentioned in the paper "Testing for granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels" ?

This paper proposes a very simple test of Granger ( 1969 ) non-causality for heterogeneous panel data models. 

This is precisely their objective for further researches. 

At each repetition keep the test statistics obtained for the resampled data, so as to compute the empirical critical values as the 95% percentile of the distribution of test-statistics (taken in absolute value) under the null hypothesis of no causality. 

With T = 10, the power of the panel Z̃HncN statistic rises from 0.36 with five cross-section units to 0.87 with twenty cross-section units. 

One of the main advantages of their testing procedure is that it is very simple to implement: the standardized average Wald statistics are simple to compute and have a standard normal asymptotic distribution. 

The aim of this paper is to propose a simple Granger (1969) non causality test in heterogeneous panel data models with fixed (as opposed to time-varying) coefficients. 

to account for cross-sectional dependence, the empirical power has to be computed from the rejection rates obtained with the bootstrapped critical values. 

in this dynamic model the F distribution can be used as an approximation of the true distribution of the statistic Wi,T/K for a small T sample. 

Theorem 1. Under assumption A2, the individual Wi,T statistics for i = 1, .., N are identically and independently distributed with finite second order moments as T →∞, and therefore, by Lindberg-Levy central limit theorem under the HNC null hypothesis, the average statistic WHncN,T sequentially converges in distribution. 

The simulation results clearly show that their panel based tests have very good properties even in samples with very small values of T and N . 

For a fixed T , the Lyapunov central limit theorem is then sufficient to get the distribution of the standardized average Wald statistic when N tends to infinity. 

Monte Carlo simulations show that their panel statistics lead to substantial increase in the power of the Granger non-causality tests even for samples with very small T and N dimensions. 

if the lag-order differs from one individual to another, the distribution of the test-statistics, which depends on the number of restrictions imposed under the null, will vary across groups. 

If r ≤ T − 1, Magnus’s theorem (1986) identifies three conditions for the existence of the moments of a quadratic form in normal variables:(i) If AQ = 0, then E [(x′Ax/x′Bx)s] exists for all s ≥ 0.(ii) If AQ 6= 0 and Q′AQ = 0, then E [(x′Ax/x′Bx)s] exists for 0 ≤ s < r and does not exist for s ≥ r.(iii) 

Wi,T d−→ T→∞ χ2 (K) , ∀i = 1, .., N. (8)In other words, when T tends to infinity, the individual statistics {Wi,T}Ni=1 are identically distributed.