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Journal ArticleDOI

Wild cards, weak signals and organisational improvisation

TLDR
This paper addresses the need for reliable action guidelines that can be used by organisations in turbulent environments and suggests an analytical approach for the management of surprising and potentially damaging events using the wild card management system.
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This article is published in Futures.The article was published on 2004-03-01. It has received 236 citations till now.

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Towards a theory of decoupling: degrees of decoupling in the EU and the case of road traffic in Finland between 1970 and 2001

Petri Tapio
- 01 Mar 2005 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a theoretical framework for decoupling, defining the difference between decouplings, coupling and negative decoupled, and further break down to weak, strong and expansive/recessive degrees of decouples, laying emphasis on the absolute increase or decrease of the variables.
Journal ArticleDOI

How dynamic can organizational capabilities be? Towards a dual-process model of capability dynamization

TL;DR: The last section of this paper aims to develop an alternative approach, which aims at preserving the original merits of organizational capability and solving the rigidity issue not by integrating a dynamic dimension into the capability construct but rather by establishing a separate function (‘capability monitoring’).
Journal ArticleDOI

Decision-making under great uncertainty: environmental management in an era of global change

TL;DR: This paper argues that decision theory, thresholds, scenarios and resilience thinking can expand awareness of the potential states and outcomes, as well as of the probabilities and consequences of outcomes under alternative decisions, for global change issues.
Journal ArticleDOI

Monitoring the future. Building an early warning system for the Dutch Ministry of Justice

TL;DR: In this paper, an early warning system (EWS) is used to monitor various developments and to place them within the perspective of future scenarios, without actually predicting the future, this makes it possible to determine which scenario is the most relevant at any given moment.
Journal ArticleDOI

The future shocks: On discontinuity and scenario development

TL;DR: Investigation of how discontinuity is addressed in futures literature, particularly those sources that focus on scenarios, and how the concept is used in scenario practice exposes a rather ambiguous approach to discontinuity in current scenario practice.
References
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Book

Sensemaking in organizations

Karl E. Weick
TL;DR: The Nature of Sensemaking Seven properties of sensemaking Sensemaking in Organizations Occasions for Sensemaking The Substance of Sense-making Belief-Driven Processes of Sense Making Action-driven Processes on Sensemaking.
Posted Content

The Population Ecology of Organizations

TL;DR: In this paper, a population ecology model applicable to business related organizational analyses is derived by compiling elements of several theories, including competition theory and niche theory, to address factors not encompassed by ecological theory.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Population Ecology of Organizations

TL;DR: In this paper, a population ecology perspective on organization-environment relations is proposed as an alternative to the dominant adaptation perspective, based on the strength of inertial pressures on organizational str...
Journal ArticleDOI

Corporate culture, customer orientation, and innovativeness in Japanese firms : a quadrad analysis

TL;DR: The authors conducted double dyads interviews with marketing executives at a Japanese vendor firm and a pair of purchasing executives from a Japanese customer firm, each conducted with a double dyad pair of interviews.