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Showing papers by "Robert Scragg published in 2020"


Posted ContentDOI
25 Nov 2020-medRxiv
TL;DR: Vitamin D supplementation was safe and reduced risk of ARI, despite evidence of significant heterogeneity across trials, and the overall effect size may have been over-estimated due to publication bias.
Abstract: Background A 2017 meta-analysis of data from 25 randomised controlled trials of vitamin D supplementation for the prevention of acute respiratory infections revealed a protective effect of the intervention. Since then, 20 new RCTs have been completed. Methods Systematic review and meta-analysis of data from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of vitamin D for ARI prevention using a random effects model. Pre-specified sub-group analyses were done to determine whether effects of vitamin D on risk of ARI varied according to baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) concentration or dosing regimen. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Web of Science and the ClinicalTrials.gov registry from inception to 1st May 2020. Double-blind RCTs of supplementation with vitamin D or calcidiol, of any duration, were eligible if they were approved by a Research Ethics Committee and if ARI incidence was collected prospectively and pre-specified as an efficacy outcome. Aggregate data, stratified by baseline 25(OH)D concentration, were obtained from study authors. The study was registered with PROSPERO (no. CRD42020190633). Findings We identified 45 eligible RCTs (total 73,384 participants). Data were obtained for 46,331 (98.0%) of 47,262 participants in 42 studies, aged 0 to 95 years. For the primary comparison of vitamin D supplementation vs. placebo, the intervention reduced risk of ARI overall (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.91, 95% CI 0.84 to 0.99; P for heterogeneity 0.01). No statistically significant effect of vitamin D was seen for any of the sub-groups defined by baseline 25(OH)D concentration. However, protective effects were seen for trials in which vitamin D was given using a daily dosing regimen (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.93); at daily dose equivalents of 400-1000 IU (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.89); and for a duration of ≤12 months (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.93). No significant interaction was seen between allocation to vitamin D vs. placebo and dose frequency, dose size, or study duration. Vitamin D did not influence the proportion of participants experiencing at least one serious adverse event (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.09). Risk of bias within individual studies was assessed as being low for all but three trials. A funnel plot showed left-sided asymmetry (P=0.008, Egger’s test). Interpretation Vitamin D supplementation was safe and reduced risk of ARI, despite evidence of significant heterogeneity across trials. Protection was associated with administration of daily doses of 400-1000 IU vitamin D for up to 12 months. The relevance of these findings to COVID-19 is not known and requires investigation. Funding None

140 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
10 Nov 2020
TL;DR: The proceedings of the conference led to recommendations for areas in need of further investigation through appropriately designed intervention trials, and areas of uncertainly and controversy include the following: daily doses of vitamin D needed to maintain a normal level of 25OHD in the general population.
Abstract: The Third International Conference on Controversies in Vitamin D was held in Gubbio, Italy, September 10-13, 2019. The conference was held as a follow-up to previous meetings held in 2017 and 2018 to address topics of controversy in vitamin D research. The specific topics were selected by the steering committee of the conference and based upon areas that remain controversial from the preceding conferences. Other topics were selected anew that reflect specific topics that have surfaced since the last international conference. Consensus was achieved after formal presentations and open discussions among experts. As will be detailed in this article, consensus was achieved with regard to the following: the importance and prevalence of nutritional rickets, amounts of vitamin D that are typically generated by sun exposure, worldwide prevalence of vitamin D deficiency, the importance of circulating concentrations of 25OHD as the best index of vitamin D stores, definitions and thresholds of vitamin D deficiency, and efficacy of vitamin D analogues in the treatment of psoriasis. Areas of uncertainly and controversy include the following: daily doses of vitamin D needed to maintain a normal level of 25OHD in the general population, recommendations for supplementation in patients with metabolic bone diseases, cutaneous production of vitamin D by UVB exposure, hepatic regulation of 25OHD metabolites, definition of vitamin D excess, vitamin D deficiency in acute illness, vitamin D requirements during reproduction, potential for a broad spectrum of cellular and organ activities under the influence of the vitamin D receptor, and potential links between vitamin D and major human diseases. With specific regard to the latter area, the proceedings of the conference led to recommendations for areas in need of further investigation through appropriately designed intervention trials. © 2020 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

106 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: PPDM poses the highest risk for pancreatic cancer in individuals with diabetes, as well as their temporal relationship, according to the aim of this study.
Abstract: OBJECTIVE Pancreatitis and diabetes are established risk factors for pancreatic cancer. However, to date, studies have investigated only the risk associated with either of them alone. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of pancreatitis and diabetes combined, as well as their temporal relationship, on the risk of pancreatic cancer. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Nationwide cancer registry was linked to hospital discharge and mortality data from 1998 to 2015 in New Zealand. Incidence of primary pancreatic cancer in the four study groups (type 2 diabetes [T2D] alone, pancreatitis alone, T2D followed by pancreatitis, and postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus [PPDM]) was identified. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted, with T2D as the reference group. A head-to-head comparison between the T2D followed by pancreatitis and PPDM groups was also performed. RESULTS Among 139,843 individuals (735,541 person-years), 913 (0.7%) were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. The proportion of pancreatic cancer was 3.1%, 2.3%, 2.0%, and 0.6% in individuals with PPDM, T2D followed by pancreatitis, pancreatitis alone, and T2D alone, respectively. PPDM (hazard ratio [HR] 6.94; 95% CI 4.09–11.77) and T2D followed by pancreatitis (HR 5.35; 95% CI 3.52–8.14) were associated with significantly higher risks of pancreatic cancer compared with T2D alone. In the head-to-head comparison, PPDM was associated with a higher risk of pancreatic cancer compared with T2D followed by pancreatitis (HR 2.35; 95% CI 1.12–4.93). CONCLUSIONS Pancreatitis significantly increases the risk of pancreatic cancer in individuals with diabetes. In particular, PPDM poses the highest risk for pancreatic cancer.

40 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial of 5110 adults aged 50-84 years was performed, where participants were randomized to an initial oral dose of 200 000 IU vitamin D3 followed by 100 000 IU monthly (n = 2558) or placebo (n= 2552) until late 2013 (median followup, 1.6 years).
Abstract: BACKGROUND Although adults with low vitamin D status are at increased risk of acute respiratory infection (ARI), randomized controlled trials of vitamin D supplementation have provided inconsistent results. METHODS We performed a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial of 5110 adults aged 50-84 years. In 2011-2012, participants were randomized to an initial oral dose of 200 000 IU vitamin D3 followed by 100 000 IU monthly (n = 2558) or placebo (n = 2552) until late 2013 (median follow-up, 1.6 years). Participants reported upper and lower ARIs on monthly questionnaires. Cox models analyzed time to first ARI (upper or lower) by treatment group. RESULTS Participants' mean age was 66 years and 58% were male; 83% were of European/other ethnicity, with the rest Maori, Polynesian, or South Asian. Mean (SD) baseline blood 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] level was 63 (24) nmol/L; 25% were <50 nmol/L. In a random sample (n = 441), vitamin D supplementation increased mean 25(OH)D to 135 nmol/L at 3 years, while those on placebo remained at 63 nmol/L. During follow-up, 3737 participants reported ≥1 ARI: 74.1% in the vitamin D group versus 73.7% in the placebo group. The hazard ratio for vitamin D compared with placebo was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94, 1.07). Similar results were seen in most subgroups, including those with baseline 25(OH)D <50 nmol/L and in analyses of the upper/lower components of the ARI outcome. CONCLUSIONS Monthly high-dose vitamin D supplementation does not prevent ARI in older adults with a low prevalence of profound vitamin D deficiency at baseline. Whether effects of daily or weekly dosing differ requires further study. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, identifier ACTRN12611000402943.

38 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The ViDA Study recruited 5,110 participants, aged 50-84 years, mostly from primary care practices in Auckland, New Zealand and found no effect of vitamin D on the main outcomes and vitamin D increased persistence with taking statins among participants on long term statin therapy.

28 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is suggested that individuals with AP who receive insulin are at a heightened risk of progression of pancreatitis, irrespective of diabetes status.
Abstract: Acute pancreatitis (AP) often progresses to recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). We investigated the relationship between the use of insulin after AP and progression from AP to RAP or CP, as well as the effect of diabetes status on the relationship. Using nationwide pharmaceutical dispensing data and hospital discharge data, insulin-naive individuals were followed from first AP admission. Multivariable time-dependent Cox regression analyses were conducted. In the overall cohort (n = 10,190), ever-use of insulin was associated with an increased risk of progression to RAP or CP (adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.70; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.31-2.20). This risk remained increased in individuals with preexisting diabetes (adjusted HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.04-2.00), those with diabetes after AP (3.87; 1.20-12.46), and those without diabetes (2.80; 1.25-6.25). The findings suggest that individuals with AP who receive insulin are at a heightened risk of progression of pancreatitis, irrespective of diabetes status.

19 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Vitamin D may increase adiponectin and leptin concentrations in overweight/obese and vitamin D-deficient adults and the clinical implications of these interactions in the context of obesity are still unclear.
Abstract: Vitamin D regulates adipokine production in vitro; however, clinical trials have been inconclusive. We conducted secondary analyses of a randomized controlled trial to examine whether vitamin D supplementation improves adipokine concentrations in overweight/obese and vitamin D-deficient adults. Sixty-five individuals with a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) ≤ 50 nmol/L were randomized to oral cholecalciferol (100,000 IU single bolus followed by 4,000 IU daily) or matching placebo for 16 weeks. We measured BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, % body fat (dual X-ray absorptiometry), serum 25(OH)D (chemiluminescent immunoassay) and total adiponectin, leptin, resistin, and adipsin concentrations (multiplex assay; flow cytometry). Sun exposure, physical activity, and diet were assessed using questionnaires. Fifty-four participants completed the study (35M/19F; mean age = 31.9 ± 8.5 years; BMI = 30.9 ± 4.4 kg/m2). After 16 weeks, vitamin D supplementation increased 25(OH)D concentrations compared with placebo (57.0 ± 21.3 versus 1.9 ± 15.1 nmol/L, p 0.05). After adjustment for baseline values, season, sun exposure, and dietary vitamin D intake, there was a greater increase in adiponectin (β[95%CI] = 13.7[2.0, 25.5], p = 0.02) and leptin (β[95%CI] = 22.3[3.8, 40.9], p = 0.02) in the vitamin D group compared with placebo. Results remained significant after additional adjustment for age, sex, and % body fat (p < 0.02). Vitamin D may increase adiponectin and leptin concentrations in overweight/obese and vitamin D-deficient adults. Further studies are needed to clarify the molecular interactions between vitamin D and adipokines and the clinical implications of these interactions in the context of obesity. clinicaltrials.gov: NCT02112721

19 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is shown that vitamin D status, BMI, sun exposure hours, sex and asthma/COPD modify the 25(OH)D response to vitamin D supplementation, by contrast, ethnicity, tobacco smoking, and vigorous activity do not.

14 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The vitamin D deficiency prediction model performed well and demonstrates its potential as a tool that can be integrated into clinical practice for the prediction of vitamin D deficiencies.
Abstract: This study aims to develop a model for predicting vitamin D deficiency in New Zealand adults using easily accessible clinical characteristics. Data were derived from the Vitamin D Assessment (ViDA) study dataset. Included participants in the main analysis were aged 50–84 years and resided in Auckland, New Zealand. The dataset was split into a discovery dataset in which the prediction model was developed (n = 2036) and a validation dataset in which it was tested (n = 2037). The prediction model was developed using clinical characteristics in a logistic regression analysis with deseasonalised serum 25OHD (DS-25OHD) as the dependent variable. DS-25OHD < 40 nmol/L was found in 8.2% of European participants, 18.8% of Māori participants, 23.1% of Pacific participants and 52.2% of South Asian participants. Predictors for DS-25OHD < 40 nmol/L in the European sub-cohort included increasing age, female sex, higher body mass index, current smoking, no alcohol intake, lower self-reported general health status, lower physical activity hours, lower outdoor hours and no use of vitamin D–containing supplementation. The area under the curve in the discovery dataset was 0.73, and in the validation dataset was 0.71. Of those with a prediction score ≥ 10 (total risk score range 0–21.5), the sensitivity and specificity for predicting vitamin D deficiency was 0.90 and 0.41, respectively. Non-European ethnicity is an important risk factor for vitamin D deficiency. Our vitamin D deficiency prediction model performed well and demonstrates its potential as a tool that can be integrated into clinical practice for the prediction of vitamin D deficiency.

6 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A timeline for the development of clothing to provide warmth, and the consequent shielding from ultraviolet light, which diminished vitamin D synthesis, can be inferred by an examination of mutations in the human louse.
Abstract: Aspects of human evolutionary biology and prehistory are discussed in relation to vitamin D. The evolution of hairlessness, combined with the need for efficient eccrine sweat production for cooling, provided evolutionary pressure to protect the skin from ultraviolet damage by developing cutaneous pigmentation. There was a subsequent loss of pigmentation as humans journeyed to northern latitudes. Their increasing mastery of technology outstripped evolution's finite pace as further dispersal occurred around the globe. A timeline for the development of clothing to provide warmth, and the consequent shielding from ultraviolet light, which diminished vitamin D synthesis, can be inferred by an examination of mutations in the human louse.

3 citations


Journal Article
TL;DR: In this article, the authors evaluated trends in foot examinations for people with diabetes by primary healthcare nurses between 2006-2008 and 2016 in Auckland, New Zealand and found significantly more patients consulted by practice nurses received foot examinations in 2016 (58%) compared with 2006- 2008 (36%), and foot-care education (66% versus 26%).
Abstract: Aims Evaluate trends in foot examinations for people with diabetes by primary healthcare nurses between 2006-2008 and 2016 in Auckland, New Zealand. Methods All primary care nurses in 2006-2008 and 2016 were identified and 26% and 24% were randomly sampled and surveyed, respectively. Nurse participants completed a self-administered questionnaire and telephone interview about the care provided for people with diabetes. Results Significantly more patients consulted by practice nurses received foot examinations in 2016 (58%) compared with 2006-2008 (36%), and foot-care education (66% versus 26%). Of the 43% of patients who had no foot examination in 2016, 23% had no previous examination documented. Significantly more nurses in 2016 than in 2006-2008 self-reported routinely examining patients' feet (45% versus 31%) and giving foot-care education (28% versus 13%). These practices were associated with nurses undertaking >5 hours of diabetes education within the past five years. Conclusions Practice nurses have significantly expanded their role in managing people with diabetes over the last decade by increasing the number of foot examinations and providing recommended foot-care education. Improved management was associated with nurses attending diabetes education in the past five years. Gaps were identified in conducting the recommended number of foot examinations, categorising patients' risk of foot disease and recording previous examinations.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Reporting of adverse events was not associated with withdrawals, and ethnicity was associated with reporting adverse events: compared to European participants, Maori and Pacific Islander people were more likely to report an adverse event.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The aim was to explore the association between vitamin D and mental well-being in a community-based sample of participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and found an inverse association between 25(OH)D3 and mental health in patients with T2D at baseline and no association between 24-hydroxyvitamin D3 and vitality after adjustment.
Abstract: Purpose There are limited and inconsistent results on the correlation between vitamin D and mental health in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Thus, our aim was to explore the association betwee ...