Institution
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Other•St Louis, Missouri, United States•
About: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is a other organization based out in St Louis, Missouri, United States. It is known for research contribution in the topics: Monetary policy & Inflation. The organization has 203 authors who have published 1650 publications receiving 46084 citations.
Topics: Monetary policy, Inflation, Interest rate, Business cycle, Debt
Papers published on a yearly basis
Papers
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors study dynamic economies in which agents may have incentives to hold both privately-issued and publicly-issued (i.e., outside) circulating liabilities as part of an equilibrium, and identify conditions under which both types of liabilities are essential to efficiency.
Abstract: We study dynamic economies in which agents may have incentives to hold both privately-issued (a.k.a. inside) and publicly-issued (a.k.a. outside) circulating liabilities as part of an equilibrium. Our analysis emphasizes spatial separation and limited communication as frictions that motivate monetary exchange. We isolate conditions under which a combination of inside and outside money does and does not allow the economy to achieve a first-best allocation of resources. We also study the extent to which the use of private circulating liabilities alone, or the use of public circulating liabilities alone, can address the frictions that lead to monetary exchange. We identify conditions under which both types of liabilities are essential to efficiency. However, even when these conditions are satisfied, we show that political economy considerations may lead to a prohibition against private circulating liabilities. Finally, we analyze the consequences of such a prohibition for the determinacy of equilibrium, and for endogenously arising volatility.
7 citations
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TL;DR: This article examined the original selection of cities for Reserve Banks and branches, and placement of district boundaries and found that each aspect of the Fed's structure reflected the preferences of national banks, including adjustments to district boundaries after 1914.
7 citations
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the risk-adjusted usefulness of genetic programming-based ex ante trading rules for the S&P 500 index and showed that although the rules' relative performance improves, there is no evidence that the rules significantly outperform the buy-and-hold strategy on a risk adjusted basis.
Abstract: Allen and Karjalainen (1999) used genetic programming to develop optimal ex ante trading rules for the S&P 500 index. They found no evidence that the returns to these rules were higher than buy-and-hold returns but some evidence that the rules had predictive ability. This comment investigates the risk-adjusted usefulness of such rules and more fully characterizes their predictive content. These results extend Allen and Karjalainen's (1999) conclusion by showing that although the rules' relative performance improves, there is no evidence that the rules significantly outperform the buy-and-hold strategy on a risk-adjusted basis. Therefore, the results are consistent with market efficiency. Nevertheless, risk-adjustment techniques should be seriously considered when evaluating trading strategies.
7 citations
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TL;DR: The relative size of the manufacturing sector in an economy depends on its stage of development as mentioned in this paper, as economies become more industrialized, employment and output increase rapidly, and the contribution of manufacturing sector starts declining in favor of the service sector.
Abstract: The relative size of the manufacturing sector in an economy depends on its stage of development. As economies become more industrialized, employment and output increase rapidly. Eventually, for large-enough levels of development, the contribution of the manufacturing sector starts declining in favor of the service sector.
7 citations
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TL;DR: This paper developed an analytically-tractable general-equilibrium model of inventory dynamics based on a precautionary stockout-avoidance motive, which is broadly consistent with the U.S. business cycle and key features of inventory behavior.
Abstract: This paper develops an analytically-tractable general-equilibrium model of inventory dynamics based on a precautionary stockout-avoidance motive. The model’s predictions are broadly consistent with the U.S. business cycle and key features of inventory behavior, including (i) a large inventory stock-to-sales ratio and a small inventory investment-to-sales ratio in the long run, (ii) excess volatility of production relative to sales, (iii) procyclical inventory investment but countercyclical stock-to-sales ratio over the business cycle, and (iv) more volatile input inventories than output inventories. It is also shown that technological improvement of inventory management (that eliminates production/ordering lags) can increase, rather than decrease, the volatility of aggregate output. Key to this seemingly counter-intuitive result is that a stockout- avoidance motive leads to procyclical liquidity-value of inventories (hence, procyclical relative prices of output), which acts as an automatic stabilizer that discourages final sales in a boom and encourages final sales during a recession, thereby reducing the variability of GDP.
7 citations
Authors
Showing all 214 results
Name | H-index | Papers | Citations |
---|---|---|---|
William Easterly | 93 | 253 | 49657 |
David K. Levine | 66 | 358 | 22455 |
Lucio Sarno | 65 | 218 | 17418 |
Paul W. Wilson | 53 | 147 | 18562 |
Christopher J. Neely | 47 | 201 | 8438 |
Edward Nelson | 46 | 143 | 7819 |
David C. Wheelock | 40 | 173 | 6125 |
Michele Boldrin | 40 | 154 | 8365 |
Massimo Guidolin | 36 | 230 | 5640 |
Daniel L. Thornton | 36 | 230 | 5064 |
Jeremy M. Piger | 34 | 98 | 5997 |
Howard J. Wall | 34 | 136 | 4488 |
Michael T. Owyang | 34 | 204 | 3890 |
Christopher Otrok | 34 | 98 | 7601 |
Ping Wang | 33 | 241 | 4263 |