An Integrated Spatiotemporal Pattern Analysis Model to Assess and Predict the Degradation of Protected Forest Areas
Ramandeep Kaur M. Malhi,Akash Anand,Prashant Srivastava,G. Sandhya Kiran,George P. Petropoulos,Christos Chalkias +5 more
TLDR
This study is one of the few focusing on exploring and demonstrating the added value of the synergistic use of the Cellular Automata Markov Chain Model Coupled with Fragmentation Statistics in forest degradation analysis and prediction.Abstract:
Forest degradation is considered to be one of the major threats to forests over the globe, which has considerably increased in recent decades. Forests are gradually getting fragmented and facing biodiversity losses because of climate change and anthropogenic activities. Future prediction of forest degradation spatiotemporal dynamics and fragmentation is imperative for generating a framework that can aid in prioritizing forest conservation and sustainable management practices. In this study, a random forest algorithm was developed and applied to a series of Landsat images of 1998, 2008, and 2018, to delineate spatiotemporal forest cover status in the sanctuary, along with the predictive model viz. the Cellular Automata Markov Chain for simulating a 2028 forest cover scenario in Shoolpaneshwar Wildlife Sanctuary (SWS), Gujarat, India. The model’s predicting ability was assessed using a series of accuracy indices. Moreover, spatial pattern analysis—with the use of FRAGSTATS 4.2 software—was applied to the generated and predicted forest cover classes, to determine forest fragmentation in SWS. Change detection analysis showed an overall decrease in dense forest and a subsequent increase in the open and degraded forests. Several fragmentation metrics were quantified at patch, class, and landscape level, which showed trends reflecting a decrease in fragmentation in forest areas of SWS for the period 1998 to 2028. The improvement in SWS can be attributed to the enhanced forest management activities led by the government, for the protection and conservation of the sanctuary. To our knowledge, the present study is one of the few focusing on exploring and demonstrating the added value of the synergistic use of the Cellular Automata Markov Chain Model Coupled with Fragmentation Statistics in forest degradation analysis and prediction.read more
Citations
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Synergistic evaluation of Sentinel 1 and 2 for biomass estimation in a tropical forest of India
Ramandeep Kaur M. Malhi,Sultanova Umida Rustamovna,Akash Anand,Prashant K. Srivastava,Sumit Kumar Chaudhary,Manish Kumar Pandey,Mukund Dev Behera,Amit Kumar,Prachi Singh,G. Sandhya Kiran +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, two nonparametric machine learning algorithms viz Support Vector Machines (SVMs) with different kernel functions were employed for the prediction of above ground biomass using different combinations of VV, VH, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Incidence Angle (IA).
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