scispace - formally typeset
Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Do financial professionals behave according to prospect theory? An experimental study

TLDR
In this article, the authors investigated whether and to what extent this support generalizes to more naturally occurring circumstances and found that financial professionals behave according to prospect theory and violate expected utility maximization.
Abstract
Prospect theory is increasingly used to explain deviations from the traditional paradigm of rational agents. Empirical support for prospect theory comes mainly from laboratory experiments using student samples. It is obviously important to know whether and to what extent this support generalizes to more naturally occurring circumstances. This article explores this question and measures prospect theory for a sample of private bankers and fund managers. We obtained clear support for prospect theory. Our financial professionals behaved according to prospect theory and violated expected utility maximization. They were risk averse for gains and risk seeking for losses and their utility was concave for gains and (slightly) convex for losses. They were also averse to losses, but less so than commonly observed in laboratory studies and assumed in behavioral finance. A substantial minority focused on gains and largely ignored losses, behavior reminiscent of what caused the current financial crisis.

read more

Content maybe subject to copyright    Report

Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI

Rankings and Risk-Taking in the Finance Industry

TL;DR: This article found that both rankings and tournament incentives increase risk-taking among underperforming professionals, but not among students, and that rank-driven risk taking is robust to various experimental settings, including private identity priming and framing, and related to preferences for relative per-formance.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Effects of Key Audit Matters on the Auditor’s Report’s Communicative Value: Experimental Evidence from Investment Professionals and Non-professional Investors

TL;DR: In this article, the effect of key audit matters (KAM) in the auditor's report as required by the new ISA 701 is investigated, considering investment professionals and non-professional investors.
Journal ArticleDOI

Prospect Theory for Online Financial Trading

TL;DR: In this paper, a large-scale empirical analysis of 28.5 million trades made by 81.3 thousand traders of an online financial trading community over 28 months was conducted to explore the large scale empirical aspect of prospect theory.
Journal ArticleDOI

Using Framing Effects to Inform More Sustainable Infrastructure Design Decisions

TL;DR: To measure framing effects in engineering decisions, the Envision rating system for sustainable infrastructure is used, which aims to help the authors better understand how choice structures influence engineering decisions.
Journal ArticleDOI

Predicting Human Decision-Making: From Prediction to Action

TL;DR: The task of automatically predicting human decision-making and its use in designing intelligent human-aware automated computer systems of varying natures is explored—from purely conflicting interaction settings to fully cooperative interaction settings.
References
More filters
Book ChapterDOI

The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors review 74 experiments with no, low, or high performance-based financial incentives and find that the modal result has no effect on mean performance, and that higher incentive does improve performance often, typically judgment tasks that are responsive to better effort.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Neural Basis of Loss Aversion in Decision-Making Under Risk

TL;DR: This paper investigated neural correlates of loss aversion while individuals decided whether to accept or reject gambles that offered a 50/50 chance of gaining or losing money, and found that people typically exhibit greater sensitivity to losses than to equivalent gains when making decisions.
Journal ArticleDOI

Attitudes Toward Risk: Experimental Measurement in Rural India

TL;DR: In this article, a study was made to determine whether differences in behavior between farmers of different wealth levels are the consequence of different attitudes towards risk or of different constraint sets such as limitations on credit or on access to modern inputs.
Journal ArticleDOI

Prospect Theory and Asset Prices

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors study asset prices in an economy where investors derive direct utility not only from consumption but also from fluctuations in the value of their financial wealth, and they find that investors are loss averse over these fluctuations, and the degree of loss aversion depends on their prior investment performance.
Journal ArticleDOI

On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function

TL;DR: A nonparametric estimation procedure for assessing the probability weighting function and value function at the level of the individual subject, consistent with a growing body of empirical and theoretical work attempting to establish a psychological rationale for the probabilityWeighting function.
Related Papers (5)