Quantitative approaches in climate change ecology
Christopher J. Brown,Christopher J. Brown,David S. Schoeman,David S. Schoeman,William J. Sydeman,Keith Brander,Lauren B. Buckley,Michael T. Burrows,Carlos M. Duarte,Carlos M. Duarte,Pippa J. Moore,Pippa J. Moore,John M. Pandolfi,Elvira S. Poloczanska,W.N. Venables,Anthony J. Richardson,Anthony J. Richardson +16 more
TLDR
A review of the marine climate change literature and suggestions for quantitative approaches in climate change ecology are provided, which help advance global knowledge of climate impacts and understanding of the processes driving ecological change.Abstract:
Contemporary impacts of anthropogenic climate change on ecosystems are increasingly being recognized. Documenting the extent of these impacts requires quantitative tools for analyses of ecological observations to distinguish climate impacts in noisy data and to understand interactions between climate variability and other drivers of change. To assist the development of reliable statistical approaches, we review the marine climate change literature and provide suggestions for quantitative approaches in climate change ecology. We compiled 267 peer-reviewed articles that examined relationships between climate change and marine ecological variables. Of the articles with time series data (n = 186), 75% used statistics to test for a dependency of ecological variables on climate variables. We identified several common weaknesses in statistical approaches, including marginalizing other important non-climate drivers of change, ignoring temporal and spatial autocorrelation, averaging across spatial patterns and not reporting key metrics. We provide a list of issues that need to be addressed to make inferences more defensible, including the consideration of (i) data limitations and the comparability of data sets; (ii) alternative mechanisms for change; (iii) appropriate response variables; (iv) a suitable model for the process under study; (v) temporal autocorrelation; (vi) spatial autocorrelation and patterns; and (vii) the reporting of rates of change. While the focus of our review was marine studies, these suggestions are equally applicable to terrestrial studies. Consideration of these suggestions will help advance global knowledge of climate impacts and understanding of the processes driving ecological change.read more
Citations
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Modern Applied Statistics With S
TL;DR: The modern applied statistics with s is universally compatible with any devices to read, and is available in the digital library an online access to it is set as public so you can download it instantly.
Journal ArticleDOI
Responses of Marine Organisms to Climate Change across Oceans
Elvira S. Poloczanska,Elvira S. Poloczanska,Michael T. Burrows,Christopher J. Brown,Jorge García Molinos,Jorge García Molinos,Jorge García Molinos,Benjamin S. Halpern,Benjamin S. Halpern,Ove Hoegh-Guldberg,Carrie V. Kappel,Pippa J. Moore,Pippa J. Moore,Anthony J. Richardson,Anthony J. Richardson,David S. Schoeman,William J. Sydeman +16 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors review evidence for the responses of marine life to recent climate change across ocean regions, from tropical seas to polar oceans, and find that general trends in species responses are consistent with expectations from climate change, including poleward and deeper distributional shifts, advances in spring phenology, declines in calcification and increases in the abundance of warm water species.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climate change and wind intensification in coastal upwelling ecosystems
William J. Sydeman,Marisol García-Reyes,David S. Schoeman,Ryan R. Rykaczewski,Sarah Ann Thompson,Bryan A. Black,Steven J. Bograd +6 more
TL;DR: Overall, reported changes in coastal winds, although subtle and spatially variable, support Bakun’s hypothesis of upwelling intensification in eastern boundary current systems.
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A decade of climate change experiments on marine organisms: Procedures, patterns and problems
TL;DR: Increased effort is required in five areas: the combined effects of concurrent climate and non-climate stressors; responses of a broader range of species, particularly from tropical and polar regions as well as primary producers, pelagic invertebrates, and fish; species interactions and responses of species assemblages; and increasing realism in experiments through broad-scale observations and field experiments.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climate-induced changes in the distribution of freshwater fish: observed and predicted trends
Lise Comte,Lise Comte,Laëtitia Buisson,Laëtitia Buisson,Martin Daufresne,Gaël Grenouillet,Gaël Grenouillet +6 more
TL;DR: A review and some meta-analyses of the literature reporting both observed and predicted climate-induced effects on the distribution of freshwater fish is provided in this paper, where the authors highlight the fact that, in recent years, freshwater fish distributions have already been affected by contemporary climate change in ways consistent with anticipated responses under future climate change scenarios: the range of most cold water species could be reduced or shift to higher altitude or latitude, whereas that of cool- and warm-water species could expand or contract.
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