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Semen quality and human fertility: a prospective study with healthy couples.

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TLDR
Several semen quality measures were associated significantly with pregnancy rate, with percentage morphologically normal sperm by strict criteria and measures involving total number of sperm showing particularly strong associations.
Abstract
Measures of semen quality are used as surrogate measures of male fertility in clinical andrology, reproductive toxicology, epidemiology, and risk assessment. However, only limited data are available to relate those measures to fertility. This prospective study with 210 reproductive-age couples was conducted to provide information on the value of semen quality measures for predicting human male fertility potential and for development of models to estimate the effects of changes in semen quality on fertility in a given population for risk assessment. Couples without known risk factors for infertility and who had discontinued contraception to have a child were accepted. The study followed each couple for up to 12 menstrual cycles while they attempted to conceive and evaluated semen quality measures from multiple ejaculates per man with known abstinence intervals. For each cycle, the day of ovulation was predicted, and the couple was advised to have intercourse multiple times on that day and on the days around it. Among the demographic variables assessed, parity, contraception status prior to entering the study, male education level, and male smoking were associated significantly with 12-cycle pregnancy rate. Several semen quality measures also were associated significantly with pregnancy rate, with percentage morphologically normal sperm by strict criteria and measures involving total number of sperm showing particularly strong associations. Localized regression-smoothing plots of semen quality data against proportion of couples pregnant suggested levels below which fertility declines for several semen quality measures. These results have applications in both clinical andrology and in assessment of risk to male fecundity from environmental or pharmaceutical exposures. In particular, they contribute information on behavior of fertility with varying semen quality and can allow development of models to predict effects on fertility in populations from decrements in semen quality.

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Subfecundity in overweight and obese couples

TL;DR: Couples have a high risk of being subfecund if they are both obese and this work found a dose-response relationship between increasing BMI group and subFecundity (a TTP of more than 12 months).
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The 'oestrogen hypothesis'- where do we stand now?

TL;DR: Whether new data has emerged to support the suggestion that increased oestrogen exposure could cause human male reproductive developmental disorders is considered and new data on potential routes via which such increased exposure could have occurred are reviewed.
References
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Statistical methods

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Robust Locally Weighted Regression and Smoothing Scatterplots

TL;DR: Robust locally weighted regression as discussed by the authors is a method for smoothing a scatterplot, in which the fitted value at z k is the value of a polynomial fit to the data using weighted least squares, where the weight for (x i, y i ) is large if x i is close to x k and small if it is not.

Tutorial in biostatistics multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors

TL;DR: An easily interpretable index of predictive discrimination as well as methods for assessing calibration of predicted survival probabilities are discussed, which are applicable to all regression models, but are particularly needed for binary, ordinal, and time-to-event outcomes.
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Relation between semen quality and fertility: a population-based study of 430 first-pregnancy planners

TL;DR: The study suggests that the current WHO guidelines for normal semen quality should be used with caution, as some men with sperm counts above the lower limit of the normal range defined by WHO may in fact be subfertile.
Journal ArticleDOI

The evaluation of morphological characteristics of human spermatozoa according to stricter criteria

TL;DR: It can be concluded that the method developed in the laboratory and which resulted in the use of stricter criteria for the evaluation of sperm morphology is a practical, reliable and repeatable method and has a good prognostic value for the prediction of expected IVF fertilization, the hamster test and hemizona assay.
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