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Journal ArticleDOI

Technological Progress: A Proposed Measure

Robert U. Ayres
- 01 Nov 1998 - 
- Vol. 59, Iss: 3, pp 213-233
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TLDR
In this paper, the authors propose a direct measure of technological progress that can be quantified with reasonable confidence on the basis of historical data, namely the efficiency with which resources (mainly energy sources) are converted into final services.
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This article is published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change.The article was published on 1998-11-01. It has received 30 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Energy source & Technical progress.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Clarifying the Concept of Product-Service System

TL;DR: In this paper, a new trend of product-service systems (PSS) that has the potential to minimise environmental impacts of both production and consumption is emerging, and a theoretical framework for PSS is proposed.
Journal ArticleDOI

A review of selected recent advances in technological forecasting

TL;DR: This paper describes developments in environmental scanning, models, scenarios, Delphi, extrapolation, probabilistic forecasts, technology measurement and some chaos-like behavior in technological data.
Posted Content

Technometrics: Origins, Historical Evolution and New Directions

TL;DR: In the second half of the twentieth century, technometrics becomes a distinct field of investigation, characterised by the coming together of several disciplines, such as econometrics, engineering and applied mathematics, mathematical and multivariate statistics, and so on as mentioned in this paper.
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Energy in the theory of production

TL;DR: In this article, the fundamental role of energy as a factor of production is investigated, and the authors consider the production dynamics as a set of equations for variables (output Y, value).
Journal ArticleDOI

REXS: A forecasting model for assessing the impact of natural resource consumption and technological change on economic growth

TL;DR: The Resource EXergy Services (REXS) model as discussed by the authors is a forecasting model for the US through the 20th century and extrapolates the simulation for several decades into the next century.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth

TL;DR: In this paper, a model of long run growth is proposed and examples of possible growth patterns are given. But the model does not consider the long run of the economy and does not take into account the characteristics of interest and wage rates.

The mechanics of economic development

Abstract: This paper considers the prospects for constructing a neoclassical theory of growth and international trade that is consistent with some of the main features of economic development. Three models are considered and compared to evidence: a model emphasizing physical capital accumulation and technological change, a model emphasizing human capital accumulation through schooling, and a model emphasizing specialized human capital accumulation through learning-by-doing.
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Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a fully specified model of long-run growth in which knowledge is assumed to be an input in production that has increasing marginal productivity, which is essentially a competitive equilibrium model with endogenous technological change.
Journal ArticleDOI

On the mechanics of economic development

TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider the prospects for constructing a neoclassical theory of growth and international trade that is consistent with some of the main features of economic development, and compare three models and compared to evidence.
ReportDOI

Endogenous Technological Change

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the stock of human capital determines the rate of growth, that too little human capital is devoted to research in equilibrium, that integration into world markets will increase growth rates, and that having a large population is not sufficient to generate growth.