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Victor Richmond R. Jose

Researcher at Georgetown University

Publications -  34
Citations -  1091

Victor Richmond R. Jose is an academic researcher from Georgetown University. The author has contributed to research in topics: Quantile & Expected utility hypothesis. The author has an hindex of 13, co-authored 31 publications receiving 778 citations. Previous affiliations of Victor Richmond R. Jose include Duke University.

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Simple robust averages of forecasts: Some empirical results

TL;DR: This article showed that moderate trimming of 10-30% or Winsorizing of 15-45% of the forecasts can provide improved combined forecasts, with more trimming or winsorizing being indicated when there is more variability among the individual forecasts.
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Forecasting: theory and practice

Fotios Petropoulos, +84 more
- 04 Dec 2020 - 
TL;DR: A non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting, offering a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts.
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Scoring Rules, Generalized Entropy, and Utility Maximization

TL;DR: This paper generalizes the two most commonly used parametric families of scoring rules and demonstrates their relation to well-known generalized entropies and utility functions, shedding new light on the characteristics of alternative scoring rules as well as duality relationships between utility maximization and entropy minimization.
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Evaluating Quantile Assessments

TL;DR: This work investigates the properties of a linear family of scoring rules that are intended specifically for quantile assessment (including the assessment of multiple quantiles) and can be related to a realistic decision-making problem.
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Trimmed Opinion Pools and the Crowd's Calibration Problem

TL;DR: Empirical evidence is presented that trimmed opinion pools can outperform the linear opinion pool, using probability forecast data from U.S. and European Surveys of Professional Forecasters.