Showing papers in "Technological Forecasting and Social Change in 2009"

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the relationship between intellectual capital and organizational learning capability, and found that human capital and relational capital actually improved new product development performance through organizational learning capabilities, while structural capital positively affects organizational learning ability.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors build on five empirical studies related to renewable energy technologies to test whether the functions of innovation systems framework is a valid framework to analyse processes of technological change and also test the claim made in previous publications that the interactions between system functions accelerate innovation system emergence and growth.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide an overview of the insights from the literature on innovation brokers and contribute to the literature by distilling lines of enquiry and providing insights on one of the lines identified.

TL;DR: In this article, a sectoral framework based on three building blocks: technological regimes, demand conditions and environmental and innovation policy is developed to analyze the determinants of environmental innovations in the French automotive industry.

TL;DR: The issues of how to design and architect roadmaps and roadmapping processes are explored, which is crucial if the approach is to provide a framework for supporting effective dialogue and communication within and between organizations.

TL;DR: In this article, an agent-based model of the diffusion of water-saving innovations is presented, where households of certain lifestyles use two different kinds of decision rules to decide upon adoption or rejection of the modeled innovations: a cognitively demanding deliberate decision rule and a simple decision heuristic.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose an alteration that improves the analysis of dynamics, especially with respect to emerging innovation systems, by expanding on the technological innovation systems and system functions literature, and employing the method of event history analysis.

TL;DR: A technology-driven roadmapping processes that starts from capability analysis for technology planning and ends with business opportunity analysis for market planning is proposed and the use of patent data is suggested as a proxy measure of technological capability for this purpose.

TL;DR: An overview of how the role of science in relation to innovation has been defined over the past five decades is given in this paper, showing a change from a linear to a chain-linked model of interpretation.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors combine preliminary findings from a review of evaluative scenario literature with workshop discussions among scenario practitioners, using environmental relevant policies as a case study, and conclude that scenario planning still is often executed in a rather ad-hoc and isolated manner and is mostly geared towards indirect decision support such as agenda-setting and issue-framing.

TL;DR: In this paper, a model for convergence innovation processes is elaborated and discussed, and the reasoning within the ICT case set is transferred onto the currently emerging entrepreneurial activities in the intersection between nano- and bio-technologies (NBT), resulting in a comparison between ICT and NBT convergences, and deriving recommendations from a retrospective to a predictive context.

TL;DR: In this paper, evolutionary economic models have been used in relation to environmental policy, focusing on the double externality problem, technological transitions and consumer demand, and the opportunities for making policy-making endogenous to environmental innovation.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors develop a network model of new technology diffusion that combines contagion among consumers with heterogeneity of agent characteristics, and explore when a limited subsidy policy can trigger diffusion that would otherwise not happen.

TL;DR: This study identifies the two mainstreams in business method technology: one is focused on marketing technology, and the other one stresses on data security, both are important for Internet data processes or e-commerce activities.

TL;DR: An adapted Delphi methodology that is, contrary to the classical Delphi design, not aiming to minimize expert estimation variance, but to maximize the range of expert opinions inputted sequentially into an online system is presented.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a review of the use of synthetic indicators of technological capabilities for public policy, company strategies and economic studies, and explore the consistency among the results achieved.

TL;DR: An agri-food technology expert community view of the future directions for Finnish agro-bioenergy use is brought to the table by the Delphi process which outlines the future of bioenergy production in Finland.

TL;DR: An algorithm that identifies patent development paths from a large patent citation network by evaluating the weight of citations between patents is suggested and this algorithm is a new methodology that can be used to analyze the dynamic and complex structure of individual technologies.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that if consumers are provided with appropriate information on the greenness of products through adequate eco-labels, then producers will be pressed to implement innovations aimed at reducing the environmental impact of their products.

TL;DR: The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan has actively involved itself in technology roadmapping in recent years in order to build a broad discussion basis for researchers and business-oriented people in academia, industry and government.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigate the circumstances under which technological development may break-out of a lock-in of a trajectory, and argue that for this to happen, a third selection mechanism, beyond those of the market and of technology, needs to upset the lockin.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyze the competitiveness of firms in four different sectors of the manufacturing industry: food, chemicals, electronics and vehicles, based on the application of the Polytomous Logistic Universal Model (PLUM).

TL;DR: In this article, the authors illustrate the dynamics of TRM implementation and present a case study to demonstrate how one of the leading building product manufacturers in the ASEAN region went through the process.

TL;DR: This paper presents a research project that took the recent activities in and around the notion of Responsible Research and Innovation of nanotechnologies as an opportunity to develop support tools for exploring potential co-evolutions of nanotechnology and governance arrangements.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a dynamic model of the UK natural gas industry using a system dynamics approach, which shows that management of the supply-side policy alone alone cannot substantially postpone the discovery, production and consumption peak.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors argue that transformations of regimes, the networks and institutions governing technological and environmental practices in an industry, can be positively influenced by globalization but it depends on how global forces interact with local socio-political landscapes, the political economic institutions, values, and regulations broadly guiding an economy and its relationship to the environment.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed a citation network of organic light-emitting diodes (OLEDs) papers and used a topological clustering method to investigate the structure of research and to detect emerging research domains.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors argue that incubation acts at the meso-level as a critical interface between macro-innovation systems and micro-business ventures, and discuss the future prospects of incubation and innovation policies.

TL;DR: This article analyzed the patent data from the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) focusing on joint patent application between China and the eight most inventive OECD countries and two Asian economic entities (South Korea and Taiwan).

TL;DR: In this article, the authors argue that by applying ideas from an emerging literature on system innovation, it becomes possible to envisage the emergence of new, more resource-efficient socio-technical systems as the basis of more sustainable development pathways in developing Asia.