scispace - formally typeset
Open AccessJournal Article

Counterfactual reasoning and learning systems: the example of computational advertising

Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system and allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance.
Abstract
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system. Such predictions allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance. This work is illustrated by experiments on the ad placement system associated with the Bing search engine.

read more

Content maybe subject to copyright    Report

Citations
More filters
Proceedings ArticleDOI

CausalRec: Causal Inference for Visual Debiasing in Visually-Aware Recommendation

TL;DR: Li et al. as discussed by the authors proposed a debiased visual-aware recommender system, denoted as CausalRec, to effectively retain the supportive significance of the visual information and remove the visual bias.
Posted Content

Causal Discovery Using Proxy Variables

TL;DR: A framework to estimate the cause-effect relation between two static entities, for instance, an art masterpiece and its fraudulent copy, and the role of proxy variables in machine learning, as a general tool to incorporate static knowledge into prediction tasks is developed.
Posted Content

Predicting Counterfactuals from Large Historical Data and Small Randomized Trials

TL;DR: The authors proposed a discriminative framework for estimating the performance of a new treatment given a large dataset of the control condition and data from a small (and possibly unrepresentative) randomized trial comparing new and old treatments.
Posted Content

Conservative Exploration in Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: This paper introduces the notion of conservative exploration for average reward and finite horizon problems, and presents two optimistic algorithms that guarantee (w.h.p.) that the conservative constraint is never violated during learning.
Journal ArticleDOI

CausaLM: Causal Model Explanation Through Counterfactual Language Models

TL;DR: The authors propose CausaLM, a framework for producing causal model explanations using counterfactual language representation models, which is based on fine-tuning of deep contextualized embedding models with auxiliary adversarial tasks derived from the causal graph of the problem.
References
More filters
Book

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction

TL;DR: This book provides a clear and simple account of the key ideas and algorithms of reinforcement learning, which ranges from the history of the field's intellectual foundations to the most recent developments and applications.
MonographDOI

Causality: models, reasoning, and inference

TL;DR: The art and science of cause and effect have been studied in the social sciences for a long time as mentioned in this paper, see, e.g., the theory of inferred causation, causal diagrams and the identification of causal effects.
Journal ArticleDOI

Simple Statistical Gradient-Following Algorithms for Connectionist Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: This article presents a general class of associative reinforcement learning algorithms for connectionist networks containing stochastic units that are shown to make weight adjustments in a direction that lies along the gradient of expected reinforcement in both immediate-reinforcement tasks and certain limited forms of delayed-reInforcement tasks, and they do this without explicitly computing gradient estimates.
Book

Introduction to Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: In Reinforcement Learning, Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto provide a clear and simple account of the key ideas and algorithms of reinforcement learning.