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Counterfactual reasoning and learning systems: the example of computational advertising

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TLDR
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system and allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance.
Abstract
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system. Such predictions allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance. This work is illustrated by experiments on the ad placement system associated with the Bing search engine.

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Proceedings Article

Doubly robust off-policy value evaluation for reinforcement learning

TL;DR: This work extends the doubly robust estimator for bandits to sequential decision-making problems, which gets the best of both worlds: it is guaranteed to be unbiased and can have a much lower variance than the popular importance sampling estimators.
Journal ArticleDOI

Doubly robust policy evaluation and optimization

TL;DR: It is proved that the doubly robust estimation method uniformly improves over existing techniques, achieving both lower variance in value estimation and better policies, and is expected to become common practice in policy evaluation and optimization.
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An Optimistic Perspective on Offline Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: It is demonstrated that recent off-policy deep RL algorithms, even when trained solely on this replay dataset, outperform the fully trained DQN agent and Random Ensemble Mixture (REM), a robust Q-learning algorithm that enforces optimal Bellman consistency on random convex combinations of multiple Q-value estimates is presented.
Posted Content

Troubling Trends in Machine Learning Scholarship

TL;DR: The authors focus on the following four patterns that appear to be trending in ML scholarship: failure to distinguish between explanation and speculation; failure to identify the sources of empirical gains; and misuse of language, e.g., by choosing terms of art with colloquial connotations or by overloading established technical terms.
Posted Content

A Tour of Reinforcement Learning: The View from Continuous Control

TL;DR: This article surveys reinforcement learning from the perspective of optimization and control, with a focus on continuous control applications.
References
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Book

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction

TL;DR: This book provides a clear and simple account of the key ideas and algorithms of reinforcement learning, which ranges from the history of the field's intellectual foundations to the most recent developments and applications.
MonographDOI

Causality: models, reasoning, and inference

TL;DR: The art and science of cause and effect have been studied in the social sciences for a long time as mentioned in this paper, see, e.g., the theory of inferred causation, causal diagrams and the identification of causal effects.
Journal ArticleDOI

Simple Statistical Gradient-Following Algorithms for Connectionist Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: This article presents a general class of associative reinforcement learning algorithms for connectionist networks containing stochastic units that are shown to make weight adjustments in a direction that lies along the gradient of expected reinforcement in both immediate-reinforcement tasks and certain limited forms of delayed-reInforcement tasks, and they do this without explicitly computing gradient estimates.
Book

Introduction to Reinforcement Learning

TL;DR: In Reinforcement Learning, Richard Sutton and Andrew Barto provide a clear and simple account of the key ideas and algorithms of reinforcement learning.