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Counterfactual reasoning and learning systems: the example of computational advertising

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TLDR
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system and allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance.
Abstract
This work shows how to leverage causal inference to understand the behavior of complex learning systems interacting with their environment and predict the consequences of changes to the system. Such predictions allow both humans and algorithms to select the changes that would have improved the system performance. This work is illustrated by experiments on the ad placement system associated with the Bing search engine.

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Posted Content

Concrete Problems in AI Safety

TL;DR: A list of five practical research problems related to accident risk, categorized according to whether the problem originates from having the wrong objective function, an objective function that is too expensive to evaluate frequently, or undesirable behavior during the learning process, are presented.
Posted Content

Offline Reinforcement Learning: Tutorial, Review, and Perspectives on Open Problems

TL;DR: This tutorial article aims to provide the reader with the conceptual tools needed to get started on research on offline reinforcement learning algorithms: reinforcementlearning algorithms that utilize previously collected data, without additional online data collection.
Proceedings Article

Hidden technical debt in Machine learning systems

TL;DR: It is found it is common to incur massive ongoing maintenance costs in real-world ML systems, and several ML-specific risk factors to account for in system design are explored.
Journal ArticleDOI

Toward Causal Representation Learning

TL;DR: The authors reviewed fundamental concepts of causal inference and related them to crucial open problems of machine learning, including transfer and generalization, thereby assaying how causality can contribute to modern machine learning research.
Posted Content

WILDS: A Benchmark of in-the-Wild Distribution Shifts

TL;DR: WILDS is presented, a benchmark of in-the-wild distribution shifts spanning diverse data modalities and applications, and is hoped to encourage the development of general-purpose methods that are anchored to real-world distribution shifts and that work well across different applications and problem settings.
References
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Proceedings ArticleDOI

Unbiased offline evaluation of contextual-bandit-based news article recommendation algorithms

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce a replay methodology for contextual bandit algorithm evaluation, which is completely data-driven and very easy to adapt to different applications, and provide provably unbiased evaluations.

Unbiased Offline Evaluation of Contextual-bandit-based News Article Recommendation Algorithms

TL;DR: This paper introduces a replay methodology for contextual bandit algorithm evaluation that is completely data-driven and very easy to adapt to different applications and can provide provably unbiased evaluations.
Journal Article

Contextual bandits with similarity information

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors consider similarity information in the setting of contextual bandits, a natural extension of the basic MAB problem where before each round an algorithm is given the context--a hint about the payoffs in this round.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Overlapping experiment infrastructure: more, better, faster experimentation

TL;DR: Google's overlapping experiment infrastructure is described, and the associated tools and educational processes required to use it effectively are discussed, which can be generalized and applied by any entity interested in using experimentation to improve search engines and other web applications.