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Munich: The Price of Peace
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The article was published on 1979-01-01 and is currently open access. It has received 50 citations till now.read more
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Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power
TL;DR: The question "What causes alignment?" is a central issue in debates on American foreign policy, and the choices that are made often turn on which hypotheses of alliance formation are endorsed as mentioned in this paper.
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Domestic Structure and Preventive War: Are Democracies More Pacific?
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a model based on the domestic structures of the leader and challenger that predicts which strategy will be employed by a declining dominant power and tested the propositions against historical survey data and several in-depth case studies.
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Political Implications of Loss Aversion
TL;DR: Prospect theory offers powerful insights and propositions into political decision-making, especially in international politics, and evidence indicates that statesmen are indeed risk-acceptant for losses as mentioned in this paper, which helps explain observed patterns in bargaining, deterrence, the origins of wars, as well as suggesting why states are less likely to behave aggressively when doing so would produce gains than when such behavior might prevent losses.
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Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation
Paul K. Huth,Bruce Russett +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed fifty-eight cases and summarized previous findings that extended deterrence is likely to succeed when the immediate or short-term balance of forces favors the defender, when any previous crisis involving the same adversaries resulted in stalemate rather than clear victory for either, and when the military and diplomatic bargaining process is characterized by tit-for-tat or firm-but-flexible strategies rather than bullying or appeasement.
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DETERRENCE: The Elusive Dependent Variable
TL;DR: The authors examines two prominent studies of immediate extended deterrence that do not deal adequately with the problems inherent in constructing a valid data set for quantitative analysis and suggests ways of testing theories of deterrence that can reduce the threats to valid inference.