SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Shinichiro Fujimori,Tomoko Hasegawa,Toshihiko Masui,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Diego Silva Herran,Hancheng Dai,Yasuaki Hijioka,Mikiko Kainuma +7 more
TLDR
In this article, the authors quantified the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) using AIM/CGE (Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/Computable General Equilibrium).Citations
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The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
Keywan Riahi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Elmar Kriegler,Jae Edmonds,Brian C. O'Neill,Shinichiro Fujimori,Nico Bauer,Katherine Calvin,Rob Dellink,Oliver Fricko,Wolfgang Lutz,Alexander Popp,Jesus Crespo Cuaresma,Samir Kc,Samir Kc,Marian Leimbach,Leiwen Jiang,Tom Kram,Shilpa Rao,Johannes Emmerling,Kristie L. Ebi,Tomoko Hasegawa,Petr Havlik,Florian Humpenöder,Lara Aleluia Da Silva,Steve Smith,Elke Stehfest,Valentina Bosetti,Valentina Bosetti,Jiyong Eom,Jiyong Eom,David E.H.J. Gernaat,Toshihiko Masui,Joeri Rogelj,Jessica Strefler,Laurent Drouet,Volker Krey,Gunnar Luderer,Mathijs Harmsen,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Lavinia Baumstark,Jonathan C. Doelman,Mikiko Kainuma,Zbigniew Klimont,Giacomo Marangoni,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Michael Obersteiner,Andrzej Tabeau,Massimo Tavoni,Massimo Tavoni +50 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications, and find that associated costs strongly depend on three factors: (1) the policy assumptions, (2) the socioeconomic narrative, and (3) the stringency of the target.
Journal ArticleDOI
Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
Joeri Rogelj,Joeri Rogelj,Alexander Popp,Katherine Calvin,Gunnar Luderer,Johannes Emmerling,David E.H.J. Gernaat,David E.H.J. Gernaat,Shinichiro Fujimori,Shinichiro Fujimori,Jessica Strefler,Tomoko Hasegawa,Tomoko Hasegawa,Giacomo Marangoni,Volker Krey,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Jonathan C. Doelman,Laurent Drouet,Jae Edmonds,Oliver Fricko,Mathijs Harmsen,Mathijs Harmsen,Petr Havlik,Florian Humpenöder,Elke Stehfest,Massimo Tavoni,Massimo Tavoni +29 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe scenarios that limit end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9 Wm−2, and consequently restrict median warming in the year 2100 to below 1.5 W m−2.
Mitigation Pathways Compatible with 1.5°C in the Context of Sustainable Development
Joeri Rogelj,Drew Shindell,Kejun Jiang,Solomone Fifita,Veronika Ginzburg,Collins Handa,Haroon S. Kheshgi,Shigeki Kobayashi,Elmar Kriegler,Luis Mundaca,Roland Séférian,M.V. Vilarino +11 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a survey of the work of the authors of this paper, including the following authors: Katherine Calvin (USA), Joana Correia de Oliveira de Portugal Pereira (UK/Portugal), Oreane Edelenbosch (Netherlands/Italy), Johannes Emmerling (Italy/Germany), Sabine Fuss (Germany), Thomas Gasser (Austria/France), Nathan Gillett (Canada), Chenmin He (China), Edgar Hertwich (USA/Austria), Lena Höglund-Is
Journal ArticleDOI
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
Alexander Popp,Katherine Calvin,Shinichiro Fujimori,Petr Havlik,Florian Humpenöder,Elke Stehfest,Benjamin Leon Bodirsky,Benjamin Leon Bodirsky,Jan Philipp Dietrich,Jonathan C. Doelmann,Mykola Gusti,Mykola Gusti,Tomoko Hasegawa,Page Kyle,Michael Obersteiner,Andrzej Tabeau,Kiyoshi Takahashi,Hugo Valin,Stephanie Waldhoff,Isabelle Weindl,Isabelle Weindl,Marshall Wise,Elmar Kriegler,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Oliver Fricko,Keywan Riahi,Keywan Riahi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +29 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a systematic interpretation of the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) in terms of possible land-use changes and their consequences for the agricultural system, food provision and prices as well as greenhouse gas emissions is presented.
Journal ArticleDOI
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Oliver Fricko,Petr Havlik,Joeri Rogelj,Zbigniew Klimont,Mykola Gusti,Mykola Gusti,Nils Johnson,Peter Kolp,M. Strubegger,Hugo Valin,Markus Amann,Tatiana Ermolieva,Nicklas Forsell,Mario Herrero,Chris Heyes,Georg Kindermann,Volker Krey,David L. McCollum,Michael Obersteiner,Shonali Pachauri,Shilpa Rao,Erwin Schmid,Wolfgang Schoepp,Keywan Riahi,Keywan Riahi +24 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide background on the quantification that has been selected to serve as the reference, or "marker" implementation for SSP2 and explain how the narrative has been translated into quantitative assumptions in the IIASA Integrated Assessment Modelling Framework.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Jae Edmonds,Mikiko Kainuma,Keywan Riahi,Allison M. Thomson,Kathy Hibbard,George C. Hurtt,George C. Hurtt,Tom Kram,Volker Krey,Jean-Francois Lamarque,Toshihiko Masui,Malte Meinshausen,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Steven J. Smith,Steven K. Rose +17 more
TL;DR: The Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) as discussed by the authors is a set of four new pathways developed for the climate modeling community as a basis for long-term and near-term modeling experiments.
Journal ArticleDOI
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Richard H. Moss,Jae Edmonds,Kathy Hibbard,Martin R. Manning,Steven K. Rose,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Timothy R. Carter,Seita Emori,Mikiko Kainuma,Tom Kram,Gerald A. Meehl,John F. B. Mitchell,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Keywan Riahi,Steven J. Smith,Ronald J. Stouffer,Allison M. Thomson,John P. Weyant,Thomas J. Wilbanks +19 more
TL;DR: A new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community is described.
Special report on emissions scenarios
Nebojsa Nakicenovic,Joseph Alcamo,Gerald F. Davis,Bert de Vries,Joergen Fenhann,Stuart Gaffin,Kermeth Gregory,Amulf Griibler,Tae Y. Jung,Tom Kram,Emilio Lèbre La Rovere,Laurie Michaelis,S. Mori,Tsuneyuki Morita,William Pepper,Hugh M. Pitcher,Lynn Price,Keywan Riahi,Alexander Roehrl,Hans-Holger Rogner,Alexei Sankovski,Michael E. Schlesinger,Priyadarshi R. Shukla,Steven J. Smith,Robert Swart,Sascha van Rooijen,Nadejda M. Victor,Zhou Dadi +27 more
TL;DR: Nakicenovic, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G., Vries, B. van; Victor, N.; Zhou, D. de; Fenhann, J.; Gaffin, S.; Gregory, K.; Grubler, A.; Jung, T. La; Michaelis, L.; Mori, S; Morita, T.; Pepper, W.; Pitcher, H.; Price, L., Riahi, K; Rogner, H-H.; Sankovski, A; Schlesinger, M.; Shuk
Journal ArticleDOI
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Kristie L. Ebi,Stephane Hallegatte,Timothy R. Carter,Ritu Mathur,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +8 more
TL;DR: A conceptual framework for how to define and develop a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for use within the scenario framework for climate change research is proposed.
Journal ArticleDOI
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Kristie L. Ebi,Eric Kemp-Benedict,Keywan Riahi,Dale S. Rothman,Bas van Ruijven,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Joern Birkmann,Kasper Kok,Marc A. Levy,William Solecki +12 more
TL;DR: The SSP narratives as discussed by the authors is a set of five qualitative descriptions of future changes in demographics, human development, economy and lifestyle, policies and institutions, technology, and environment and natural resources, which can serve as a basis for integrated scenarios of emissions and land use, as well as climate impact, adaptation and vulnerability analyses.
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The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
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The representative concentration pathways: an overview
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