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Journal ArticleDOI

The Determinants of Success of Special Interests in Redistributive Politics

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors examine what determines whether an interest group will receive favors in pork-barrel politics, using a model of majority voting with two competing parties, where each group's membership is heterogeneous in its ideological affinity for the parties.
Abstract
We examine what determines whether an interest group will receive favors in pork-barrel politics, using a model of majority voting with two competing parties. Each group's membership is heterogeneous in its ideological affinity for the parties. Individuals face a trade-off between party affinity and their own transfer receipts. The model is general enough to yield two often-discussed but competing theories as special cases. If the parties are equally effective in delivering transfers to any group, then the outcome of the process conforms to the "swing voter" theory: both parties woo the groups that are politically central, and most willing to switch their votes in response to economic favors. If groups have party affinities, and each party is more effective in delivering favors to its own support group, then we can get the "machine politics" outcome, where each party favors its core support group. We derive these results theoretically, and illustrate their operation in particular examples.

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Journal ArticleDOI

When is Democracy an Equilibrium?: Theory and Evidence from Colombia's La Violencia

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that although the probability of winning an election increases with the size of a group, so does the likelihood of winning a fight, and that in a situation where all groups have a high chance of winning elections, they may also have high chance to win a fight.
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Using the Predicted Responses from List Experiments as Explanatory Variables in Regression Models

TL;DR: In this article, a maximum likelihood estimator that is fully efficient and applicable to a wide range of models is proposed. But, this estimator can only be applied to linear models and is statistically inefficient.
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Electoral Risk and Redistributive Politics in Mexico and the United States

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that the federal administrations in both countries responded to systematic electoral risk by spending diversification into risky voters, which was a rational response to chances of losing elections.
References
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Book

An Economic Theory of Democracy

Anthony Downs
TL;DR: Downs presents a rational calculus of voting that has inspired much of the later work on voting and turnout as discussed by the authors, particularly significant was his conclusion that a rational voter should almost never bother to vote.
Journal ArticleDOI

Balanced-budget redistribution as the outcome of political competition

TL;DR: In this article, balanced budget redistribution between socioeconomic groups is modeled as the outcome of electoral competition between two political parties, and a sufficient condition for existence is given, requiring that there be enough heterogeneity with respect to party preferences in the electorate.
Journal ArticleDOI

Electoral Politics as a Redistributive Game

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors argue that the optimal strategy for risk-averse candidates will be to promise redistributions first and foremost to their reelection constituency and thereby to maintain existing political coalitions.
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Political Preferences for the Pork Barrel: A Generalization

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a rational explanation for the observation of oversized coalitions, often approaching unanimous size, in the realm of distributive policies, i.e., policies which concentrate benefits in specific geographic areas (states, congressional districts) while spreading costs through general taxation.
Journal ArticleDOI

Incentives to cultivate favored minorities under alternative electoral systems

TL;DR: In this article, a simple game model is used to compare the incentives for candidates to create inequalities among otherwise homogeneous voters, by making campaign promises that favor small groups, rather than appealing equally to all voters.
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