Showing papers on "Human capital published in 1991"

A Theory of Debt Based on the Inalienability of Human Capital

Abstract: Consider an entrepreneur whocneeds to raise funds from an investor, but cannot commit not to withdraw his human capital from the project The possibility of a default or quit puts an upper bound on the total indebtedness from the entrepreneur to the investor at any date We characterize the optimal repayment path and show how it is affected both by the maturity structure of the project return stream and by the durability and specificity of project assets Our results are consistent with the conventional wisdom about what determines the maturity structure of (long-term) debt contracts(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item)

Productivity Gains From Geographic Concentration of human Capital: Evidence From the Cities

Abstract: Based on recent theoretical developments I argue that the average level of human capital is a local public good. Cities with higher average levels of human capital should therefore have higher wages and higher land rents. After conditioning on the characteristics of individual workers and dwellings, this prediction is supported by data for Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSAs) in the United States, where the SMSA average levels of formal education and work experience are used as proxies for the average level of human capital. I evaluate the alternative explanations of omitted SMSA variables and self-selection. I conclude by computing an estimate of the effect of an additional year of average education on total factor productivity.

Ethnic Capital and Intergenerational Mobility

Abstract: This paper analyzes the extent to which ethnic skill differentials are transmitted across generations. I assume that ethnicity acts as an externality in the human capital accumulation process. The skills of the next generation depend on parental inputs and on the quality of the ethnic environment in which parents make their investments, or "ethnic capital." The empirical evidence reveals that the skills of today's generation depend not only on the skills of their parents, but also on the average skills of the ethnic group in the parent's generation.

Specific Capital, Mobility, and Wages: Wages Rise with Job Seniority

Abstract: The idea that wages rise relative to alternatives as job seniority accumulates is the foundation of the theory of specific human capital, as well as other widely accepted theories of compensation. The fact that persons with longer job tenures typically earn higher wages tends to support these views, yet this evidence ignores the decisions that have brought individuals to the combination of wages, job tenure, and experience that are observed in survey data. Allowing for sources of bias generated by these decisions, this paper uses longitudinal data to estimate a lower bound on the average return to job seniority among adult men. I find that 10 years of current job seniority raise the wage of the typical male worker in the United States by over 25 percent. This is an estimate of what the typical worker would lose if his job were to end exogenously. Overall, the evidence implies that accumulation of specific capital is an important ingredient of the typical employment relationship and of life cycle earnings ...

"Overeducation" in the Labor Market

Abstract: This article examines the reasons for the observed discrepancy between workers' actual and required levels of schooling and the resulting differences in returns to schooling, "Overeducated" workers are found to be younger and to have lower amounts of on-the-job training than workers with the required level of schooling. They also have higher rates of firm and occupational mobility, characterized by movement of higher-level occupations. The findings suggest that overeducation can be explained by the trade-off between schooling and other components of human capital and by the mobility patterns of overeducated workers.

Human Capital Investments or Norms of Role Transition? How Women's Schooling and Career Affect the Process of Family Formation

Abstract: Proponents of the "new home economics" hypothesize that women's growing economic independence largely accounts for the rise in delayed marriage and motherhood in industrialized societies. This article assesses this hypothesis for the Federal Republic of Gernamy by estimating the dynamic effects of women's educational and career investments on the timing of family events. Eventhistory analysis shows that the delaying effect on the timing of the first marriage across cohorts does not result from an increase in the quality of women's human capital investiments as posited by the new home economics. Rather, women's extended participation in schooling delays their transition to adulthood, an effect aligned with normative expectations that young women in school are "not ready" for marriage and motherhood. Increasing career resources, however, do lead women to postpone or avoid having children.

Workings of a City: Location, Education, and Production

Abstract: We examine the implications of local externalities in human capital investment for the size and composition of the productive labor force. The model links residential choice, skills acquisition, and production in a city composed of several communities. Peer effects induce self-segregation by occupation, whereas efficiency may require identical communities. Even when some asymmetry is optimal, equilibrium segregation can cause entire 'ghettos" to drop out of the labor force. Underemployment is more extensive. the easier it is for high-skill workers to isolate themselves from others. When perfect segregation is feasible, individual incentives to pursue it are self-defeating, and lead instead to a shutdown of the productive sector.

Intergenerational Trade, Longevity, and Economic Growth

Abstract: We develop an overlapping-generations model of endogenous growth in which human capital is the engine of growth and the generations are linked through material and emotional interdependencies within the family. Parents invest in their children to achieve both old-age support (care) and emotional gratification, and material support from children is determined through self-enforcing implicit contracts. We show that optimal intergenerational trade can then lead to maximization of growth opportunities. Our model produces a theory of the "demographic transition" linking longevity, fertility, and economic growth. We also show that while population aging may raise the growth rate, an increase in young-age longevity is likely to produce a greater increase in the growth rate and a reduction in the fertility rate in a growth equilibrium. These predictions and the model's implications concerning the behavior of private savings during the takeoff period appear consistent with empirical evidence.

A Theory of Debt Based on the Inalienability of Human Capital

Abstract: Consider an entrepreneur who needs to raise funds from an investor, but cannot commit not to withdraw his human capital from the project. The possibility of a default or quit puts an upper bound on the total future indebtedness from the entrepreneur to the investor at any date. We characterize the optimal repayment path and show how it is affected both by the maturity structure of the project return stream and by the durability and specificity of project assets. Our results are consistent with the conventional wisdom about what determines the maturity structure of (long-term) debt contracts.

Vintage Human Capital, Growth, and the Diffusion of New Technology

Abstract: We develop a model of vintage human capital in which each technology requires vintage-specific skills. We examine the properties of a stationary equilibrium for our economy. The stationary equilibrium is characterized by an endogenous distribution of skilled workers across vintages. The distribution is shown to be single-peaked. Under general conditions, there is a lag between the appearance of a technology and its peak usage, a phenomenon known as diffusion. An increase in the rate of exogenous technological change shifts the distribution of human capital to more recent vintages, thereby increasing the diffusion rate.

A Microeconomic Mechanism for Economic Growth

Abstract: This paper constructs a dynamic general equilibrium model in which economic growth is explained by the evolution of the division of labor. The relationships among the accumulation of human capital, the evolution of the division of labor, endogenous comparative advantage, trade dependence, the market structure, and economic growth are investigated.

The Economic Organization of the Household

Abstract: Surveying the field of the economics of the household, the second edition of this text reviews the theory of the consumer at the intermediate undergraduate level. It then applies and extends it to consumer demand and expenditures, consumption and saving, time allocation among market work, home work, and leisure, human capital emphasizing investment in education, children and health, fertility, marriage, and divorce. Influenced by Gary Becker and his associates, the models developed are used to help explain modern U.S. trends in family behavior. Topics are discussed with the aid of geometry and a little algebra. For those with calculus, mathematical endnotes provide the models on which the text discussions are based and interesting applications beyond the scope of the text.

The determinants of growth

Abstract: The growth theories of the 1950s and 1960s emphasized capital accumulation and technical progress as explanations of growth. More recently theoretical attention has focused on the understanding of progress in terms of learning/human capital (in the tradition of K. Arrow) and investment in research (following H. Uzawa). These newer developments have made some, but only limited, progress. The experience of developing countries suggests that the agenda should be broadened to include the efficiency of factor use, infrastructure (broadly interpreted), and sectoral allocation. These aspects, together with the Kaldorian concern for dynamic increasing returns, provide substantial promise for future research. Copyright 1991 by Royal Economic Society.

Human Capital, Technology, and the Wage Structure: What Do Time Series Show?

Abstract: The major purpose of this study was to detect effects of technologically based changes in demand for human capital on the educational and experience wage structure in annual CPS data, 1963 to 1987. Major findings are: 1. Year-to-year educational wage differentials are quite closely tracked by relative supplies of young graduates, and by indexes of relative demand, such as research and development (R & D) expenditures per worker, and ratios of service to goods employment. Of these, R and D indexes account for most of the explanatory power. Indexes of (Jorgenson type) productivity growth and of international competition are significant as alternatives, but show weaker explanatory power. 2. The observed steepening of experience profiles of wages is explained, in part, by changes in relative demographic supplies (cohort effects), and in part by the growing profitability of human capital which extends to that acquired on the job. Evidence appears in the significance of profitability variables or in demand factors underlying them, given the relative demographic supplies in the wage profile equations.

Growth, Distribution and Politics

Abstract: We start by arguing that to understand growth differences across countries and time, one needs to understand differences in public policies that affect the incentives for productive accumulation of capital, human capital, or technically useful knowledge. And to understand policy differences one needs to understand how political institutions aggregate conflicting interests into public policies. We then survey some recent work along these lines, which argues that more inequality leads to slower growth. Next, we illustrate some of the basic ideas of this work, by help of a simple model of taxation. We also present some econometric cross-country evidence, which is largely supportive of the basic ideas. We end by suggestions for further work.

A Political Economy of the Middle East: State, Class, and Economic Development.

Abstract: The framework of the study overview of economic growth and structural change the impact of rapid population growth human capital health and education agriculture and food security the emergence of the public sector contradictions of state-led growth the emergence of Infitah urban political economy political regimes - as they are and as they view themselves solidarism and its enemies the military and the state labour migration, regionalism, and the future of the oil economies class interests and the state.

On the economic rationale for codetermination law

Abstract: This paper develops a positive (efficiency) economic case for codetermination law resting on the correction of labor and capital market and organizational failures. A legally mandated codetermination structure is shown to provide employee ‘checks’ on several structural incentives for management opportunism. Codetermination is shown to offer advantages for technical efficiency, skill development and knowledge generation through its protection of specific human capital investments. Financial markets cannot enforce codetermination due to a set of free rider problems.

Local Economic Conditions and Wage Labor Decisions of Farm and Rural Nonfarm Couples

Abstract: Effects of geographical differences in local economic conditions on wage labor demand and wage labor participation decisions of rural couples are examined for Current Population Survey households 1978–82. Wage premiums are shown to exist for localities anticipating labor demand growth, higher unemployment rates, larger share of employment in services, and higher costs of living. These effects are stronger for males than females. Effects of local economic conditions on the probability of wage work are consistent with expected market wage and reservation wage effects, and for farm households the probability of wage work increases when expected farm output prices decline or the wage increases.

Korea in the world economy

Abstract: This study examines the factors that have contributed to the "Korean Miracle": an active role by government in managing the economy; an outward-oriented trade policy; market and nonmarket factors, including culture, rapid physical and human capital accumulation rates; and macroeconomic and exchange rate policy, and international borrowing. Despite Korea's outstanding performance since 1962, the author argues that his country is now at a crucial policy juncture. Competition in the world economy and the welcome movement toward democracy in Korea will require new strategies and political consensus to promote growth and equity. The author provides policy recommendations for how Korea can meet the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. Special attention is focused on Korea's growing stature in the world economy and the role Korea can play to promote international economic cooperation in Asia and at the global level. He also addresses the question of whether the "Korean model" is relevant to other countries.

Strategic competitiveness in the 1990s: challenges and opportunities for U.S. executives

Abstract: Executive Overview U.S. firms face a major global competitiveness challenge. Although the problems relate, in part, to differences in the economic structure, history and cultural differences between the U.S. and foreign rivals, these factors may not explain as much of the variance in competitiveness as they did in the past. Competitiveness problems are also linked to a number of strategic factors under the control of managers. Among them are the absorption of managerial energy in mergers and acquisitions, increasing levels of debt, increasing firm size, greater firm diversification, lack of investment in human capital and inappropriate corporate culture. In response to these problems, many firms are restructuring. When executed properly, restructuring can help managers regain strategic control and improve the competitiveness of their companies. However, restructuring efforts must be accompanied by a renewed emphasis on competitive strengths, improvements in human resource development programs, a refocus o...

A Cross-Country Study of Growth, Saving, and Government

Abstract: Models of endogenous economic growth can generate long-term growth without relying on exogenous changes in technology or population. A general feature of these models is the presence of constant or increasing returns in the factors that can be accumulated. I use some models of this type to study the determination of per capita growth, investment in physical and human capital, and population growth. The determinants of these variables involve aspects of government policy - including public infrastructure services, maintenance of property rights, government consumption, and taxation - and the initial level of per capita income. I examine the predicted relationships by using a cross-country sample that expands on the Summers-Heston set of about 120 countries. Aside from their data on levels of per capita GDP and the breakdown of GDP into components, I have added information about the composition of government expenditures, proxies for economic freedom and property rights, measures of political stability, and so on. This expansion in variables reduced the number of countries to 72. The findings verify some of the predictions about the determination of growth and investment/saving rates. For example, government consumption and investment spending, and proxies for economic freedom show up as suggested by the models. Also, the interplay among population growth, investment in human capital (school enrollment), and the initial level of per capita income confirm theoretical predictions about the tradeoff between the quantity and quality of children. I anticipate that additional results will emerge from my ongoing research in this area.(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Ethnic Capital and Intergenerational Mobility

Abstract: This paper analyzes the extent to which ethnic skill differentials are transmitted across generations. I assume that ethnicity acts as an externality in the human capital accumulation process. The skills of the next generation depend on parental inputs and on the quality of the ethnic environment in which parents make their investments, or "ethnic capital." The empirical evidence reveals that the skills of today's generation depend not only on the skills of their parents, but also on the average skills of the ethnic group in the parent's generation.

Productivity Gains from Geographic Concentration of Human Capital: Evidence from the Cities

Abstract: Based on recent theoretical developments I argue that the average level of human capital is a local public good. Cities with higher average levels of human capital should therefore have higher wages and higher land rents. After conditioning on the characteristics of individual workers and dwellings, this prediction is supported by data for Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSAs) in the United States, where the SMSA average levels of formal education and work experience are used as proxies for the average level of human capital. I evaluate the alternative explanations of omitted SMSA variables and self-selection. I conclude by computing an estimate of the effect of an additional year of average education on total factor productivity.

Global work force 2000: the new world labor market.

Abstract: Just as there are global markets for products, technology, and capital, managers must now think of one for labor. Over the next 15 years, human capital, once the most stationary factor in production, will cross national borders with greater and greater ease. Driving the globalization of labor is a growing imbalance between the world's labor supply and demand. While the developed world accounts for most of the world's gross domestic product, its share of the world work force is shrinking. Meanwhile, in the developing countries, the work force is quickly expanding as many young people approach working age and as women join the paid work force in great numbers. The quality of that work force is also rising as developing countries like Brazil and China generate growing proportions of the world's college graduates. Developing nations that combine their young, educated workers with investor-friendly policies could leapfrog into new industries. South Korea, Taiwan, Poland, and Hungary are particularly well positioned for such growth. And industrialized countries that keep barriers to immigration low will be able to tap world labor resources to sustain their economic growth. The United States and some European nations have the best chance of encouraging immigration, while Japan will have trouble overcoming its cultural and language barriers.

The Effect of Illicit Drug Use on the Wages of Young Adults

Abstract: This article examines the effects of cocaine and marijuana use on the wages of young adults. The endogeneity of drug use in a wage equation is considered, and a two-stage least squares procedure is implemented. The results suggest that increased use of marijuana or cocaine is associated with higher wages. The positive relationship between drug use and the wage does not diminish with age. I also investigate whether systematic differences in the return to measures of human capital investments can explain the positive relationship between drug use and wages.

Human Capital, Technology, and the Wage Structure: What Do Time Series Show?

Abstract: The major purpose of this study was to detect effects of technologically based changes in demand for human capital on the educational and experience wage structure in annual CPS data, 1963 to 1987. Major findings are: 1. Year-to-year educational wage differentials are quite closely tracked by relative supplies of young graduates, and by indexes of relative demand, such as research and development (R & D) expenditures per worker, and ratios of service to goods employment. Of these, R and D indexes account for most of the explanatory power. Indexes of (Jorgenson type) productivity growth and of international competition are significant as alternatives, but show weaker explanatory power. 2. The observed steepening of experience profiles of wages is explained, in part, by changes in relative demographic supplies (cohort effects), and in part by the growing profitability of human capital which extends to that acquired on the job. Evidence appears in the significance of profitability variables or in demand factors underlying them, given the relative demographic supplies in the wage profile equations.