Showing papers in "Energy Strategy Reviews in 2016"

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyse two long-term scenarios developed by the Paul Scherrer Institute and the World Energy Council, which describe two alternative economic and energy system developments, and find that establishing universal electricity access by 2030 requires significant, but attainable investments in power generation infrastructure, and results in low impacts on primary energy demand and CO2 emissions.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigated spot electricity price forecasting performance of Autoregressive-GARCH models on Indian spot electricity prices series, and evaluated the performance of the calibrated models by using the conditional mean and conditional variance equations.

TL;DR: The current literature on energy access highlights energy deprivation on a regional or country basis, but frequently neglects those outside of national energy agendas such as refugees and displaced people as discussed by the authors, who are often outside of the national energy agenda.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a comparison of major input assumptions and outputs of recent studies focused on mitigating to the most stringent targets explored, which means around the 2°C level of global average temperature increase by 2100.

TL;DR: In this article, a case study for the evolution of a MENA energy system toward an increasingly sustainable power generation mix is presented, which shows that rooftop solar PV can be an economically viable technology choice and hence will increasingly become part of regional energy strategies as technology costs continue to fall and tariff reforms continue to gain traction.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors combine consistent and realistic narratives on several technology dimensions with a global sensitivity analysis in a national, bottom-up, optimizing energy system model to produce structured insights into the impact of low-carbon technology and resource availability on the long-term development of the UK energy system under ambitious decarbonisation pathways.

TL;DR: In this article, a review of the political economy of grid-connected solar energy in India is presented, while unpacking and illustrating the temporal evolution of policy and institutions responsible for solar energy development.

TL;DR: In this article, a number of scenario studies to assess the share of Russian natural gas in the European natural gas mix going forward are presented, and the authors conclude that remarkable little changes in the EU natural gas mixture are observed in the scenarios under study, and that absent very drastic policy interventions Russian Natural Gas will continue to play a prominent role in the future.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors demonstrate the integration of institutional perspectives on energy system transitions into formal energy economic modelling, and highlight some of the regional political dimensions associated with future investment targeting in the UK energy system.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present transformation scenarios for the case of Austria with GHG reduction to about 20% of the Kyoto baseline, with an optimization model integrating the energy sector, land use and biomass flows.

TL;DR: Wang et al. as mentioned in this paper analyzed the total industrial energy consumption and energy-related carbon emission of Tianjin from 2003 to 2012, and a model was able to predict the future with a high degree of accuracy to check if the target can be achieved that reduce its energy consumption per unit of GDP by 18% and carbon emission per unit GDP by 17% during the 12th five-year period.

TL;DR: In this article, a scenario-based method was developed to analyze the influence of external factors on energy security, focusing on passenger and freight transport, by analysing the vulnerabilities and capabilities of five different climate mitigation strategies, investigating previous security scenarios and identifying uncertain drivers.

TL;DR: In this paper, a power structure of economic models of price responsive loads, based on price elasticity of electricity demand, perceived price and customer benefit function, was proposed to estimate the influences of block pricing policy and TOU-block pricing policy on residential electricity demand and electricity expenses.

TL;DR: In this paper, a techno-economic optimisation model of the Alberta power system is developed in the Open Source Energy Modelling System (OSeMOSYS) to explore the impact of carbon pricing to 2060.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed the long-term development options of the Lithuanian energy sector and proposed different measures to increase the country's electricity supply security and their costs to electricity consumers through the special design of scenarios analyzed.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors compare six energy models that have played various roles in informing the state policymakers in setting climate policy goals and targets, including stock-turnover back-casting models, a least-cost optimization model, macroeconomic/macro-econometric models, and an electricity dispatch model.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors reviewed the details of the recent Sino-Russian gas deal and also of the preceding oil agreements, as well as their implications for SinoRussian energy cooperation.

TL;DR: In this paper, three scenarios of electricity demand in Cameroon are presented, assuming different economic growth levels, and the corresponding expansion of the electricity generation system and its emissions were then analyzed.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors align the study of gas and power industries by providing a holistic framework for the thorough identification and discussion of power and gas sector structure, infrastructure, market, and regulatory drivers.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors evaluate the Green Deal policy landscape in relation to the requirement of energy efficiency retrofit services (EERS) sector expansion and find that EERS expansion is most successful if policies are designed more holistically; UK policies show strategies which focus on simply the property and not the occupants have their disadvantages.

TL;DR: In this article, an analysis of coal-powered power generation in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia showed that coal would provide lower cost generation than either solar or nuclear power in the near-term.

TL;DR: In this article, the macroeconomic and sectoral effects of differentials in energy prices between the EU and the non-EU countries in the horizon to 2050 are assessed with the use of GEM-E3, a Computable General Equilibrium model.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed the investment in energy resources use for electricity supply security in Rwanda during a study period that spanned the years of 2013-2045, scenarios involving population and average GDP growth rates are used for the analysis of future electricity demand and supply.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors deal with the problem of the long-term valuation of a HPS plant participating in the DAM and IM markets for a horizon of thirty-five (35) years.

TL;DR: In this paper, a portfolio approach is developed and applied to the case of the US Corn Belt, considering various types of cellulosic biomass including corn stover, wheat straw, and switchgrass.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the random walk hypothesis for electricity consumption in sub-Saharan Africa countries over the period 1971-2013 by applying univariate and panel unit root tests.

TL;DR: The demand of natural uranium of two different cycle options of China's PWRs were calculated in this paper, and the sensitivity analysis was made to identify the most influential parameters in the final price.

TL;DR: In this article, a response surface (RS) model using Box-Behnken design (BBD) technique for predicting the reliability of a hybrid off-grid power system (HOPS) is presented.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors use the MEOS model to assess the possible impact of Polish unconventional gas (UNG) production on natural gas flows through the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that only Slovakia's NPPs can effectively diversify the fuel for the VVER-440 fleet, as Slovakia is the only country without long-term contractual obstacles to changing suppliers.