Showing papers in "Innovation-the European Journal of Social Science Research in 2020"

Mechanisms of Plant Responses and Adaptation to Soil Salinity.

Abstract: Soil salinity is a major environmental stress that restricts the growth and yield of crops. Understanding the physiological, metabolic, and biochemical responses of plants to salt stress and mining the salt tolerance-associated genetic resource in nature will be extremely important for us to cultivate salt-tolerant crops. In this review, we provide a comprehensive summary of the mechanisms of salt stress responses in plants, including salt stress-triggered physiological responses, oxidative stress, salt stress sensing and signaling pathways, organellar stress, ion homeostasis, hormonal and gene expression regulation, metabolic changes, as well as salt tolerance mechanisms in halophytes. Important questions regarding salt tolerance that need to be addressed in the future are discussed.

Urban Air Pollution May Enhance COVID-19 Case-Fatality and Mortality Rates in the United States.

Abstract: Background The novel human coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has claimed more than 600,000 lives worldwide, causing tremendous public health, social, and economic damages. Although the risk factors of COVID-19 are still under investigation, environmental factors, such as urban air pollution, may play an important role in increasing population susceptibility to COVID-19 pathogenesis. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional nationwide study using zero-inflated negative binomial models to estimate the association between long-term (2010–2016) county-level exposures to NO2, PM2.5, and O3 and county-level COVID-19 case-fatality and mortality rates in the United States. We used both single- and multi-pollutant models and controlled for spatial trends and a comprehensive set of potential confounders, including state-level test positive rate, county-level health care capacity, phase of epidemic, population mobility, population density, sociodemographics, socioeconomic status, race and ethnicity, behavioral risk factors, and meteorology. Results From January 22, 2020, to July 17, 2020, 3,659,828 COVID-19 cases and 138,552 deaths were reported in 3,076 US counties, with an overall observed case-fatality rate of 3.8%. County-level average NO2 concentrations were positively associated with both COVID-19 case-fatality rate and mortality rate in single-, bi-, and tri-pollutant models. When adjusted for co-pollutants, per interquartile-range (IQR) increase in NO2 (4.6 ppb), COVID-19 case-fatality rate and mortality rate were associated with an increase of 11.3% (95% CI 4.9%–18.2%) and 16.2% (95% CI 8.7%–24.0%), respectively. We did not observe significant associations between COVID-19 case-fatality rate and long-term exposure to PM2.5 or O3, although per IQR increase in PM2.5 (2.6 μg/m3) was marginally associated, with a 14.9% (95% CI 0.0%–31.9%) increase in COVID-19 mortality rate when adjusted for co-pollutants. Discussion Long-term exposure to NO2, which largely arises from urban combustion sources such as traffic, may enhance susceptibility to severe COVID-19 outcomes, independent of long-term PM2.5 and O3 exposure. The results support targeted public health actions to protect residents from COVID-19 in heavily polluted regions with historically high NO2 levels. Continuation of current efforts to lower traffic emissions and ambient air pollution may be an important component of reducing population-level risk of COVID-19 case fatality and mortality.

Modeling the Epidemic Trend of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak in China

Abstract: Mingwang Shen,1,7 Zhihang Peng,2,7 Yanni Xiao,3,* and Lei Zhang1,4,5,6,* 1China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China 2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, PR China 3School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710049, PR China 4Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia 5Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia 6Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, China 7These authors contributed equally *Correspondence: lei.zhang1@xjtu.edu.cn (L.Z.); yxiao@mail.xjtu.edu.cn (Y.X.) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2020.100048 a 2020 The Author(s). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Laboratory Diagnosis and Monitoring the Viral Shedding of SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

Abstract: The worldwide epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is ongoing. Rapid and accurate detection of the causative virus SARS-CoV-2 is vital for the treatment and control of COVID-19. In this study, the comparative sensitivity of different respiratory specimen types were retrospectively analyzed using 3,552 clinical samples from 410 COVID-19 patients confirmed by Guangdong CDC (Center for Disease Control and Prevention). Except for bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF), the sputum possessed the highest positive rate (73.4%-87.5%), followed by nasal swabs (53.1%-85.3%) for both severe and mild cases during the first 14 days after illness onset (d.a.o.). Viral RNA could be detected in all BALF samples collected from the severe group within 14 d.a.o. and lasted up to 46 d.a.o. Moreover, although viral RNA was negative in the upper respiratory samples, it was also positive in BALF samples in most cases from the severe group during treatment. Notably, no viral RNA was detected in BALF samples from the mild group. Despite typical ground-glass opacity observed via computed tomographic scans, no viral RNA was detected in the first three or all upper respiratory tract specimens from some COVID-19 patients. In conclusion, sputum is most sensitive for routine laboratory diagnosis of COVID-19, followed by nasal swabs. Detection of viral RNA in BALF improves diagnostic accuracy in severe COVID-19 patients.

Surface Enhanced Raman Scattering Revealed by Interfacial Charge-Transfer Transitions.

Abstract: Surface enhanced Raman scattering (SERS) is a fingerprint spectral technique whose performance is highly dependent on the physicochemical properties of the substrate materials. In addition to the traditional plasmonic metal substrates that feature prominent electromagnetic enhancements, boosted SERS activities have been reported recently for various categories of non-metal materials, including graphene, MXenes, transition-metal chalcogens/oxides, and conjugated organic molecules. Although the structural compositions of these semiconducting substrates vary, chemical enhancements induced by interfacial charge transfer are often the major contributors to the overall SERS behavior, which is distinct from that of the traditional SERS based on plasmonic metals. Regarding charge-transfer-induced SERS enhancements, this short review introduces the basic concepts underlying the SERS enhancements, the most recent semiconducting substrates that use novel manipulation strategies, and the extended applications of these versatile substrates.

Reflections on the Catastrophic 2020 Yangtze River Basin Flooding in Southern China.

Abstract: Ke Wei,1,7 Chaojun Ouyang,2,6,7,* Hongtao Duan,3,4,6 Yunliang Li,3,6 Mingxing Chen,5,6 Jiao Ma,1,6 Huicong An,2,6 and Shu Zhou2,6 1Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China 2Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China 3Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China 4College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127, China 5Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China 6University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China These authors contributed equally *Correspondence: cjouyang@imde.ac.cn https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2020.100038 a 2020 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of COVID-19 in Adolescents and Young Adults

Abstract: Summary Background Adolescents and young adults might play a key role in the worldwide spread of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) because they are more likely to be involved in overseas study, business, work, and travel. However, the epidemiological and clinical characteristics remain unknown. Methods We collected demographic, epidemiological, and clinical data from 46 confirmed COVID-19 patients aged 10 to 35 years from the Chongqing Three Gorges Central Hospital. Several key epidemiological parameters, asymptomatic cases, transmission to family members, and clinical characteristics at admission and during treatment were summarized. Results Of 46 confirmed patients, 14 patients (30.4%) were aged between 10 and 24 years, and 24 (52.2%) patients were male. The estimated mean incubation period was 6.6 days (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.4–9.6). The median serial interval was 1.9 days (95% CI 0.4–6.2). Three of the asymptomatic cases showed transmission to their family members. Only one patient was identified as a severe case at admission. The common symptoms at admission were dry cough (34, 81.0%) and fever (29, 69.1%). Nearly 60% of the patients showed ground-glass opacity on chest computed tomography. Three patients developed acute kidney injury during treatment. Most of the patients (78.3%) recovered and were discharged by the end of the follow-up. Conclusions This single-center study with a relatively small sample size showed that adolescent and young adult patients with COVID-19 had a long incubation period and a short serial interval. The transmission occurred from asymptomatic cases to family members. Fewer patients developed complications during treatment.

Electroreduction of CO2 in Ionic Liquid-Based Electrolytes.

Abstract: Electroreduction of carbon dioxide (CO2) to value-added chemicals and fuels is a promising approach for sustainable energy conversion and storage. Many electrocatalysts have been designed for this purpose and studied extensively. The role of the electrolyte is particularly interesting and is pivotal for designing electrochemical devices by taking advantage of the synergy between electrolyte and catalyst. Recently, ionic liquids as electrolytes have received much attention due to their high CO2 adsorption capacity, high selectivity, and low energy consumption. In this review, we present a comprehensive overview of the recent progress in CO2 electroreduction in ionic liquid-based electrolytes, especially in the performance of different catalysts, the electrolyte effect, as well as mechanism studies to understand the reaction pathway. Perspectives on this interesting area are also discussed for the construction of novel electrochemical systems.

RNA m6A Modification in Cancers: Molecular Mechanisms and Potential Clinical Applications

Abstract: N6-Methyladenosine (m6A) RNA modification brings a new dawn for RNA modification researches in recent years. This posttranscriptional RNA modification is dynamic and reversible, and is regulated by methylases ("writers"), demethylases ("erasers"), and proteins that preferentially recognize m6A modifications ("readers"). The change of RNA m6A modification regulates RNA metabolism in eucaryon, including translation, splicing, exporting, decay, and processing. Thereby the dysregulation of m6A may lead to tumorigenesis and progression. Given the tumorigenic role of abnormal m6A expression, m6A regulators may function as potential clinical therapeutic targets for cancers. In this review, we emphasize on the underlying mechanisms of m6A modifications in tumorigenesis and further introduce the potential m6A regulators-associated therapeutic targets for tumor therapy.

Salinization Increase due to Climate Change Will Have Substantial Negative Effects on Inland Waters: A Call for Multifaceted Research at the Local and Global Scale

Abstract: Erik Jeppesen,1,2,3,4,* Meryem Beklio glu,3,4 Korhan Özkan,4,5 and Zuhal Aky€ urek4,6,7 1Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, 8600 Silkeborg, Denmark 2Sino-Danish Centre for Education and Research, 100049 Beijing, China 3Limnology Laboratory, Department of Biological Sciences, Middle East Technical University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey 4Centre for Ecosystem Research and Implementation (EKOSAM), Middle East Technical University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey 5Institute of Marine Sciences, Middle East Technical University, 33731 Erdemli-Mersin, Turkey 6Department of Civil Engineering, Middle East Technical University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey 7Geodetic and Geographic Information Technologies, Middle East Technical University, 06800 Ankara, Turkey *Correspondence: ej@bios.au.dk https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2020.100030 a 2020 The Author(s). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Unpacking the social innovation ecosystem: an empirically grounded typology of empowering network constellations

Abstract: Social innovation is on the rise as a mode of governance through which to address societal challenges. Seeking to empower SI initiatives, researchers and policy makers are concerned with the develo...

Endogenous Fluorescence Carbon Dots Derived from Food Items.

Abstract: Background Fluorescent carbon dots (CDs) are a novel class of carbon-based nanomaterials that were discovered in 2004. However, nobody knew that CDs existed in food items naturally until 2012. Properties of nanosize materials are distinct from those of their bulk materials due to the particle size and accordingly alter their bioavailability and/or biocompatibility. Therefore, the potential health risk of nanoparticles in food has drawn massive attention. Currently, almost all studies regarding the biosafety of nanoparticles in food have mainly focused on engineered nanoparticles used as food additives and have excluded the endogenous nanoparticles in food. Therefore, investigation of the properties of food-borne fluorescent CDs and their potential health risk to humans is of great significance. Scope and approach This review summarizes the existing literature on fluorescent carbon dots (CDs) in food, with particular attention to their properties, formation process, and the potential health risks posed to consumers. The knowledge gap between food-borne nanoparticles and their potential risks is identified, and future research is proposed. Key findings and conclusions The presence of fluorescent CDs in food produced during food processing has been summarized. Fluorescent CDs less than 10 nm in size mainly contain carbon, oxygen, hydrogen, and/or nitrogen. The presence of CDs in food items was first demonstrated in 2012, and their formation was attributed to heating of the starting material. The properties of CDs in food are different from the engineered nanoparticles used as food as additives and represent a novel kind of nanostructure in food. Further studies should focus on the chronic effects of CDs, although their toxicity is low, because investigations both in vivo and in vitro are limited.

Changes in Life Expectancy of Respiratory Diseases from Attaining Daily PM2.5 Standard in China: A Nationwide Observational Study.

Abstract: Summary Although exposure to air pollution increases the risk of premature mortality and years of life lost (YLL), the effects of daily air quality improvement to the life expectancy of respiratory diseases remained unclear. We applied a generalized additive model (GAM) to assess the associations between daily PM2.5 exposure and YLL from respiratory diseases in 96 Chinese cities during 2013–2016. We further estimated the avoidable YLL, potential gains in life expectancy, and the attributable fraction by assuming daily PM2.5 concentration decrease to the air quality standards of China and World Health Organization. Regional and national results were generated by random-effects meta-analysis. A total of 861,494 total respiratory diseases and 586,962 chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) caused death from 96 Chinese cities were recorded during study period. Each 10 μg/m3 increase of PM2.5 in 3-day moving average (lag02) was associated with 0.16 (95% CI: 0.08, 0.24) years increment in life expectancy from total respiratory diseases. The highest effect was observed in Southwest region with 0.42 (95% CI: 0.22, 0.62) years increase in life expectancy. By attaining the WHO's Air Quality Guidelines, we estimated that an average of 782.09 (95% CI: 438.29, 1125.89) YLLs caused by total respiratory death in each city could be avoided, which corresponded to 1.15% (95% CI: 0.67%, 1.64%) of the overall YLLs, and 0.12 (95% CI: 0.07, 0.17) years increment in life expectancy. The results of COPD were generally consistent with total respiratory diseases. Our findings indicate that reduction in daily PM2.5 concentrations might lead to longer life expectancy from respiratory death.

Future earth and sustainable developments

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Overcoming Resistance to Drugs Targeting KRASG12C Mutation.

Abstract: Activating KRAS mutations are present in 25% of human cancer. Although oncogenic Ras was deemed "undruggable" in the past, recent efforts led to the development of pharmacological inhibitors targeting the KRASG12C mutant, which have shown promise in early clinical trials. The development of allele-specific K-RasG12C inhibitors marked a new chapter in targeting oncogenic KRAS mutant in cancer. However, drug resistance against these new drugs will likely limit their efficacy in the clinic. Genome-wide approaches have been used to interrogate the mechanisms of resistance to K-RasG12C inhibitors, which would facilitate the development of therapeutics overcoming drug resistance. This article reviews the latest progress in resistance to K-RasG12C-targeted therapies and aims to provide insight in future research targeting drug resistance in cancer.

Early Research on COVID-19: A Bibliometric Analysis

Abstract: Summary In December 2019, an outbreak of pneumonia, which was named COVID-2019, emerged as a global health crisis. Scientists worldwide are engaged in attempts to elucidate the transmission and pathogenic mechanisms of the causative coronavirus. COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020, making it critical to track and review the state of research on COVID-19 to provide guidance for further investigations. Here, bibliometric and knowledge mapping analyses of studies on COVID-19 were performed, including more than 1,500 papers on COVID-19 available in the PubMed and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases from January 1, 2020 to March 8, 2020. In this review, we found that because of the rapid response of researchers worldwide, the number of COVID-19-related publications showed a high growth trend in the first 10 days of February; among these, the largest number of studies originated in China, the country most affected by pandemic in its early stages. Our findings revealed that the epidemic situation and data accessibility of different research teams have caused obvious difference in emphases of the publications. Besides, there was an unprecedented level of close cooperation and information sharing within the global scientific community relative to previous coronavirus research. We combed and drew the knowledge map of the SARS-CoV-2 literature, explored early status of research on etiology, pathology, epidemiology, treatment, prevention, and control, and discussed knowledge gaps that remain to be urgently addressed. Future perspectives on treatment, prevention, and control are also presented to provide fundamental references for current and future coronavirus research.

Distance Effect of Ni-Pt Dual Sites for Active Hydrogen Transfer in Tandem Reaction.

Abstract: Summary Unveiling the distance effect between different sites in multifunctional catalysts remains a major challenge. Herein, we investigate the distance effect by constructing a dual-site distance-controlled tandem catalyst with a five-layered TiO2/Pt/TiO2/Ni/TiO2 tubular nanostructure by template-assisted atomic layer deposition. In this catalyst, the Ni and Pt sites are separated by a porous TiO2 interlayer, and the distance between them can be precisely controlled on the subnanometer scale by altering the thickness of the interlayer, while the inner and outer porous TiO2 layers are designed for structural stability. The catalyst exhibits superior performance for the tandem hydrazine hydrate decomposition to hydrogen and subsequent nitrobenzene hydrogenation when the Ni and Pt site distance is on the subnanometer level. The performance increases with the decrease of the distance and is better than the catalyst without the TiO2 interlayer. Isotopic and kinetic experiments reveal that the distance effect controls the transfer of active hydrogen, which is the rate-determining step of the tandem reaction in a water solvent. Reduced Ti species with oxygen vacancies on the TiO2 interlayer provide the active sites for hydrogen transfer with -Ti-OH surface intermediates via the continuous chemisorption/desorption of water. A smaller distance induces the generation of more active sites for hydrogen transfer and thus higher efficiency in the synergy of Ni and Pt sites. Our work provides new insight for the distance effect of different active sites and the mechanism of intermediate transfer in tandem reactions.

Culture versus Policy: More Global Collaboration to Effectively Combat COVID-19

Abstract: The outbreak of COVID-19 seriously challenges every government with regard to capacity and management of public health systems facing the catastrophic emergency. Culture and anti-epidemic policy do not necessarily conflict with each other. All countries and governments should be more tolerant to each other in seeking cultural and political consensus to overcome this historically tragic pandemic together.

Therapy of Primary Liver Cancer.

Abstract: Primary liver cancer (PLC) is a fatal disease that affects millions of lives worldwide. PLC is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths and the incidence rate is predicted to rise in the coming decades. PLC can be categorized into three major histological subtypes: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), and combined HCC-ICC. These subtypes are distinct with respect to epidemiology, clinicopathological features, genetic alterations, and clinical managements, which are thoroughly summarized in this review. The state of treatment strategies for each subtype, including the currently approved drugs and the potential novel therapies, are also discussed.

Current Status and Future Perspective of Immunotherapy in Gastrointestinal Cancers.

Abstract: Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers represent a major public health problem worldwide. Due to the late detection and high heterogeneity of GI cancers, traditional treatments, including surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and targeted therapy, have shown limited effects, and the overall prognosis of these patients remains poor. Recently, immunotherapy, involving programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) and its ligand (PD-L1), has shown promising efficacy in several solid cancers and seems to have become a potential treatment option for GI cancers This review focuses on data on the development of immunotherapy-based clinical trials in esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, and colorectal cancer. The predictive biomarkers and combination strategies in clinical trials and translational medicine are also discussed. Finally, prospects for immunotherapy in the treatment of GI cancers are described. Although only a small proportion of patients with GI cancers respond to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade, we strongly believe that precision immunotherapy might improve the overall survival of many more GI cancer patients in the future.

How long-term university-industry collaboration shapes the academic productivity of research groups

Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of long-term university-industry collaboration on academic research productivity. Empirical studies show mixed evidence regarding how collaboration with indus...

Insights into Hepatitis B Virus DNA Integration-55 Years after Virus Discovery

Abstract: Hepatitis B virus (HBV), which was discovered in 1965, is a threat to global public health. HBV infects human hepatocytes and leads to acute and chronic liver diseases, and there is no cure. In cells infected by HBV, viral DNA can be integrated into the cellular genome. HBV DNA integration is a complicated process during the HBV life cycle. Although HBV integration normally results in replication-incompetent transcripts, it can still act as a template for viral protein expression. Of note, it is a primary driver of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, with the development of detection methods and research models, the molecular biology and the pathogenicity of HBV DNA integration have been better revealed. Here, we review the advances in the research of HBV DNA integration, including molecular mechanisms, detection methods, research models, the effects on host and viral gene expression, the role of HBV integrations in the pathogenesis of HCC, and potential treatment strategies. Finally, we discuss possible future research prospects of HBV DNA integration.

Beyond the lean start-up: experimentation in corporate entrepreneurship and innovation

Abstract: In this essay, we argue that entrepreneurship and innovation researchers should pay more attention to experimentation as an approach to innovation and corporate entrepreneurship in established firm...

AI-Enabled Wearable and Flexible Electronics for Assessing Full Personal Exposures.

Abstract: Research on the exposome has been extended to personal exposures, and full assessment of personal exposures is of great significance for personal health monitoring and epidemiological studies. Compared with static measurement instruments, wearable sensors are more suitable for dynamic personal exposures assessment. The development of flexible wearable sensors with the features of being physically comfortable and easy to use can be a promising solution for the measurement of personal exposures. With the support of big data and AI, large-scale personal exposures assessment could foster the transition from population-based to individual-based epidemiological studies and upgrade the intelligence level of medical services.

Trends in Hospital Admission Rates and Associated Direct Healthcare Costs in Brazil: A Nationwide Retrospective Study between 2000 and 2015.

Abstract: Summary Background In Brazil, the increase in non-fatal events presents a new, unprecedented challenge for the free and universally accessible public healthcare system (SUS), the size and nature of which has yet to be reliably quantified. We examined the change in all-cause and cause-specific SUS hospital admissions during 2000 to 2015. Materials and Methods Data on hospital admissions across 1,816 cities were collected from the Brazilian Unified Health System. The age-standardized rates of hospital admissions, the associated healthcare costs, and length of hospital stay were quantified. Stratum analyses were performed by age, sex, region, and cause-specific categories. Results Hospital admission rates decreased by 10.2‰ per decade to 54.2‰ in 2015. For admissions in 2015, healthcare costs per patient equaled US$353 (an increase of $23.5/year since 2000) with an average length of hospital stay of 5 days (a decline of 0.04 days/year since 2000). Circulatory diseases incurred the greatest financial costs. Children and the elderly were most susceptible, especially for pneumonia. Injury and poisoning were the primary reason for admission in adult males, whereas maternal and other female-specific conditions were the highest burden in females. The burden of hospital admission was highest in the south and lowest in the north and northeast. Discussion Although hospital admission rates and length of stay have decreased in Brazil since 2000, the decline has been offset by an increase in direct healthcare costs. Age-, sex-, and region-specific features of the disease burden should be factored into future plans for healthcare expenditure in Brazil.

Modeling the Prevalence of Asymptomatic COVID-19 Infections in the Chinese Mainland

Abstract: Summary Recently, considerable efforts have been focused on intensifying the screening process for asymptomatic COVID-19 cases in the Chinese Mainland, especially for up to 10 million citizens living in Wuhan City by nucleic acid testing. However, a high percentage of domestic asymptomatic cases did not develop into symptomatic ones, which is abnormal and has drawn considerable public attention. Here, we aimed to investigate the prevalence of COVID-19 infections in the Chinese Mainland from a statistical perspective, as it is of referential significance for other regions. By conservatively assuming a development time lag from pre-symptomatic (i.e., referring to the infected cases that were screened before the COVID-19 symptom onset) to symptomatic as an incubation time of 5.2 days, our results indicated that 92.5% of those tested in Wuhan City, China, and 95.1% of those tested in the Chinese Mainland should have COVID-19 syndrome onset, which was extremely higher than their corresponding practical percentages of 0.8% and 3.3%, respectively. We propose that a certain false positive rate may exist if large-scale nucleic acid screening tests for asymptomatic cases are conducted in common communities with a low incidence rate. Despite adopting relatively high-sensitivity, high-specificity detection kits, we estimated a very low prevalence of COVID-19 infections, ranging from 10−6 to 10−4 in both Wuhan City and the Chinese Mainland. Thus, the prevalence rate of asymptomatic infections in China had been at a very low level. Furthermore, given the lower prevalence of the infection, close examination of the data for false positive results is necessary to minimize social and economic impacts.

Daily CO2 Emission Reduction Indicates the Control of Activities to Contain COVID-19 in China

Abstract: Summary Lockdown measures are essential to containing the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but they will slow down economic growth by reducing industrial and commercial activities. However, the benefits of activity control from containing the pandemic have not been examined and assessed. Here we use daily carbon dioxide (CO2) emission reduction in China estimated from statistical data for energy consumption and satellite data for nitrogen dioxide (NO2) measured by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) as an indicator for reduced activities consecutive to a lockdown. We perform a correlation analysis to show that a 1% day−1 decrease in the rate of COVID-19 cases is associated with a reduction in daily CO2 emissions of 0.22% ± 0.02% using statistical data for energy consumption relative to emissions without COVID-19, or 0.20% ± 0.02% using satellite data for atmospheric column NO2. We estimate that swift action in China is effective in limiting the number of COVID-19 cases

Is measuring social innovation a mission impossible

Abstract: The main aim of the paper is to question the viability of measuring social innovation with the current state of knowledge on the one hand, and to make suggestions for better measurement of it on th...

Associations of Residential Greenness with Depression and Anxiety in Rural Chinese Adults.

Abstract: Summary Background Depression and anxiety are top contributors to non-fatal health loss globally. Several studies have indicated the association between residential greenness and mental health. Method The participants (n = 27,366) were recruited from four counties in Henan Province, China during 2015–2017. Symptoms of depression and anxiety were evaluated using the Patient Health Questionnaire-2 (PHQ-2) and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-2 (GAD-2) in the baseline survey. The level of residential greenness during the 3-year period before the baseline survey was assessed using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI). The mixed-effect linear regression model was applied to examine the associations of residential greenness with depression and anxiety. Results The results of adjusted models showed that the score of PHQ-2 (Δscore and 95% confidence interval [CI]) decreased by −0.024 (−0.041, −0.006) and −0.022 (−0.038, −0.004) with an interquartile range (IQR) increase in NDVI and EVI within a 1,000-m buffer radius, respectively. The score of GAD-2 (Δscore and 95% CI) decreased by −0.024 (−0.040, −0.006) and −0.028 (−0.044, −0.011), in relation to an IQR increase in NDVI and EVI within a 1,000-m buffer radius, respectively. Conclusions A higher level of residential greenness was significantly associated with lower risk of depression and anxiety in rural areas of Henan Province. Improving residential greenness accessibility may help to promote the mental health of rural populations.

What Is Required to Prevent a Second Major Outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 upon Lifting Quarantine in Wuhan City, China

Abstract: Summary Background The Chinese government implemented a metropolitan-wide quarantine of Wuhan city on 23rd January 2020 to curb the epidemic of the coronavirus COVID-19. Lifting of this quarantine is imminent. We modelled the effects of two key health interventions on the epidemic when the quarantine is lifted. Methods We constructed a compartmental dynamic model to forecast the trend of the COVID-19 epidemic at different quarantine lifting dates and investigated the impact of different rates of public contact and facial mask usage on the epidemic. Results We projected a declining trend of the COVID-19 epidemic if the current quarantine strategy continues, and Wuhan would record the last new confirmed cases in late April 2020. At the end of the epidemic, 65,733 (45,722-99,015) individuals would be infected by the virus, among which 16,166 (11,238-24,603, 24.6%) were through public contacts, 45,996 (31,892-69,565, 69.7%) through household contact, and 3,571 (2,521-5,879, 5.5%) through hospital contacts (including 778 (553-1,154) non-COVID-19 patients and 2,786 (1,969-4,791) medical staff). A total of 2,821 (1,634-6,361) would die of COVID-19 related pneumonia in Wuhan. Early quarantine lifting on 21st March is viable only if Wuhan residents sustain a high facial mask usage of ≥85% and a pre-quarantine level public contact rate. Delaying city resumption to mid/late April would relax the requirement of facial mask usage to ≥75% at the same contact rate. Conclusions The prevention of a second epidemic is viable after the metropolitan-wide quarantine is lifted but requires a sustaining high facial mask usage and a low public contact rate.