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Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach
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TLDR
The second edition of this book is unique in that it focuses on methods for making formal statistical inference from all the models in an a priori set (Multi-Model Inference).Abstract:
Introduction * Information and Likelihood Theory: A Basis for Model Selection and Inference * Basic Use of the Information-Theoretic Approach * Formal Inference From More Than One Model: Multi-Model Inference (MMI) * Monte Carlo Insights and Extended Examples * Statistical Theory and Numerical Results * Summaryread more
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Journal ArticleDOI
Bayes in the sky: Bayesian inference and model selection in cosmology
TL;DR: This review is an introduction to Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics and recent results in the field, and presents Bayesian probability theory and its conceptual underpinnings, Bayes' Theorem and the role of priors.
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Decline of the North American avifauna
Kenneth V. Rosenberg,Kenneth V. Rosenberg,Adriaan M. Dokter,Peter J. Blancher,John R. Sauer,Adam C. Smith,Paul A. Smith,Jessica C. Stanton,Arvind O. Panjabi,Laura Helft,Michael J. Parr,Peter P. Marra,Peter P. Marra +12 more
TL;DR: Using multiple and independent monitoring networks, population losses across much of the North American avifauna over 48 years are reported, including once-common species and from most biomes, demonstrating a continuing avifaunal crisis.
Journal ArticleDOI
Plant Species Richness and Ecosystem Multifunctionality in Global Drylands
Fernando T. Maestre,José L. Quero,Nicholas J. Gotelli,Adrián Escudero,Victoria Ochoa,Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo,Miguel García-Gómez,Miguel García-Gómez,Matthew A. Bowker,Santiago Soliveres,Cristina Escolar,Pablo García-Palacios,Miguel Berdugo,Enrique Valencia,Beatriz Gozalo,Antonio Gallardo,Lorgio E. Aguilera,Tulio Arredondo,Julio Blones,Bertrand Boeken,Donaldo Bran,Abel Augusto Conceição,Omar Cabrera,Mohamed Chaieb,Mchich Derak,David J. Eldridge,Carlos I. Espinosa,Adriana Florentino,Juan José Gaitán,M. Gabriel Gatica,Wahida Ghiloufi,Susana Gómez-González,Julio R. Gutiérrez,Rosa M. Hernández,Xuewen Huang,Elisabeth Huber-Sannwald,Mohammad Jankju,Maria N. Miriti,Jorge Monerris,Rebecca L. Mau,Ernesto Morici,Kamal Naseri,Abelardo Ospina,Vicente Polo,Aníbal Prina,Eduardo Pucheta,David A. Ramírez-Collantes,R. L. Romão,Matthew Tighe,Cristian Torres-Díaz,James Val,José P. Veiga,Deli Wang,Eli Zaady +53 more
TL;DR: A global empirical study relating plant species richness and abiotic factors to multifunctionality in drylands, which collectively cover 41% of Earth’s land surface and support over 38% of the human population, suggests that the preservation of plant biodiversity is crucial to buffer negative effects of climate change and desertification in dryland.
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Model Selection in Historical Biogeography Reveals that Founder-Event Speciation Is a Crucial Process in Island Clades
TL;DR: The re-implementing of the Dispersal-Extinction-Cladogenesis model of LAGRANGE is modified to create a new model, DEC + J, which adds founder-event speciation, the importance of which is governed by a new free parameter, and the results indicate that the assumptions of historical biogeography models can have large impacts on inference and require testing and comparison with statistical methods.
Journal ArticleDOI
How to fail at species delimitation.
TL;DR: Researchers should apply a wide range of species delimitation analyses to their data and place their trust in delimitations that are congruent across methods, for in most contexts it is better to fail to delimit species than it is to falsely delimit entities that do not represent actual evolutionary lineages.