In this paper, the authors investigated the composite extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones (WNP TCs), and the dependence of this response on the strength of the TC-extrropical interaction as defined by the negative potential vorticity advection (PV) by the irrotational wind associated with the TC.
Abstract:
This study investigates the composite extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones (WNP TCs), and the dependence of this response on the strength of the TC–extratropical flow interaction as defined by the negative potential vorticity advection (PV) by the irrotational wind associated with the TC. The 2.5° NCEP–NCAR reanalysis is used to construct composite analyses of all 1979–2009 recurving WNP TCs and of subsets that undergo strong and weak TC–extratropical flow interactions.Findings indicate that recurving WNP TCs are associated with the amplification of a preexisting Rossby wave train (RWT) that disperses downstream and modifies the large-scale flow pattern over North America. This RWT affects approximately 240° of longitude and persists for approximately 10 days. Recurving TCs associated with strong TC–extratropical flow interactions are associated with a stronger extratropical flow response than those associated with weak TC–extratropical flow interactions...
TL;DR: In this article, the spatial distribution of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and its seasonal prediction over the western North Pacific (WNP) in autumn was studied. And the cross-validated hindcast results demonstrated that the principal components of the two modes are predicted with correlation coefficients of 0.68 and 0.63.
TL;DR: The relationship between the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and the extratropical circulation has been studied extensively and applied in operational settings to improve subseasonal predicti...
TL;DR: In this article, a large data sample of Atlantic tropical cyclones was used to examine the composite synoptic-scale patterns associated with tangential and curvature components of their acceleration.
TL;DR: The NCEP/NCAR 40-yr reanalysis uses a frozen state-of-the-art global data assimilation system and a database as complete as possible, except that the horizontal resolution is T62 (about 210 km) as discussed by the authors.
TL;DR: In this article, statistical methods in the Atmospheric Sciences are used to estimate the probability of a given event to be a hurricane or tropical cyclone, and the probability is determined by statistical methods.
TL;DR: The second edition of "Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Second Edition" as mentioned in this paper presents and explains techniques used in atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing, and forecasting.
TL;DR: The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) was completed for the 31-yr period from 1979 to 2009, in January 2010 as mentioned in this paper, which was designed and executed as a global, high-resolution coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface-sea ice system to provide the best estimate of the state of these coupled domains over this period.
TL;DR: The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) have cooperated in a project to produce a retroactive record of more than 50 years of global analyses of atmospheric fields in support of the needs of the research and climate monitoring communities as mentioned in this paper.
Q1. What are the contributions mentioned in the paper "A composite perspective of the extratropical flow response to recurving western north pacific tropical cyclones" ?
This study investigates the composite extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones ( WNP TCs ), and the dependence of this response on the strength of the TC–extratropical flow interaction as defined by the negative potential vorticity advection ( PV ) by the irrotational wind associated with the TC.
Q2. What are the future works mentioned in the paper "A composite perspective of the extratropical flow response to recurving western north pacific tropical cyclones" ?
The findings of this study suggest a variety of avenues for future research. For example, the onset of a trough over centralNorthAmerica following WNP TC recurvature indicated by the composite analysis of all recurving WNP TCs suggests a possible connection between recurving TCs and outbreaks of severe convection over the U. S. central plains. Although this study did not directly address predictability, it provides a potential framework in which to evaluate numerical model forecast error and uncertainty associated with the TC–extratropical flow interaction for recurving TC cases and other weather phenomena associated with divergent outflow that may impinge strongly upon the PV waveguide [ e. Many studies suggest that large numerical model forecast errors may result from a failure of the numerical model to adequately capture diabatically driven ridge amplification ( e. g., Davies and Didone 2013 ; Gray et al. 2014 ), whether associated with recurving TCs ( e. g., Henderson et al. 1999 ; Torn 2010 ), mesoscale convective systems ( e. g., Dickinson et al. 1997 ; Rodwell et al. 2013 ), or warm conveyor belts of explosively deepening extratropical cyclones ( e. g., Doyle et al. 2014 ).