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Journal ArticleDOI

Assessing Bias in Studies of Prognostic Factors

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TLDR
The refined Quality In Prognosis Studies tool is described, which includes questions related to these areas that can inform judgments of risk of bias in prognostic research.
Abstract
Previous work has identified 6 important areas to consider when evaluating validity and bias in studies of prognostic factors: participation, attrition, prognostic factor measurement, confounding measurement and account, outcome measurement, and analysis and reporting. This article describes the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool, which includes questions related to these areas that can inform judgments of risk of bias in prognostic research.A working group comprising epidemiologists, statisticians, and clinicians developed the tool as they considered prognosis studies of low back pain. Forty-three groups reviewing studies addressing prognosis in other topic areas used the tool and provided feedback. Most reviewers (74%) reported that reaching consensus on judgments was easy. Median completion time per study was 20 minutes; interrater agreement (κ statistic) reported by 9 review teams varied from 0.56 to 0.82 (median, 0.75). Some reviewers reported challenges making judgments across prompting items, which were addressed by providing comprehensive guidance and examples. The refined Quality In Prognosis Studies tool may be useful to assess the risk of bias in studies of prognostic factors.

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Citations
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Predicting adult obesity from childhood obesity: a systematic review and meta‐analysis

TL;DR: Investigating the ability of simple measures of childhood obesity such as body mass index (BMI) to predict future obesity in adolescence and adulthood found that obese children and adolescents were around five times more likely to be obese in adulthood than those who were not obese.
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Critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies: the CHARMS checklist.

TL;DR: Carl Moons and colleagues provide a checklist and background explanation for critically appraising and extracting data from systematic reviews of prognostic and diagnostic prediction modelling studies.
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PROBAST: A tool to assess the risk of bias and applicability of prediction model studies

TL;DR: This work presents PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool), a tool to assess the ROB and concerns regarding the applicability of diagnostic and prognostic prediction model studies, and develops the accompanying explanation and elaboration document.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

QUADAS-2: A Revised Tool for the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies

TL;DR: The QUADAS-2 tool will allow for more transparent rating of bias and applicability of primary diagnostic accuracy studies.
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Consensus methods for medical and health services research.

TL;DR: Two consensus methods commonly adopted in medical, nursing, and health services research--the Delphi process and the nominal group technique (also known as the expert panel)--are described, together with the most appropriate situations for using them.
Journal ArticleDOI

Tracking of childhood overweight into adulthood: a systematic review of the literature

TL;DR: All included studies consistently report an increased risk of overweight and obese youth becoming overweight adults, suggesting that the likelihood of persistence of overweight into adulthood is moderate for overweight and obesity youth, however, predictive values varied considerably.
Journal Article

Reporting recommendations for tumor marker prognostic studies (remark).

TL;DR: These guidelines are designed to encourage transparent and complete reporting of tumor marker studies so that the relevant information will be available to others to help them to judge the usefulness of the data and understand the context in which the conclusions apply.
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