Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers: the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps
Bronwyn Price,Dominik Kaim,Marcin Szwagrzyk,Katarzyna Ostapowicz,Natalia Kolecka,Dirk R. Schmatz,Agnieszka Wypych,Jacek Kozak +7 more
TLDR
In this article, a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) is used to model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focusing on forest cover change.Abstract:
Mountain forest areas are key for providing a wide range of ecosystem services and are hot spots for land use change processes, in particular, increase in forest cover at the expense of mountain pastures and meadows. Mountain forest systems in eastern and western Europe have likely similar future socio-economic situations but significantly different socio-economic history. Using a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) we model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focussing on forest cover change. We find that forest cover increase can be expected to continue in European mountainous regions under all likely scenarios, limited only by relatively strict policy interventions. Biophysical factors, rather than socio-economic ones, are key for defining the suitability for, and therefore likely locations of future forest cover, but land use legacy plays a very important role in the spatial patterns of future forest cover, particularly in eastern Europe.read more
Citations
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Understanding farmland abandonment in the Polish Carpathians
Natalia Kolecka,Jacek Kozak,Dominik Kaim,Monika Dobosz,Krzysztof Ostafin,Katarzyna Ostapowicz,Piotr Wężyk,Bronwyn Price +7 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors detected secondary forest succession on abandoned fields using Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) point clouds and topographic data in 230 sample areas (tiles) distributed throughout the Carpathian communes.
Journal ArticleDOI
Change from agricultural to touristic use: Effects on the aesthetic value of landscapes over the last 150 years
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors evaluated the historic development of aesthetic values from the perspective of today by analysing changes in the actual supply of cultural ecosystem services along roads and paths in Solden in the Otztal valley (Austria) since the beginning of tourism.
Posted Content
Hotspots of land use change in Europe
Tobias Kuemmerle,Christian Levers,Karl-Heinz Erb,Stephan Estel,Stephan Estel,Martin Rudbeck Jepsen,Daniel Müller,Daniel Müller,Christoph Plutzar,Julia Stürck,Pieter Johannes Verkerk,Peter H. Verburg,Anette Reenberg +12 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed high-resolution, spatially-explicit land-use change indicators capturing changes in both the extent and management intensity of cropland, grazing land, forests, and urban areas for all of Europe for the period 1990-2006.
Journal ArticleDOI
Impact of forecasted land use changes on flood risk in the Polish Carpathians
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigated the impact of projected land use and land cover changes on future flood risk in the Polish Carpathians for the test area of Ropa river basin.
Journal ArticleDOI
Long-term change in drivers of forest cover expansion : an analysis for Switzerland (1850-2000)
Christin Loran,Catalina Munteanu,Peter H. Verburg,Peter H. Verburg,Dirk R. Schmatz,Matthias Bürgi,Niklaus E. Zimmermann +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors quantified the spatiotemporal dynamics in drivers of forest gain in Switzerland and found that both biophysical and socioeconomic variables co-drive forest gain.
References
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Agricultural abandonment in mountain areas of Europe: Environmental consequences and policy response
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TL;DR: In this paper, a comparative analysis of European mountain case studies to assess the environmental impacts of land abandonment and decline in traditional farming practices is presented, while the influence of environmental changes is unpredictable due to environmental, agricultural and socio-economic contextual factors, abandonment generally has an undesirable effect on the environmental parameters examined.
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