Poleward bound: adapting to climate-driven species redistribution
Jess Melbourne-Thomas,Jess Melbourne-Thomas,Asta Audzijonyte,M Brasier,Katherine A. Cresswell,Katherine A. Cresswell,Hannah E. Fogarty,Marcus Haward,Alistair J. Hobday,Alistair J. Hobday,Heather L. Hunt,Scott D. Ling,Phillipa C. McCormack,Tero Mustonen,Kaisu Mustonen,Janet A. Nye,Michael Oellermann,Michael Oellermann,Rowan Trebilco,Rowan Trebilco,Ingrid van Putten,Ingrid van Putten,Cecilia Villanueva,Reg Watson,Gretta T. Pecl +24 more
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TLDR
This work describes key drivers related to climate-driven species redistributions that are likely to have a high impact and influence on whether a sustainable future is achievable by 2030 and synthesises examples of such actions as the basis of a strategic approach to tackle this global-scale challenge.Abstract:
One of the most pronounced effects of climate change on the world’s oceans is the (generally) poleward movement of species and fishery stocks in response to increasing water temperatures. In some regions, such redistributions are already causing dramatic shifts in marine socioecological systems, profoundly altering ecosystem structure and function, challenging domestic and international fisheries, and impacting on human communities. Such effects are expected to become increasingly widespread as waters continue to warm and species ranges continue to shift. Actions taken over the coming decade (2021–2030) can help us adapt to species redistributions and minimise negative impacts on ecosystems and human communities, achieving a more sustainable future in the face of ecosystem change. We describe key drivers related to climate-driven species redistributions that are likely to have a high impact and influence on whether a sustainable future is achievable by 2030. We posit two different futures—a ‘business as usual’ future and a technically achievable and more sustainable future, aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. We then identify concrete actions that provide a pathway towards the more sustainable 2030 and that acknowledge and include Indigenous perspectives. Achieving this sustainable future will depend on improved monitoring and detection, and on adaptive, cooperative management to proactively respond to the challenge of species redistribution. We synthesise examples of such actions as the basis of a strategic approach to tackle this global-scale challenge for the benefit of humanity and ecosystems.read more
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Developing achievable alternate futures for key challenges during the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development
Kirsty L. Nash,Karen A. Alexander,Jess Melbourne-Thomas,Camilla Novioaglio,Carla Sbrocchi,Cecilia Villanueva,Gretta T. Pecl +6 more
TL;DR: The FutureSeas2030 project as mentioned in this paper focused on developing scenarios for 12 challenges facing the oceans, leveraging interdisciplinary knowledge to improve society's capacity to purposefully shape the direction of marine social-ecological systems over the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021-2030).
Journal ArticleDOI
Deep aspirations: towards a sustainable offshore Blue Economy.
Camilla Novaglio,Camilla Novaglio,Narissa Bax,Narissa Bax,Fabio Boschetti,Gholam Reza Emad,Stewart Frusher,Stewart Frusher,Liam Fullbrook,Liam Fullbrook,Mark Hemer,Sarah Jennings,Ingrid van Putten,Lucy M. Robinson,Lucy M. Robinson,Erica Spain,Joanna Vince,Joanna Vince,Michelle Voyer,Graham Wood,Graham Wood,Elizabeth A. Fulton +21 more
TL;DR: In this article, a series of interdisciplinary workshops were held to explore the potential of the offshore blue economy and identify the actions required to achieve the more sustainable outcome. But, the focus of the workshops was on economic growth, the commodification of nature, the dominance of private over public and cultural interests, and prioritisation of the interests of current over future generations.
Book Chapter
Governance: the challenges
TL;DR: A very large number of reforms have improved the quality of administration, but accountability remains a problem and it is difficult to see how, as long as the Chinese Communist Party wields as much power as it does, further political reform is possible as discussed by the authors.
Journal ArticleDOI
Decommissioning Research Needs for Offshore Oil and Gas Infrastructure in Australia
Jess Melbourne-Thomas,Jess Melbourne-Thomas,Keith R. Hayes,Alistair J. Hobday,Alistair J. Hobday,L. Richard Little,Joanna Strzelecki,Damian P. Thomson,Ingrid van Putten,Ingrid van Putten,Sharon E. Hook +10 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe research to support risk and impact assessment for offshore decommissioning in Australia, where full removal of infrastructure is the ‘base case’ regulatory default, but other options including partial removal and/or repurposing might provide similar or better outcomes when environmental, social, economic and seafood safety aspects are considered.
References
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Transforming our world : The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
TL;DR: The Scoping meeting on collaboration between Regional Seas Programmes and Regional Fisheries Bodies in the Southwest Indian Ocean is described in this article, where the authors propose a framework for collaboration between regional sea programmes and regional fisheries bodies in the Indian Ocean.
Journal ArticleDOI
Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: impacts on ecosystems and human well-being
Gretta T. Pecl,Miguel B. Araújo,Miguel B. Araújo,Miguel B. Araújo,Johann D. Bell,Johann D. Bell,Julia L. Blanchard,Timothy C. Bonebrake,I-Ching Chen,Timothy Clark,Robert K. Colwell,Finn Danielsen,Birgitta Evengård,Lorena Falconi,Simon Ferrier,Stewart Frusher,Raquel A. Garcia,Raquel A. Garcia,Roger Griffis,Alistair J. Hobday,Charlene Janion-Scheepers,Marta A. Jarzyna,Sarah Jennings,Sarah Jennings,Jonathan Lenoir,Hlif I. Linnetved,Victoria Y. Martin,Phillipa C. McCormack,Jan McDonald,Jan McDonald,Nicola J. Mitchell,Tero Mustonen,John M. Pandolfi,Nathalie Pettorelli,Ekaterina Popova,Sharon A. Robinson,Brett R. Scheffers,Justine D. Shaw,Cascade J. B. Sorte,Jan M. Strugnell,Jan M. Strugnell,Jennifer M. Sunday,Mao-Ning Tuanmu,Adriana Vergés,Cecilia Villanueva,Thomas Wernberg,Erik Wapstra,Stephen E. Williams +47 more
TL;DR: The negative effects of climate change cannot be adequately anticipated or prepared for unless species responses are explicitly included in decision-making and global strategic frameworks, and feedbacks on climate itself are documented.
Journal ArticleDOI
Global imprint of climate change on marine life
Elvira S. Poloczanska,Christopher J. Brown,Christopher J. Brown,William J. Sydeman,Wolfgang Kiessling,Wolfgang Kiessling,David S. Schoeman,David S. Schoeman,Pippa J. Moore,Pippa J. Moore,Keith Brander,John F. Bruno,Lauren B. Buckley,Michael T. Burrows,Carlos M. Duarte,Carlos M. Duarte,Benjamin S. Halpern,Johnna Holding,Carrie V. Kappel,Mary I. O'Connor,John M. Pandolfi,Camille Parmesan,Camille Parmesan,Franklin B. Schwing,Sarah Ann Thompson,Anthony J. Richardson,Anthony J. Richardson +26 more
TL;DR: This article synthesized all available studies of the consistency of marine ecological observations with expectations under climate change This yielded a meta-database of 1,735 marine biological responses for which either regional or global climate change was considered as a driver.
Journal ArticleDOI
Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios
William W. L. Cheung,Vicky W. Y. Lam,Jorge L. Sarmiento,Kelly A. Kearney,Reg Watson,Daniel Pauly +5 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the global patterns of such impacts by projecting the distributional ranges of a sample of 1066 exploited marine fish and invertebrates for 2050 using a newly developed dynamic bioclimate envelope model.
Journal ArticleDOI
Scenario types and techniques: Towards a user's guide
TL;DR: The applicability of various generating, integrating and consistency techniques for developing scenarios that provide the required knowledge in order to develop and use scenarios is discussed.
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