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Journal ArticleDOI

Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes

Erich M. Fischer, +2 more
- 01 Dec 2013 - 
- Vol. 3, Iss: 12, pp 1033-1038
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TLDR
This article showed that the uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes are mainly due to internal climate variability and that model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.
Abstract
There are large uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes. This study shows that the uncertainties are mainly due to internal climate variability. However, model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Inadequacy of typical physiological experimental protocols for investigating consequences of stochastic weather events emerging from global warming

TL;DR: This Perspective article suggests that alternative experimental protocols should be employed that go beyond step-wise protocols and even beyond variable protocols employing circadian rhythms, for example, to those that actually embrace nonpredictable elements.
Journal ArticleDOI

Response of Precipitation in Tianshan to Global Climate Change Based on the Berkeley Earth and ERA5 Reanalysis Products

TL;DR: Wang et al. as discussed by the authors integrated a gradient descent-nonlinear regression downscaling model, cross wavelet transform, and wavelet correlation method to analyze the precipitation response in Tianshan to global climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI

Habitat fragmentation and food security in crop pollination systems

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a model of crop yield dynamics to investigate how fragmentation of natural habitats for agricultural conversion impacts food production, with a focus on crop pollination, and showed that fragmentation produces spatial and biodiversity-mediated effects that affect the mean and stability of pollination-dependent crops, with strong consequences for food security.
References
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BookDOI

Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

TL;DR: In this paper, a special report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX) has been jointly coordinated by Working Groups I (WGI) and II (WGII) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Journal ArticleDOI

The Community Climate System Model Version 4

TL;DR: The fourth version of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) was recently completed and released to the climate community as mentioned in this paper, which describes developments to all CCSM components, and documents fully coupled preindustrial control runs compared to the previous version.
Book

Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaption

TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a case study for managing the risks from climate extremes and disasters at the local level and national systems for managing risks at the international level and integration across scales.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

TL;DR: In this article, a suite of climate models are used to predict changes in surface air temperature on decadal timescales and regional spatial scales, and it is shown that the uncertainty for the next few decades is dominated by model uncertainty and internal variability that are potentially reducible through progress in climate science.
Journal ArticleDOI

Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes

TL;DR: It is shown that human-induced increases in greenhouse gases have contributed to the observed intensification of heavy precipitation events found over approximately two-thirds of data-covered parts of Northern Hemisphere land areas.
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