Journal ArticleDOI
Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
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This article showed that the uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes are mainly due to internal climate variability and that model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.Abstract:
There are large uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes. This study shows that the uncertainties are mainly due to internal climate variability. However, model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.read more
Citations
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Temperature Changes in the United States
TL;DR: The authors summarizes the major observed and projected changes in near-surface air temperature over the United States, emphasizing new data sets and model projections since the Third National Climate Assessment (NCA3).
Journal ArticleDOI
Global drought and severe drought-affected populations in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds
TL;DR: In this article, the authors presented the first risk-based assessment of changes in global drought and the impact of severe drought on populations from additional 1.5 and 2.5°C above preindustrial levels, showing increases in drought durations from 2.9 to 3.2°C.
Journal ArticleDOI
Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information
TL;DR: It is argued that the storyline approach to climate change—the identification of physically self-consistent, plausible pathways—has the potential to accomplish precisely this and can cut the Gordian knot of regional climate change information.
Journal ArticleDOI
Severe Continental-Scale Impacts of Climate Change Are Happening Now: Extreme Climate Events Impact Marine Habitat Forming Communities Along 45% of Australia’s Coast
Russell C. Babcock,Russell C. Babcock,Rodrigo H. Bustamante,Elizabeth A. Fulton,Derek J. Fulton,Michael D. E. Haywood,Alistair J. Hobday,Robert A. Kenyon,Richard J. Matear,Éva E. Plagányi,Anthony J. Richardson,Anthony J. Richardson,Mathew A. Vanderklift +12 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors synthesize information on a series of ECEs in Australia from 2011-2017 that led to well-documented, abrupt and extensive mortality of key marine habitat-forming organisms (e.g., corals, kelp forests, seagrasses and mangroves).
Journal ArticleDOI
A Century of Observations Reveals Increasing Likelihood of Continental-Scale Compound Dry-Hot Extremes
Mohammad Reza Alizadeh,Jan Adamowski,Mohammad Reza Nikoo,Amir AghaKouchak,Philip E. Dennison,Mojtaba Sadegh +5 more
TL;DR: It is shown that dry-hot extremes have homogeneously enlarged over the past 122 years, pointing to spatial propagation of extreme dryness and heat and increased probability of continental-scale compound extremes.
References
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BookDOI
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
TL;DR: In this paper, a special report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX) has been jointly coordinated by Working Groups I (WGI) and II (WGII) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Journal ArticleDOI
The Community Climate System Model Version 4
Peter R. Gent,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Leo J. Donner,Marika M. Holland,Elizabeth Hunke,Steve R. Jayne,David M. Lawrence,Richard Neale,Philip J. Rasch,Mariana Vertenstein,Patrick H. Worley,Zong-Liang Yang,Minghua Zhang +12 more
TL;DR: The fourth version of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) was recently completed and released to the climate community as mentioned in this paper, which describes developments to all CCSM components, and documents fully coupled preindustrial control runs compared to the previous version.
Book
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaption
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a case study for managing the risks from climate extremes and disasters at the local level and national systems for managing risks at the international level and integration across scales.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
Ed Hawkins,Rowan Sutton +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, a suite of climate models are used to predict changes in surface air temperature on decadal timescales and regional spatial scales, and it is shown that the uncertainty for the next few decades is dominated by model uncertainty and internal variability that are potentially reducible through progress in climate science.
Journal ArticleDOI
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes
TL;DR: It is shown that human-induced increases in greenhouse gases have contributed to the observed intensification of heavy precipitation events found over approximately two-thirds of data-covered parts of Northern Hemisphere land areas.
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