Journal ArticleDOI
Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
This article showed that the uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes are mainly due to internal climate variability and that model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.Abstract:
There are large uncertainties associated with the projection of climate extremes. This study shows that the uncertainties are mainly due to internal climate variability. However, model projections are consistent when averaged across regions, allowing robust projection of future extremes.read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally
Haibo Du,Haibo Du,Lisa V. Alexander,Markus G. Donat,Markus G. Donat,Tanya Lippmann,Tanya Lippmann,A. K. Srivastava,Jim Salinger,Andries Kruger,Andries Kruger,Gwangyong Choi,Hong S. He,Hong S. He,Fumiaki Fujibe,Matilde Rusticucci,Banzragch Nandintsetseg,Rodrigo Manzanas,Shafiqur Rehman,Farhat Abbas,Panmao Zhai,Ibouraïma Yabi,Michael C. Stambaugh,Shengzhong Wang,Altangerel Batbold,Priscilla Teles De Oliveira,Muhammad Adrees,Wei Hou,Shengwei Zong,Cláudio Moisés Santos e Silva,Paulo Sérgio Lucio,Zhengfang Wu +31 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider extreme persistent precipitation by complete event with variable duration, rather than a fixed temporal period, is a necessary metric to account for the complexity of changing precipitation.
Journal ArticleDOI
Adapting wheat ideotypes for climate change: accounting for uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections
TL;DR: In this article, the integration of climate change projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model ensemble with the LARS-WG weather generator is described.
Journal ArticleDOI
Significant increases in extreme precipitation and the associations with global warming over the global land monsoon regions
Wenxia Zhang,Tianjun Zhou +1 more
TL;DR: The global land monsoon region, with substantial monsoon rainfall and hence freshwater resources, is home to nearly two-thirds of the world's population as discussed by the authors, however, it is overwhelmed by extre...
Journal ArticleDOI
Soil erosion is unlikely to drive a future carbon sink in Europe
Emanuele Lugato,Pete Smith,Pasquale Borrelli,Panos Panagos,Cristiano Ballabio,Alberto Orgiazzi,Oihane Fernández-Ugalde,Luca Montanarella,Arwyn Jones +8 more
TL;DR: The results challenge the idea that higher erosion driven by climate will lead to a C sink in the near future and show that C input increases were offset by higher heterotrophic respiration under climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI
Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences
TL;DR: Using both state-of-the-art climate models and empirical techniques, this paper found that anthropogenic forcings on the climate have increased the chances of record warm years in Central England by at least 13-fold.
References
More filters
BookDOI
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. Special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
TL;DR: In this paper, a special report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX) has been jointly coordinated by Working Groups I (WGI) and II (WGII) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Journal ArticleDOI
The Community Climate System Model Version 4
Peter R. Gent,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Leo J. Donner,Marika M. Holland,Elizabeth Hunke,Steve R. Jayne,David M. Lawrence,Richard Neale,Philip J. Rasch,Mariana Vertenstein,Patrick H. Worley,Zong-Liang Yang,Minghua Zhang +12 more
TL;DR: The fourth version of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) was recently completed and released to the climate community as mentioned in this paper, which describes developments to all CCSM components, and documents fully coupled preindustrial control runs compared to the previous version.
Book
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaption
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a case study for managing the risks from climate extremes and disasters at the local level and national systems for managing risks at the international level and integration across scales.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
Ed Hawkins,Rowan Sutton +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, a suite of climate models are used to predict changes in surface air temperature on decadal timescales and regional spatial scales, and it is shown that the uncertainty for the next few decades is dominated by model uncertainty and internal variability that are potentially reducible through progress in climate science.
Journal ArticleDOI
Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes
TL;DR: It is shown that human-induced increases in greenhouse gases have contributed to the observed intensification of heavy precipitation events found over approximately two-thirds of data-covered parts of Northern Hemisphere land areas.
Related Papers (5)
Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: a community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability
Jennifer E. Kay,Clara Deser,Adam S. Phillips,Andrew Mai,Cecile Hannay,Gary Strand,Julie M. Arblaster,Susan C. Bates,Gokhan Danabasoglu,Jim Edwards,Marika M. Holland,Paul J. Kushner,Jean-Francois Lamarque,David M. Lawrence,Keith Lindsay,A Middleton,Ernesto Munoz,Richard Neale,Keith W. Oleson,Lorenzo M. Polvani,Mariana Vertenstein +20 more