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Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control
Roy M. Anderson,Robert M. May +1 more
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TLDR
This book discusses the biology of host-microparasite associations, dynamics of acquired immunity heterogeneity within the human community indirectly transmitted helminths, and the ecology and genetics of hosts and parasites.Abstract:
Part 1 Microparasites: biology of host-microparasite associations the basic model - statics static aspects of eradication and control the basic model - dynamics dynamic aspects of eradication and control beyond the basic model - empirical evidence of inhomogeneous mixing age-related transmission rates genetic heterogeneity social heterogeneity and sexually transmitted diseases spatial and other kinds of heterogeneity endemic infections in developing countries indirectly transmitted microparasites. Part 2 Macroparasites: biology of host-macroparasite associations the basic model - statics the basic model - dynamics acquired immunity heterogeneity within the human community indirectly transmitted helminths experimental epidemiology parasites, genetic variability, and drug resistance the ecology and genetics of host-parasite associations.read more
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Journal ArticleDOI
Persistence, chaos and synchrony in ecology and epidemiology.
TL;DR: While ecologists and epidemiologists have essentially opposite goals, the mathematical structure of the population dynamics that they study is very similar, and recent work in both areas on the effects of spatial synchrony and dynamical chaos is emphasized.
Journal ArticleDOI
Habitat fragmentation and species richness
TL;DR: It is concluded that fragmentation poses an extra threat to biodiversity, in addition to the threat posed by loss of habitat area, and modelling and empirical studies demonstrate adverse demographic consequences of fragmentation when there is little habitat across large areas.
Journal ArticleDOI
Has the 2005 measles mortality reduction goal been achieved? A natural history modelling study
Lara J. Wolfson,Peter M. Strebel,Marta Gacic-Dobo,Edward J. Hoekstra,Jeffrey McFarland,Bradley S. Hersh +5 more
TL;DR: The achievement of the 2005 global measles mortality reduction goal is evidence of what can be accomplished for child survival in countries with high childhood mortality when safe, cost-effective, and affordable interventions are backed by country-level political commitment and an effective international partnership.
Journal ArticleDOI
Estimation of the time-varying reproduction number of COVID-19 outbreak in China.
Chong You,Yuhao Deng,Wenjie Hu,Jiarui Sun,Qiushi Lin,Feng Zhou,Cheng Heng Pang,Yuan Zhang,Zhengchao Chen,Xiao-Hua Zhou +9 more
TL;DR: Production of basic and controlled reproduction numbers in the COVID-19 outbreak in China are significantly smaller compared with the basic reproduction numbers produced by all three methods in all analyzed regions of China.
Book ChapterDOI
The effective reproduction number as a prelude to statistical estimation of time-dependent epidemic trends
TL;DR: This chapter describes the primer of mathematics and statistics of R(t) and discusses other similar markers of transmissibility as a function of time.