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Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control
Roy M. Anderson,Robert M. May +1 more
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TLDR
This book discusses the biology of host-microparasite associations, dynamics of acquired immunity heterogeneity within the human community indirectly transmitted helminths, and the ecology and genetics of hosts and parasites.Abstract:
Part 1 Microparasites: biology of host-microparasite associations the basic model - statics static aspects of eradication and control the basic model - dynamics dynamic aspects of eradication and control beyond the basic model - empirical evidence of inhomogeneous mixing age-related transmission rates genetic heterogeneity social heterogeneity and sexually transmitted diseases spatial and other kinds of heterogeneity endemic infections in developing countries indirectly transmitted microparasites. Part 2 Macroparasites: biology of host-macroparasite associations the basic model - statics the basic model - dynamics acquired immunity heterogeneity within the human community indirectly transmitted helminths experimental epidemiology parasites, genetic variability, and drug resistance the ecology and genetics of host-parasite associations.read more
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Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
Michele Tizzoni,Paolo Bajardi,Chiara Poletto,José J. Ramasco,Duygu Balcan,Bruno Gonçalves,Nicola Perra,Vittoria Colizza,Vittoria Colizza,Alessandro Vespignani,Alessandro Vespignani +10 more
TL;DR: The results show that large-scale models can be used to provide valuable real-time forecasts of influenza spreading, but they require high-performance computing.
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Lifetime Risks, Incubation Period, and Serial Interval of Tuberculosis
Emilia Vynnycky,Paul E. M. Fine +1 more
TL;DR: By using a model of the epidemiology of tuberculosis in England and Wales, the authors demonstrated that all three measures changed dramatically during the 20th century largely as a result of declines in the risk of infection.
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Backward bifurcations in dengue transmission dynamics
TL;DR: In both the original and the extended models, it is shown, using Lyapunov function theory and LaSalle Invariance Principle, that the backward bifurcation phenomenon can be removed by substituting the associated standard incidence function with a mass action incidence.
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Close encounters in a pediatric ward: measuring face-to-face proximity and mixing patterns with wearable sensors.
Lorenzo Isella,Mariateresa Romano,Alain Barrat,Alain Barrat,Ciro Cattuto,Vittoria Colizza,Wouter Van den Broeck,Francesco Gesualdo,Elisabetta Pandolfi,Lucilla Ravà,Caterina Rizzo,Alberto E. Tozzi +11 more
TL;DR: This study shows the feasibility of accurate and reproducible measures of the pattern of contacts in a hospital setting, particularly useful for the study of the spread of respiratory infections, for monitoring critical patterns, and for setting up tailored prevention strategies.
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Global Dynamics of an SEIR Epidemic Model with Vertical Transmission
TL;DR: The global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R0 (p,q), where p and q are fractions of infected newborns from the exposed and infectious classes, respectively, which proves that the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable and the disease always dies out.