Journal ArticleDOI
Limiting global warming to 2 °C is unlikely to save most coral reefs
Katja Frieler,Malte Meinshausen,Malte Meinshausen,Antonius Golly,Matthias Mengel,K. Lebek,Simon D. Donner,Ove Hoegh-Guldberg +7 more
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TLDR
It is shown that preserving >10% of coral reefs worldwide would require limiting warming to below 1.5C (atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) range: 1.3-1.8C) relative to pre-industrial levels.Abstract:
Comprehensive computer simulations show that coral reefs are likely to suffer extensive long-term degradation resulting from mass bleaching events even if the expected increase in global mean temperature can be kept well below 2 °C Without major mitigation efforts to limit global warming significantly, the fate of coral reef ecosystems seems to be sealedread more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Coral reefs in the Anthropocene
Terry P. Hughes,Michele L. Barnes,David R. Bellwood,Joshua E. Cinner,Graeme S. Cumming,Jeremy B. C. Jackson,Jeremy B. C. Jackson,Joanie Kleypas,Ingrid A. van de Leemput,Janice M. Lough,Janice M. Lough,Tiffany H. Morrison,Stephen R. Palumbi,Egbert H. van Nes,Marten Scheffer +14 more
TL;DR: The global challenge is to steer reefs through the Anthropocene era in a way that maintains their biological functions and will require radical changes in the science, management and governance of coral reefs.
Journal ArticleDOI
Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
Sandra Díaz,Josef Settele,Josef Settele,Eduardo S. Brondizio,Hien T. Ngo,John Agard,Almut Arneth,Patricia Balvanera,Kate A. Brauman,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Kai M. A. Chan,Lucas Alejandro Garibaldi,Kazuhito Ichii,Kazuhito Ichii,Jianguo Liu,Suneetha M. Subramanian,Suneetha M. Subramanian,Guy F. Midgley,Patricia Miloslavich,Patricia Miloslavich,Zsolt Molnár,David Obura,Alexander Pfaff,Stephen Polasky,Andy Purvis,Andy Purvis,Jona Razzaque,Belinda Reyers,Belinda Reyers,Rinku Roy Chowdhury,Yunne-Jai Shin,Yunne-Jai Shin,Ingrid J. Visseren-Hamakers,Ingrid J. Visseren-Hamakers,Katherine J. Willis,Katherine J. Willis,Cynthia N. Zayas +37 more
TL;DR: The first integrated global-scale intergovernmental assessment of the status, trends, and future of the links between people and nature provides an unprecedented picture of the extent of the authors' mutual dependence, the breadth and depth of the ongoing and impending crisis, and the interconnectedness among sectors and regions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
Joeri Rogelj,Joeri Rogelj,Alexander Popp,Katherine Calvin,Gunnar Luderer,Johannes Emmerling,David E.H.J. Gernaat,David E.H.J. Gernaat,Shinichiro Fujimori,Shinichiro Fujimori,Jessica Strefler,Tomoko Hasegawa,Tomoko Hasegawa,Giacomo Marangoni,Volker Krey,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Jonathan C. Doelman,Laurent Drouet,Jae Edmonds,Oliver Fricko,Mathijs Harmsen,Mathijs Harmsen,Petr Havlik,Florian Humpenöder,Elke Stehfest,Massimo Tavoni,Massimo Tavoni +29 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe scenarios that limit end-of-century radiative forcing to 1.9 Wm−2, and consequently restrict median warming in the year 2100 to below 1.5 W m−2.
Journal ArticleDOI
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner,Tabea Lissner,Erich M. Fischer,Jan Wohland,Mahé Perrette,Antonius Golly,Joeri Rogelj,Joeri Rogelj,Katelin Childers,Jacob Schewe,Katja Frieler,Matthias Mengel,William Hare,Michiel Schaeffer +13 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide an assessment of key impacts of climate change at warming levels of 1.5°C and 2°C, including extreme weather events, water availability, agricultural yields, sea-level rise and risk of coral reef loss.
Journal ArticleDOI
Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner,Joeri Rogelj,Joeri Rogelj,Michiel Schaeffer,Tabea Lissner,Rachel Licker,Erich M. Fischer,Reto Knutti,Anders Levermann,Anders Levermann,Anders Levermann,Katja Frieler,William Hare +12 more
TL;DR: There are discernible differences in climate impacts between 1.5 °C and 2 °C of warming as discussed by the authors, and the extent of countries' near-term mitigation ambition will determine the success of the Paris Agreement's temperature goal.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
Global assessment of coral bleaching and required rates of adaptation under climate change
Simon D. Donner,William J. Skirving,Christopher M. Little,Michael Oppenheimer,Ove Hoegh-Guldberg +4 more
TL;DR: This article conducted a comprehensive global assessment of coral bleaching under climate change by adapting the NOAA Coral Reef Watch bleaching prediction method to the output of a low and high-climate sensitivity GCM.
Journal ArticleDOI
The future of coral reefs
TL;DR: The fossil record suggests that corals as a group are more likely to suffer extinctions than some of the groups that associate with them, whose habitat requirements may be less stringent.
Journal ArticleDOI
Coral reefs may start dissolving when atmospheric CO2 doubles
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provided a global estimate of the decline in calcification of coral reefs as a result of increase in sea surface temperature and partial pressure of CO2, which is based on an empirical rate law developed from field observations for gross community calcification as a function of aragonite degree of saturation (Ωarag), sea surface temperatures and live coral cover.
Journal ArticleDOI
The effect of carbonate chemistry on calcification and photosynthesis in the hermatypic coral Acropora eurystoma
Kenneth Schneider,Jonathan Erez +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors report the results of three laboratory experiments designed specifically to separate the effects of different carbonate chemistry parameters (pH, CO 22 3,C O2 [aq], total alkalinity [AT], and total inorganic carbon [CT]) on the calcification, photosynthesis, and respiration of the hermatypic coral Acropora eurystoma.
Journal ArticleDOI
Remote sensing of sea surface temperatures during 2002 Barrier Reef coral bleaching
TL;DR: Early in 2002, satellites of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) detected anomalously high sea surface temperatures (SST) developing in the western Coral Sea, midway along Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR) as discussed by the authors.
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