Journal ArticleDOI
Limiting global warming to 2 °C is unlikely to save most coral reefs
Katja Frieler,Malte Meinshausen,Malte Meinshausen,Antonius Golly,Matthias Mengel,K. Lebek,Simon D. Donner,Ove Hoegh-Guldberg +7 more
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TLDR
It is shown that preserving >10% of coral reefs worldwide would require limiting warming to below 1.5C (atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) range: 1.3-1.8C) relative to pre-industrial levels.Abstract:
Comprehensive computer simulations show that coral reefs are likely to suffer extensive long-term degradation resulting from mass bleaching events even if the expected increase in global mean temperature can be kept well below 2 °C Without major mitigation efforts to limit global warming significantly, the fate of coral reef ecosystems seems to be sealedread more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Global change and the future ocean: a grand challenge for marine sciences
TL;DR: The authors made a contribution to the Malaspina 2010 Expedition and the ESTRESX projects, funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Innovation (CSD2008-00077 and CTM2012-32603, respectively).
Journal ArticleDOI
Human deforestation outweighs future climate change impacts of sedimentation on coral reefs
Joseph Maina,Joseph Maina,Hans de Moel,Jens Zinke,Joshua S. Madin,Tim R. McClanahan,Jan E. Vermaat +6 more
TL;DR: It is shown that by 2090, all four watersheds are predicted to experience temperature increases and/or precipitation declines that, when combined, result in decreases in river flow and sediment load, and that regional land-use management is more important than mediating climate change for influencing sedimentation of Malagasy coral reefs.
Journal ArticleDOI
Anticipative management for coral reef ecosystem services in the 21st century
Alice Rogers,Alice Rogers,Alastair R. Harborne,Christopher J. Brown,Yves-Marie Bozec,Yves-Marie Bozec,Carolina Castro,Iliana Chollett,Iliana Chollett,Karlo Hock,Cheryl A. Knowland,Alyssa Marshell,Juan Carlos Ortiz,Tries B. Razak,George Roff,Jimena Samper-Villarreal,Megan I. Saunders,Nicholas H. Wolff,Peter J. Mumby +18 more
TL;DR: It is concluded that diversification of the management toolbox should be considered urgently to prepare for the challenges of managing reefs into the 21st century.
Journal ArticleDOI
Securing a Long-term Future for Coral Reefs.
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg,Emma V. Kennedy,Hawthorne L. Beyer,Caleb McClennen,Hugh P. Possingham,Hugh P. Possingham +5 more
TL;DR: It is argued for a coordinated, global coral reef conservation strategy that is centred on 50 large regions that are the least vulnerable to climate change and which are positioned to facilitate future coral reef regeneration.
Journal ArticleDOI
Sources of uncertainty in hydrological climate impact assessment: a cross-scale study
Fred F. Hattermann,Tobias Vetter,Tobias Vetter,Lutz Breuer,Buda Su,Prasad Daggupati,Chantal Donnelly,Balázs M. Fekete,Martina Flörke,Simon N. Gosling,Peter Hoffmann,Stefan Liersch,Yoshimitsu Masaki,Yoshimitsu Masaki,Yury Motovilov,Christoph Müller,Luis Samaniego,Tobias Stacke,Yoshihide Wada,Yoshihide Wada,Tao Yang,Tao Yang,Valentina Krysanova +22 more
TL;DR: In this article, the main sources of uncertainty in the hydrological impact modelling chain are identified and the statistical significance of different sources of uncertainties determined by using ANOVA (ANalyses Of VAriance).
References
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Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Susan Solomon,Dahe Qin,Martin R. Manning,Melinda Marquis,Kristen Averyt,Melinda M.B. Tignor,H. L. Miller,Z. Chen +7 more
TL;DR: The first volume of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report as mentioned in this paper was published in 2007 and covers several topics including the extensive range of observations now available for the atmosphere and surface, changes in sea level, assesses the paleoclimatic perspective, climate change causes both natural and anthropogenic, and climate models for projections of global climate.
Book Chapter
The Physical Science Basis
E. Jansen,J Overpeck,Keith R. Briffa,J. C. Duplessy,F. Joos,Masson-Delmotte,Daniel Olago,B. Otto-Bliesner,W. R. Peltier,Stefan Rahmstorf,Rengaswamy Ramesh,D Raynud,D Rind,O Solomina,Ricardo Villalba,De Zhang +15 more
Journal ArticleDOI
Coral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg,Peter J. Mumby,Anthony J. Hooten,Robert S. Steneck,Paul F. Greenfield,Edgardo D. Gomez,C. D. Harvell,Peter F. Sale,Alasdair J. Edwards,Ken Caldeira,Nancy Knowlton,C. M. Eakin,Roberto Iglesias-Prieto,Nyawira A. Muthiga,Roger Bradbury,Alfonse M. Dubi,Marea E. Hatziolos +16 more
TL;DR: As the International Year of the Reef 2008 begins, scaled-up management intervention and decisive action on global emissions are required if the loss of coral-dominated ecosystems is to be avoided.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climate change, coral bleaching and the future of the world's coral reefs
TL;DR: The results suggest that the thermal tolerances of reef-building corals are likely to be exceeded every year within the next few decades, and suggests that unrestrained warming cannot occur without the loss and degradation of coral reefs on a global scale.
Journal ArticleDOI
Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C
Malte Meinshausen,Nicolai Meinshausen,William Hare,Sarah C. B. Raper,Katja Frieler,Reto Knutti,David J. Frame,Myles R. Allen +7 more
TL;DR: A comprehensive probabilistic analysis aimed at quantifying GHG emission budgets for the 2000–50 period that would limit warming throughout the twenty-first century to below 2 °C, based on a combination of published distributions of climate system properties and observational constraints is provided.
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