Open Access
Estimates of Present and Future Flood Risk in the Conterminous United States
Oliver E. J. Wing,Paul D. Bates,Andrew Smith,Christopher C. Sampson,Kris A. Johnson,Joseph Fargione,Philip E. Morefield +6 more
- Vol. 2017
TLDR
The authors used a 30 m resolution model of the entire conterminous US with a 2D representation of flood physics to produce estimates of flood hazard, which match to within 90% accuracy the skill of local models built with detailed data.Abstract:
Past attempts to estimate rainfall-driven flood risk across the US either have incomplete coverage, coarse resolution or use overly simplified models of the flooding process. In this paper, we use a new 30 m resolution model of the entire conterminous US with a 2D representation of flood physics to produce estimates of flood hazard, which match to within 90% accuracy the skill of local models built with detailed data. These flood depths are combined with exposure datasets of commensurate resolution to calculate current and future flood risk. Our data show that the total US population exposed to serious flooding is 2.6–3.1 times higher than previous estimates, and that nearly 41 million Americans live within the 1% annual exceedance probability floodplain (compared to only 13 million when calculated using FEMA flood maps). We find that population and GDP growth alone are expected to lead to significant future increases in exposure, and this change may be exacerbated in the future by climate change.read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Effective adaptation to rising flood risk
Brenden Jongman,Brenden Jongman +1 more
TL;DR: Effective adaptation to flooding is feasible, even when faced by growing exposure and a changing climate, as low-income countries are becoming less vulnerable as percapita income rises and positive trends are visible.
Journal ArticleDOI
Rapid and robust monitoring of flood events using Sentinel-1 and Landsat data on the Google Earth Engine
Ben DeVries,Ben DeVries,Chengquan Huang,John Armston,Wenli Huang,Wenli Huang,John W. Jones,Megan W. Lang +7 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors presented an algorithm that exploits all available Sentinel-1 SAR images in combination with historical Landsat and other auxiliary data sources hosted on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) to rapidly map surface inundation during flood events.
Journal ArticleDOI
Inundation Extent Mapping by Synthetic Aperture Radar: A Review
TL;DR: The automation and robustness of non-obstructed inundation mapping have been achieved in this era of big earth observation (EO) data with acceptable accuracy, however, they are not yet satisfactory for the detection of beneath-vegetation flood mapping using L-band or multi-polarized (dual or fully) SAR data or for urban flood detection using fine-resolution SAR and ancillary building and topographic data.
Journal ArticleDOI
Combined Modeling of US Fluvial, Pluvial, and Coastal Flood Hazard Under Current and Future Climates
Paul D. Bates,Niall Quinn,Christopher C. Sampson,Andrew Smith,Oliver E. J. Wing,Jeison Sosa,James Savage,Gaia Olcese,Jeffrey Neal,Guy Schumann,Laura Giustarini,Gemma Coxon,Jeremy R. Porter,Jeremy R. Porter,Mike F. Amodeo,Ziyan Chu,Sharai Lewis-Gruss,Neil Freeman,Trevor Houser,Michael S. Delgado,A. Hamidi,Ian Bolliger,Kelly E. McCusker,Kerry Emanuel,Celso M. Ferreira,Arslaan Khalid,Ivan D. Haigh,Anaïs Couasnon,Robert E. Kopp,Solomon Hsiang,Witold F. Krajewski +30 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors report a new and significantly enhanced analysis of US flood hazard at 30m spatial resolution, which includes updated hydrography data, new methods to determine channel d...
Journal ArticleDOI
A review of remote sensing applications for water security: Quantity, quality, and extremes
TL;DR: In this paper, a comprehensive review of the role of remote sensing in assessing water security is presented, focusing on water quality, quantity, and hydroclimatic extreme events that play an important role in improving water security.
References
More filters
Book
Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Christopher B. Field,Vicente Barros,Thomas F. Stocker,Qin Dahe,David Jon Dokken,Kristie L. Ebi,Michael D. Mastrandrea,Katharine J. Mach,Gian-Kasper Plattner,Simon K. Allen,Melinda Tignor,Pauline M. Midgley +11 more
Journal ArticleDOI
Global flood risk under climate change
Yukiko Hirabayashi,Roobavannan Mahendran,Sujan Koirala,Lisako Konoshima,Dai Yamazaki,Satoshi Watanabe,Hyungjun Kim,Shinjiro Kanae +7 more
TL;DR: This article used several climate models to estimate the global risk of flooding at the end of the century and showed that vulnerability is dependent on the degree of warming and the interannual variability in precipitation.
Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment: An overview of the IPCC SREX report
Sonia I. Seneviratne,Neville Nicholls,David R. Easterling,Clare Goodess,Shinjiro Kanae,James P. Kossin,Yiming Luo,José A. Marengo,Kathleen L. McInnes,Mohammad Rahimi,Markus Reichstein,Asgeir Sorteberg,Carolina Vera,X. Zhang +13 more
Book
Handbook of applied hydrology
TL;DR: The Handbook of Applied Hydrology as mentioned in this paper has been used extensively in the field of applied hydrology, including in the application of water aeronautomatics and water aerodynamics.
Journal ArticleDOI
Future coastal population growth and exposure to sea-level rise and coastal flooding--a global assessment.
TL;DR: This work combines spatially explicit estimates of the baseline population with demographic data in order to derive scenario-driven projections of coastal population development and highlights countries and regions with a high degree of exposure to coastal flooding and help identifying regions where policies and adaptive planning for building resilient coastal communities are not only desirable but essential.