Alice Barthel

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present results from ice flow model simulations from 13 international groups focusing on the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet during the period 2015-2100 as part of the Ice Sheet Model Comparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6).

TL;DR: In this article, the authors estimate probability distributions for these projections under the new scenarios using statistical emulation of the ice sheet and glacier models, and find that limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius would halve the land ice contribution to twenty-first-century sea level rise, relative to current emissions pledges.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used a large ensemble of Greenland ice sheet models forced by output from a representative subset of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) global climate models to project ice sheet changes and sea-level rise contributions over the 21st century.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors describe the experimental setup for process-based sea level change projections to be performed with stand-alone Greenland and Antarctic ice sheet models in the context of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6).

TL;DR: In this article, a subset of CMIP5 AOGCMs (three core and three targeted) were recommended to produce forcing for ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet simulations, based on their representation of current climate near Antarctica and Greenland relative to observations and their ability to sample a diversity of projected atmosphere and ocean changes over the 21st century.