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Journal ArticleDOI

Climate Change, Keystone Predation, and Biodiversity Loss

Christopher D. G. Harley
- 25 Nov 2011 - 
- Vol. 334, Iss: 6059, pp 1124-1127
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TLDR
The results suggest that anthropogenic climate change can alter interspecific interactions and produce unexpected changes in species distributions, community structure, and diversity.
Abstract
Climate change can affect organisms both directly via physiological stress and indirectly via changing relationships among species. However, we do not fully understand how changing interspecific relationships contribute to community- and ecosystem-level responses to environmental forcing. I used experiments and spatial and temporal comparisons to demonstrate that warming substantially reduces predator-free space on rocky shores. The vertical extent of mussel beds decreased by 51% in 52 years, and reproductive populations of mussels disappeared at several sites. Prey species were able to occupy a hot, extralimital site if predation pressure was experimentally reduced, and local species richness more than doubled as a result. These results suggest that anthropogenic climate change can alter interspecific interactions and produce unexpected changes in species distributions, community structure, and diversity.

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Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology and adaptation

TL;DR: It is concluded that ectotherms sharing vulnerability traits seem concentrated in lowland tropical forests and their vulnerability may be exacerbated by negative biotic interactions, as genetic and selective data are scant.
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How does climate change cause extinction

TL;DR: The proximate causes of climate-change related extinctions and their empirical support are reviewed to support the idea that changing species interactions are an important cause of documented population declines and extinctions related to climate change.
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Global shifts towards positive species interactions with increasing environmental stress

TL;DR: A synthesis of 727 tests of the stress-gradient hypothesis in plant communities across the globe shows that plant interactions change with stress through an outright shift to facilitation (survival) or a reduction in competition (growth and reproduction).
Journal ArticleDOI

Climate-related range shifts – a global multidimensional synthesis and new research directions

TL;DR: In this article, a review of the state of the art on geographical patterns of species range shifts under contemporary climate change for plants and animals across both terrestrial and marine ecosystems is presented.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems

TL;DR: A diagnostic fingerprint of temporal and spatial ‘sign-switching’ responses uniquely predicted by twentieth century climate trends is defined and generates ‘very high confidence’ (as laid down by the IPCC) that climate change is already affecting living systems.
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Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models.

TL;DR: An overview of recent advances in species distribution models, and new avenues for incorporating species migration, population dynamics, biotic interactions and community ecology into SDMs at multiple spatial scales are suggested.
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Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data : a review

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors describe six different statistical approaches to infer correlates of species distributions, for both presence/absence (binary response) and species abundance data (poisson or normally distributed response), while accounting for spatial autocorrelation in model residuals: autocovariate regression; spatial eigenvector mapping; generalised least squares; (conditional and simultaneous) autoregressive models and generalised estimating equations.
Journal ArticleDOI

Climate Change and Distribution Shifts in Marine Fishes

TL;DR: It is shown that the distributions of both exploited and nonexploited North Sea fishes have responded markedly to recent increases in sea temperature, with nearly two-thirds of species shifting in mean latitude or depth or both over 25 years.
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The impacts of climate change in coastal marine systems.

TL;DR: The relationship between temperature and individual performance is reasonably well understood, and much climate-related research has focused on potential shifts in distribution and abundance driven directly by temperature as discussed by the authors, however, recent work has revealed that both abiotic changes and biological responses in the ocean will be substantially more complex.
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