The Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction Project Database
Frederic Vitart,Constantin Ardilouze,A. Bonet,Anca Brookshaw,M. Chen,C. Codorean,Michel Déqué,Laura Ferranti,E. Fucile,Manuel Fuentes,Harry H. Hendon,J. Hodgson,H.-S. Kang,Arun Kumar,Hai Lin,Guoqiang Liu,Xiangwen Liu,Piero Malguzzi,I. Mallas,M. Manoussakis,D. Mastrangelo,Craig MacLachlan,Peter McLean,A. Minami,R. Mladek,Tetsuo Nakazawa,S. Najm,Y. Nie,Michel Rixen,Andrew W. Robertson,Paolo Ruti,C. Sun,Yuhei Takaya,Mikhail A. Tolstykh,F. Venuti,Duane E. Waliser,Steven J. Woolnough,Tongwen Wu,D.-J. Won,H. Xiao,R. B. Zaripov,L. Zhang +41 more
TLDR
The Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction research project has been established by the World Weather Research Programme/World Climate Research Programme as discussed by the authors, which is the main deliverable of this project is the establishment of an extensive database containing sub-seasonal (up to 60 days) forecasts, 3 weeks behind real time, and reforecasts from 11 operational centers, modeled in part on the The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) database for medium-range forecasts.Abstract:
Demands are growing rapidly in the operational prediction and applications communities for forecasts that fill the gap between medium-range weather and long-range or seasonal forecasts. Based on the potential for improved forecast skill at the subseasonal to seasonal time range, the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction research project has been established by the World Weather Research Programme/World Climate Research Programme. A main deliverable of this project is the establishment of an extensive database containing subseasonal (up to 60 days) forecasts, 3 weeks behind real time, and reforecasts from 11 operational centers, modeled in part on the The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) database for medium-range forecasts (up to 15 days).The S2S database, available to the research community since May 2015, represents an important tool to advance our understanding of the subseasonal to seasonal time range that has been co...read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions
Christopher J. White,Christopher J. White,Henrik Carlsen,Andrew W. Robertson,Richard J. T. Klein,Jeffrey K. Lazo,Arun Kumar,Frederic Vitart,Erin Coughlan de Perez,Andrea J. Ray,Virginia Murray,Sukaina Bharwani,Dave MacLeod,Rachel James,Lora E. Fleming,Andrew P. Morse,B. R. Eggen,Richard Graham,Erik Kjellström,Emily Becker,Kathleen Pegion,Neil J. Holbrook,Darryn McEvoy,Michael H. Depledge,Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick,Timothy J. Brown,Roger Street,Lindsey Jones,Tomas A. Remenyi,Indi Hodgson-Johnston,Carlo Buontempo,Rob Lamb,Holger Meinke,Berit Arheimer,Stephen E. Zebiak +34 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors presented the emerging operational S2S forecasts to the wider weather and climate applications community by undertaking the first comprehensive review of sectoral applications of S 2S predictions, including public health, disaster preparedness, water management, energy and agriculture.
Journal ArticleDOI
Land–Atmosphere Interactions: The LoCo Perspective
Joseph A. Santanello,Paul A. Dirmeyer,Craig R. Ferguson,Kirsten L. Findell,Ahmed B. Tawfik,Alexis Berg,Michael Ek,Pierre Gentine,Benoit P. Guillod,Chiel C. van Heerwaarden,Joshua K. Roundy,Volker Wulfmeyer +11 more
TL;DR: In this paper, land-atmosphere interactions are a main driver of Earth's surface water and energy budgets; as such, they modulate near-surface climate, including clouds and precipitation, and can in...
Journal ArticleDOI
The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project (S2S) and the prediction of extreme events
TL;DR: The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project (S2S) as discussed by the authors is a 5-year project, established in 2013 by the World Weather Research Program (WWRP) and the World Climate Research Program(WCRP).
Journal ArticleDOI
Madden-Julian Oscillation prediction and teleconnections in the S2S database
TL;DR: In this paper, the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been diagnosed in the World Weather Research Program (WWRP)/WCRP Sub-seasonal-to-Seasonal prediction project (S2S) database using the Wheeler and Hendon index over the common hindcast period 1999-2010.
Journal ArticleDOI
Review of Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnections on Intraseasonal Time Scales
Cristiana Stan,David M. Straus,Jorgen S. Frederiksen,Hai Lin,Eric D. Maloney,Courtney Schumacher +5 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a review of the observed characteristics of intraseasonal tropical-extratropical interactions and their associated mechanisms, identifies the significant gaps in this understanding, and recommends new research endeavors to address the remaining challenges.
References
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An All-Season Real-Time Multivariate MJO Index: Development of an Index for Monitoring and Prediction
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Intraseasonal interaction between the Madden–Julian Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation
TL;DR: Evidence is presented that the main climate intra-seasonal oscillation in the tropics—the Madden–Julian Oscillation—controls part of the distribution and sequences of the four daily weather regimes defined over the North Atlantic–European region in winter.
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