A Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for North America
Linda O. Mearns,William J. Gutowski,Richard G. Jones,Ruby Leung,Seth McGinnis,Ana M. B. Nunes,Yun Qian +6 more
TLDR
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) as mentioned in this paper explores separate and combined uncertainties in regional projections of future climate change resulting from the use of multiple atmosphere- ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) to drive multiple regional climate models (RCMs).Abstract:
There are two main uncertainties in determining future climate: the trajectories of future emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, and the response of the global climate system to any given set of future emissions [Meehl et al., 2007]. These uncertainties normally are elucidated via application of global climate models, which provide information at relatively coarse spatial resolutions. Greater interest in, and concern about, the details of climate change at regional scales has provided the motivation for the application of regional climate models, which introduces additional uncertainty [Christensen et al., 2007a]. These uncertainties in fi ne- scale regional climate responses, in contrast to uncertainties of coarser spatial resolution global models in which regional models are nested, now have been documented in numerous contexts [Christensen et al., 2007a] and have been found to extend to uncertainties in climate impacts [Wood et al., 2004; Oleson et al., 2007]. While European research in future climate projections has moved forward systematically to examine combined uncertainties from global and regional models [Christensen et al., 2007b], North American climate programs have lagged behind. To fi ll this research gap, scientists developed the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (-NARCCAP). The fundamental scientifi c motivation of thismore » international program is to explore separate and combined uncertainties in regional projections of future climate change resulting from the use of multiple atmosphere- ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) to drive multiple regional climate models (RCMs). An equally important, and related, motivation for this program is to provide the climate impacts and adaptation community with high- resolution regional climate change scenarios that can be used for studies of the societal impacts of climate change and possible adaptation strategies.« lessread more
Citations
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Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user
Douglas Maraun,Douglas Maraun,Fredrik Wetterhall,Andrew Ireson,Richard E. Chandler,Elizabeth J. Kendon,Martin Widmann,S. Brienen,S. Brienen,Henning W. Rust,Tobias Sauter,M. Themeßl,Victor Venema,Kwok Pan Chun,Clare Goodess,Richard G. Jones,Christian Onof,Mathieu Vrac,I. Thiele-Eich +18 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors integrate perspectives from meteorologists, climatologists, statisticians, and hydrologists to identify generic end user (in particular, impact modeler) needs and to discuss downscaling capabilities and gaps.
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The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP): Protocols and Pilot Studies
Cynthia Rosenzweig,Cynthia Rosenzweig,James W. Jones,Jerry L. Hatfield,Alex C. Ruane,Alex C. Ruane,Kenneth J. Boote,Peter J. Thorburn,John M. Antle,Gerald C. Nelson,Cheryl H. Porter,Sander Janssen,Senthold Asseng,Bruno Basso,Frank Ewert,Daniel Wallach,Guillermo A. Baigorria,Jonathan M. Winter +17 more
TL;DR: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) as mentioned in this paper is a major international effort linking the climate, crop, and economic modeling communities with cutting-edge information technology to produce improved crop and economic models and the next generation of climate impact projections for the agricultural sector.
Journal ArticleDOI
Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble
Sven Kotlarski,Klaus Keuler,Ole Bøssing Christensen,Augustin Colette,Michel Déqué,Andreas Gobiet,Klaus Goergen,Daniela Jacob,Daniel Lüthi,E. van Meijgaard,Grigory Nikulin,Christoph Schär,Claas Teichmann,Robert Vautard,Kirsten Warrach-Sagi,Volker Wulfmeyer +15 more
TL;DR: In this article, an evaluation of the ERA-Interim-driven EURO-CORDEX regional climate model (RCM) ensemble is presented, focusing on near-surface air temperature and precipitation, and using the E-OBS data set as observational reference.
Journal ArticleDOI
Precipitation Climatology in an Ensemble of CORDEX-Africa Regional Climate Simulations
Grigory Nikulin,Colin Jones,Filippo Giorgi,Ghassem R. Asrar,Matthias Büchner,Ruth Cerezo-Mota,Ole Bøssing Christensen,Michel Déqué,Jesús Fernández,Andreas Hänsler,Erik van Meijgaard,Patrick Samuelsson,Mouhamadou Bamba Sylla,Laxmi Sushama +13 more
TL;DR: In this article, an ensemble of regional climate simulations is analyzed to evaluate the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) and their ensemble average to simulate precipitation over Africa, using a range of time scales, including seasonal means, and annual and diurnal cycles.
Journal ArticleDOI
Methodologies for simulating impacts of climate change on crop production
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors reviewed 221 peer-reviewed papers that used crop simulation models to examine diverse aspects of how climate change might affect agricultural systems, focusing on wheat, maize, soybean and rice.
References
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