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Neutralizing antibody levels are highly predictive of immune protection from symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection.

TLDR
It is shown that neutralization level is highly predictive of immune protection, and an evidence-based model of SARS-CoV-2 immune protection that will assist in developing vaccine strategies to control the future trajectory of the pandemic is provided.
Abstract
Predictive models of immune protection from COVID-19 are urgently needed to identify correlates of protection to assist in the future deployment of vaccines. To address this, we analyzed the relationship between in vitro neutralization levels and the observed protection from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection using data from seven current vaccines and from convalescent cohorts. We estimated the neutralization level for 50% protection against detectable SARS-CoV-2 infection to be 20.2% of the mean convalescent level (95% confidence interval (CI) = 14.4–28.4%). The estimated neutralization level required for 50% protection from severe infection was significantly lower (3% of the mean convalescent level; 95% CI = 0.7–13%, P = 0.0004). Modeling of the decay of the neutralization titer over the first 250 d after immunization predicts that a significant loss in protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection will occur, although protection from severe disease should be largely retained. Neutralization titers against some SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern are reduced compared with the vaccine strain, and our model predicts the relationship between neutralization and efficacy against viral variants. Here, we show that neutralization level is highly predictive of immune protection, and provide an evidence-based model of SARS-CoV-2 immune protection that will assist in developing vaccine strategies to control the future trajectory of the pandemic. Estimates of the levels of neutralizing antibodies necessary for protection against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 or severe COVID-19 are a fraction of the mean level in convalescent serum and will be useful in guiding vaccine rollouts.

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Immune response and safety of heterologous ChAdOx1-nCoV-19/mRNA-1273 vaccination compared with homologous ChAdOx1-nCoV-19 or homologous mRNA-1273 vaccination

TL;DR: In this paper , the safety and efficacy of heterologous prime-boost vaccination with adenoviral (ChAdOx1, AstraZeneca) and/or mRNA (mRNA-1273, Moderna) vaccines were evaluated.
Journal ArticleDOI

Naive human B cells engage the receptor binding domain of SARS-CoV-2, variants of concern, and related sarbecoviruses.

TL;DR: In this paper, the abundance and specificity of the naive B cell repertoire is investigated. But the authors focus on the adaptive immune response to initial exposure to a pathogen elicits an adaptive response to control and eradicate the threat.
Journal ArticleDOI

Booster vaccination strategy: Necessity, immunization objectives, immunization strategy, and safety

TL;DR: It is found that it is necessary to carry out a booster vaccination strategy for the effectiveness and persistence of COVID‐19 vaccines, but not all subjects need to receive one more dose of vaccine 6 months after the initial immunization.
Journal ArticleDOI

Optimizing COVID-19 vaccination programs during vaccine shortages

TL;DR: In this paper , the authors reviewed various model-based outcome measures to optimize the allocation strategies of vaccines with differential efficacies under the COVID-19 pandemic scenario, where vaccine shortages occur due to various types of constraints, including interruptions in production/supply, higher-than-expected demands, and a lack of resources such as healthcare capacity to administer vaccines.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK.

Merryn Voysey, +81 more
- 09 Jan 2021 - 
TL;DR: ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 has an acceptable safety profile and has been found to be efficacious against symptomatic COVID-19 in this interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials.
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Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK.

Merryn Voysey, +81 more
- 09 Jan 2021 -