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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Neutralizing antibody levels are highly predictive of immune protection from symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection.

TLDR
It is shown that neutralization level is highly predictive of immune protection, and an evidence-based model of SARS-CoV-2 immune protection that will assist in developing vaccine strategies to control the future trajectory of the pandemic is provided.
Abstract
Predictive models of immune protection from COVID-19 are urgently needed to identify correlates of protection to assist in the future deployment of vaccines. To address this, we analyzed the relationship between in vitro neutralization levels and the observed protection from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection using data from seven current vaccines and from convalescent cohorts. We estimated the neutralization level for 50% protection against detectable SARS-CoV-2 infection to be 20.2% of the mean convalescent level (95% confidence interval (CI) = 14.4–28.4%). The estimated neutralization level required for 50% protection from severe infection was significantly lower (3% of the mean convalescent level; 95% CI = 0.7–13%, P = 0.0004). Modeling of the decay of the neutralization titer over the first 250 d after immunization predicts that a significant loss in protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection will occur, although protection from severe disease should be largely retained. Neutralization titers against some SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern are reduced compared with the vaccine strain, and our model predicts the relationship between neutralization and efficacy against viral variants. Here, we show that neutralization level is highly predictive of immune protection, and provide an evidence-based model of SARS-CoV-2 immune protection that will assist in developing vaccine strategies to control the future trajectory of the pandemic. Estimates of the levels of neutralizing antibodies necessary for protection against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 or severe COVID-19 are a fraction of the mean level in convalescent serum and will be useful in guiding vaccine rollouts.

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Posted ContentDOI

REACT-1 round 13 final report: exponential growth, high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 and vaccine effectiveness associated with Delta variant in England during May to July 2021

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analysed prevalence trends and their drivers using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) swab-positivity data from round 12 (between 20 May and 7 June 2021) and round 13 (between 24 June and 12 July 2021) of the REAL-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 (REACT-1) study, with swabs sent to nonoverlapping random samples of the population ages 5 years and over in England.
Journal ArticleDOI

Immune responses following third COVID-19 vaccination are reduced in patients with hematological malignancies compared to patients with solid cancer

- 01 Feb 2022 - 
TL;DR: In this paper , Humoral and cellular immune responses are detected after two primary COVID-19 vaccine doses in most patients with cancer and neutralizing responses against variants of concern (VOCs) are reduced.
Journal ArticleDOI

Protection from SARS-CoV-2 Delta one year after mRNA-1273 vaccination in rhesus macaques coincides with anamnestic antibody response in the lung

Hongtao Li
- 01 Jan 2022 - 
TL;DR: In this article , the authors assessed immune responses over 1 year in blood and upper and lower airways of rhesus macaques and found that mRNA-1273 mediated protection in the lungs is durable but delayed and potentially dependent on anamnestic antibody responses.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK.

Merryn Voysey, +81 more
- 09 Jan 2021 - 
TL;DR: ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 has an acceptable safety profile and has been found to be efficacious against symptomatic COVID-19 in this interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials.
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Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK.

Merryn Voysey, +81 more
- 09 Jan 2021 -