Temperature-driven global sea-level variability in the Common Era
Robert E. Kopp,Andrew C. Kemp,Klaus Bittermann,Benjamin P. Horton,Jeffrey P. Donnelly,W. Roland Gehrels,Carling C. Hay,Carling C. Hay,Jerry X. Mitrovica,Eric D. Morrow,Stefan Rahmstorf +10 more
TLDR
This is the first, to the authors' knowledge, estimate of global sea-level (GSL) change over the last ∼3,000 years that is based upon statistical synthesis of a global database of regional sea- level reconstructions, and indicates that, without global warming, GSL in the 20th century very likely would have risen by between −3 cm and +7 cm, rather than the ∼14 cm observed.Abstract:
We assess the relationship between temperature and global sea-level (GSL) variability over the Common Era through a statistical metaanalysis of proxy relative sea-level reconstructions and tide-gauge data. GSL rose at 0.1 ± 0.1 mm/y (2σ) over 0-700 CE. A GSL fall of 0.2 ± 0.2 mm/y over 1000-1400 CE is associated with ∼ 0.2 °C global mean cooling. A significant GSL acceleration began in the 19th century and yielded a 20th century rise that is extremely likely (probability [Formula: see text]) faster than during any of the previous 27 centuries. A semiempirical model calibrated against the GSL reconstruction indicates that, in the absence of anthropogenic climate change, it is extremely likely ([Formula: see text]) that 20th century GSL would have risen by less than 51% of the observed [Formula: see text] cm. The new semiempirical model largely reconciles previous differences between semiempirical 21st century GSL projections and the process model-based projections summarized in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report.read more
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Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg,Daniela Jacob,Marco Bindi,Sally Brown,I. A. Camilloni,Arona Diedhiou,Riyanti Djalante,Kristie L. Ebi,Francois Engelbrecht,Joel Guiot,Yasuaki Hijioka,S. Mehrotra,Antony J. Payne,Sonia I. Seneviratne,Adelle Thomas,Rachel Warren,G. Zhou,Sharina Abdul Halim,Michelle Achlatis,Lisa V. Alexander,Myles R. Allen,Peter Berry,Christopher Boyer,Edward Byers,Lorenzo Brilli,Marcos Silveira Buckeridge,William W. L. Cheung,Marlies Craig,Neville Ellis,Jason P. Evans,Hubertus Fischer,Klaus Fraedrich,Sabine Fuss,Anjani Ganase,Jean-Pierre Gattuso,Peter Greve,Tania Guillén Bolaños,Naota Hanasaki,Tomoko Hasegawa,Katie Hayes,Annette L. Hirsch,Chris D. Jones,Thomas Jung,Markku Kanninen,Gerhard Krinner,David M. Lawrence,Timothy M. Lenton,Debora Ley,Diana Liverman,Natalie M. Mahowald,Kathleen L. McInnes,Katrin J. Meissner,Richard J. Millar,Katja Mintenbeck,Daniel M. Mitchell,Alan C. Mix,Dirk Notz,Leonard Nurse,Andrew Emmanuel Okem,Lennart Olsson,Michael Oppenheimer,Shlomit Paz,Juliane Petersen,Jan Petzold,Swantje Preuschmann,Mohammad Feisal Rahman,Joeri Rogelj,Hanna Scheuffele,Carl-Friedrich Schleussner,Daniel Scott,Roland Séférian,Jana Sillmann,Chandni Singh,Raphael Slade,Kimberly Stephenson,Tannecia S. Stephenson,Mouhamadou Bamba Sylla,Mark Tebboth,Petra Tschakert,Robert Vautard,Richard Wartenburger,Michael Wehner,Nora Marie Weyer,Felicia S. Whyte,Gary W. Yohe,Xuebin Zhang,Robert B. Zougmoré +86 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a survey of women's sportswriters in South Africa and Ivory Coast, including: Marco Bindi (Italy), Sally Brown (UK), Ines Camilloni (Argentina), Arona Diedhiou (Ivory Coast/Senegal), Riyanti Djalante (Japan/Indonesia), Kristie L. Ebi (USA), Francois Engelbrecht (South Africa), Joel Guiot (France), Yasuaki Hijioka (Japan), Shagun Mehrotra (USA/India), Ant
Sea Level Rise and Implications for Low Lying Islands, Coasts and Communities
Michael Oppenheimer,Bruce Glavovic,Jochen Hinkel,Roderik S. W. van de Wal,Alexandre K. Magnan,Amro Abd-Elgawad,Rongshuo Cai,Miguel Cifuentes-Jara,Robert M. DeConto,Tuhin Ghosh,John E. Hay,Federico Ignacio Isla,Ben Marzeion,Benoit Meyssignac,Zita Sebesvari +14 more
TL;DR: In this paper, Abd Elgawad et al. discuss the sea level rise and its implications for low lying islands, coastlines and communities in the Middle East and Asia.
Journal ArticleDOI
Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming - simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
Katja Frieler,Stefan Lange,Franziska Piontek,Christopher P. O. Reyer,Jacob Schewe,Lila Warszawski,Fang Zhao,Louise Chini,Sébastien Denvil,Kerry Emanuel,Tobias Geiger,Kate Halladay,George C. Hurtt,Matthias Mengel,Daisuke Murakami,Sebastian Ostberg,Sebastian Ostberg,Alexander Popp,Riccardo Riva,Miodrag Stevanovic,Tatsuo Suzuki,Jan Volkholz,Eleanor J. Burke,Philippe Ciais,Kristie L. Ebi,Tyler D. Eddy,Joshua Elliott,Joshua Elliott,Eric D. Galbraith,Eric D. Galbraith,Simon N. Gosling,Fred F. Hattermann,Thomas Hickler,Jochen Hinkel,Christian Hof,Veronika Huber,Jonas Jägermeyr,Valentina Krysanova,Rafael Marcé,Hannes Müller Schmied,Ioanna Mouratiadou,Ioanna Mouratiadou,Donald C. Pierson,Derek P. Tittensor,Derek P. Tittensor,Robert Vautard,Michelle T. H. van Vliet,Matthias F. Biber,Richard Betts,Benjamin Leon Bodirsky,Delphine Deryng,Steve Frolking,Chris D. Jones,Heike K. Lotze,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Hermann Lotze-Campen,Ritvik Sahajpal,Kirsten Thonicke,Hanqin Tian,Hanqin Tian,Yoshiki Yamagata +60 more
TL;DR: In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Concerning on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Inter- governmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC).
Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States
William Sweet,Robert E. Kopp,Christopher P. Weaver,Jayantha Obeysekera,Radley M. Horton,E. Robert Thieler,Chris Zervas +6 more
TL;DR: The Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flood Hazard Scenarios and Tools Interagency Task Force, jointly convened by the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and the National Ocean Council (NOC), began its work in August 2015.
Journal ArticleDOI
Reassessment of 20th century global mean sea level rise
Sönke Dangendorf,Marta Marcos,Guy Wöppelmann,Clinton P. Conrad,Thomas Frederikse,Riccardo Riva +5 more
TL;DR: A 20th-century GMSL reconstruction computed using an area-weighting technique for averaging tide gauge records that both incorporates up-to-date observations of vertical land motion (VLM) and corrections for local geoid changes resulting from ice melting and terrestrial freshwater storage and allows for the identification of possible differences compared with earlier attempts is presented.
References
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