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Journal ArticleDOI

Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns

TLDR
In this article, Orthogonally rotated principle component analysis (RPCA) was used to identify and describe the seasonality and persistence of the major modes of interannual variability.
Abstract
Orthogonally rotated principle component analysis (RPCA) of Northern Hemisphere 1-month mean 700 mb heights is used to identify and describe the seasonality and persistence of the major modes of interannual variability. The analysis is detailed and comprehensive, in that 1) a high resolution, approximately equal-area 358-point grid is used for the virtually maximum possible 35-year period of record, 2) a positive bias in the NMC data base in the early 1950s in the subtropics is largely eliminated for the first time, and 3) homogeneous, separate analyses of each month of the year are carried out, detailing the mouth-to-month changes in the dominant circulation patterns. Winter results are similar to those of other recent RPCA and teleconnection studies except that some less obvious patterns are identified and further detail of the better-known patterns is provided. Two north-south dipole patterns are found over the Pacific Ocean (West Pacific Oscillation and East Pacific pattern) and over the Atla...

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Journal ArticleDOI

Statistical downscaling of rainfall changes in Hawai‘i based on the CMIP5 global model projections

TL;DR: In this article, seasonal mean rainfall projections for Hawai'i are given based on statistical downscaling of the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) global model results for two future representative concentration pathways.
Journal ArticleDOI

A new climate index controlling winter wave activity along the Atlantic coast of Europe: The West Europe Pressure Anomaly

TL;DR: A pioneering and replicable method based on a 66-year numerical weather and wave hindcast is developed to optimize a climate index based on the sea level pressure (SLP) that best explains winter wave height variability along the coast of western Europe, from Portugal to UK (36-52 ∘ N) as discussed by the authors.
Journal ArticleDOI

Climate, oceanography, and recruitment: the case of the Bay of Biscay anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus)

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the possible impact of different controlling factors [North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), East Atlantic (EA) pattern, turbulence, upwelling, and river flow] upon anchovy recruitment and fishery catches.
Journal ArticleDOI

Mechanisms in macroecology: AWOL or purloined letter? Towards a pragmatic view of mechanism

TL;DR: It is suggested that macroecology needs to take a more pragmatic, less ideological approach to mechanism and that maximum entropy needs to be viewed more pragmatically and less ideologically.
Journal ArticleDOI

A recurrent neural networks approach using indices of low-frequency climatic variability to forecast regional annual runoff

TL;DR: In this article, the potential of using low-frequency climatic mode indices to forecast regional annual runoff in northern Quebec and the Labrador region was evaluated using a recurrent neural networks (RNN) approach, time-series of inflow to eight large hydropower systems in Quebec and Labrador, and indices of selected modes of climatic variability: El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO), Pacific-North American (PNA), Baffin Island-West Atlantic (BWA), and sea-level pressure (SL
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