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Showing papers on "Pore water pressure published in 2009"


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, it was shown that linear pore pressure relaxation and hydraulic fracturing are two asymptotic end members of a set of non-linear diffusional phenomena responsible for seismicity triggering.
Abstract: Borehole fluid injections are common for the development of hydrocarbon and geothermic reservoirs. Often they induce numerous microearthquakes. Spatiotemporal dynamics of such induced microseismic clouds can be used to characterize reservoirs. However, a fluid-induced seismicity can be caused by a wide range of processes. Here we show that linear pore pressure relaxation and a hydraulic fracturing are two asymptotic end members of a set of non-linear diffusional phenomena responsible for seismicity triggering. To account for the whole range of processes we propose a rather general non-linear diffusional equation describing the pore pressure evolution. This equation takes into account a possibly strong enhancement of the medium permeability. Both linear pore pressure relaxation and hydraulic fracturing can be obtained as special limiting cases of this equation. From this equation we derive the triggering front of fluid induced seismicity, which is valid in the general case of non-linear pore pressure diffusion. We demonstrate corresponding seismicity signatures on different case studies.

244 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the results of a series of resonant column tests on specimens where gas hydrate has been formed in sands using an "excess water" technique are reported.
Abstract: This paper reports the results of a series of resonant column tests on specimens where gas hydrate has been formed in sands using an “excess water” technique. In these specimens the amount of hydrate formed is restricted by the amount of gas in the specimen and with an excess of water being present in the pore space. Results of resonant column tests carried out to determine compressional and shear wave velocities suggest that gas hydrate formed in this way are frame supporting. In contrast, the behavior observed in sands where the hydrate is formed from finite water where the remaining pore space is saturated with methane gas, termed in this paper the “excess gas” method, exhibits a cementing behavior, while tetrahydrofuran-hydrate sands or where the hydrate is formed from dissolved methane within the pore water, exhibit a pore-filling behavior for hydrate saturations less than 40%. For sands where the hydrate is formed using the excess water method, much larger volumes of hydrate are required before a significant increase in shear wave velocity occurs, although increases in compressional wave velocity are seen at lower hydrate contents. These results suggest that hydrate interaction with the sediment is strongly dependent on morphology, and that natural hydrate may exhibit contrasting seismic signatures depending upon the geological environment in which it forms.

235 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the intrinsic permeability of sedimentary rocks from the western foothills of Taiwan by using nitrogen gas and distilled water as pore fluids in effective pressure cycling tests at room temperature was analyzed in view of the Klinkenberg effect.

224 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a power law for the variation of the permeability with the effective stress ( σ ′= σ − n k p f ) is proposed, and the test results are well reproduced using the proposed permeability-effective stress law.

217 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the pore water and soil suction response to rainfall was monitored and a shallow landslide was observed under partially saturated conditions for the first time in a natural setting.
Abstract: [1] Rainfall-induced landslides are pervasive in hillslope environments around the world and among the most costly and deadly natural hazards. However, capturing their occurrence with scientific instrumentation in a natural setting is extremely rare. The prevailing thinking on landslide initiation, particularly for those landslides that occur under intense precipitation, is that the failure surface is saturated and has positive pore-water pressures acting on it. Most analytic methods used for landslide hazard assessment are based on the above perception and assume that the failure surface is located beneath a water table. By monitoring the pore water and soil suction response to rainfall, we observed shallow landslide occurrence under partially saturated conditions for the first time in a natural setting. We show that the partially saturated shallow landslide at this site is predictable using measured soil suction and water content and a novel unified effective stress concept for partially saturated earth materials.

199 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, an approach for calculating the pore-water compositions of clayrocks from laboratory-measured properties of core samples, including their leachable Cl and SO4 concentrations and analysed exchangeable cations, and from mineral and cation exchange equilibria based on the formation mineralogy is presented.

198 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the effects of stress and temperature on thermal pressurization observed in the test are correctly reproduced by the model and careful analysis of the effect of mechanical and thermal deformations of the drainage and pressure measurement system is performed.
Abstract: Temperature increase in saturated porous materials under undrained conditions leads to thermal pressurization of the pore fluid due to the discrepancy between the thermal expansion coefficients of the pore fluid and of the solid matrix. This increase in the pore fluid pressure induces a reduction of the effective mean stress and can lead to shear failure or hydraulic fracturing. The equations governing the phenomenon of thermal pressurization are presented and this phenomenon is studied experimentally for a saturated granular rock in an undrained heating test under constant isotropic stress. Careful analysis of the effect of mechanical and thermal deformations of the drainage and pressure measurement system is performed and a correction of the measured pore pressure is introduced. The test results are modelled using a non-linear thermo-poro-elastic constitutive model of the granular rock with emphasis on the stress-dependent character of the rock compressibility. The effects of stress and temperature on thermal pressurization observed in the test are correctly reproduced by the model.

136 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a method for the evaluation of the permeability-porosity relationship in a low-permeability porous material using the results of a single transient test is presented.

119 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a three-dimensional model simulated tidally driven pore water flows subject to the influence of crab burrows in a salt marsh system, based on the Richards' equation, considered variably saturated flow in the marsh with a two-layer soil configuration.

117 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors characterize the mobilization and immobilization processes that control the authigenic accumulation of uranium (U), rhenium (Re), and molybdenum (Mo) in marine sediments.

117 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a micromechanical study of unsaturated granular media in the pendular regime, based on numerical experiments using the discrete element method, compared with a microstructural elastoplastic model, is presented.
Abstract: This paper presents a micromechanical study of unsaturated granular media in the pendular regime, based on numerical experiments using the discrete element method, compared with a microstructural elastoplastic model. Water effects are taken into account by adding capillary menisci at contacts and their consequences in terms of force and water volume are studied. Simulations of triaxial compression tests are used to investigate both macro and micro-effects of a partial saturation. The results provided by the two methods appear to be in good agreement, reproducing the major trends of a partially saturated granular assembly, such as the increase in the shear strength and the hardening with suction. Moreover, a capillary stress tensor is exhibited from capillary forces by using homogenization techniques. Both macroscopic and microscopic considerations emphasize an induced anisotropy of the capillary stress tensor in relation with the pore fluid distribution inside the material. Insofar as the tensorial nature of this fluid fabric implies shear effects on the solid phase associated with suction, a comparison has been made with the standard equivalent pore pressure assumption. It is shown that water effects induce microstructural phenomena that cannot be considered at the macro level, particularly when dealing with material history. Thus, the study points out that unsaturated soil stress definitions should include, besides the macroscopic stresses such as the total stress, the microscopic interparticle stresses such as the ones resulting from capillary forces, in order to interpret more precisely the implications of the pore fluid on the mechanical behaviour of granular materials. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a flow through cell is used to flood a shale core (40 mm long and 38 mm diameter) with supercritical CO 2 at a temperature of 35 ǫ ∘ C and at pressures above 7.5 MPa.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the spatial and temporal distribution of nitrate along the upwelling flow path from groundwater to surface water was observed along with the physical and chemical characteristics of streambed sediment cores together with observations of hydraulic head, dissolved oxygen, redox and nitrogen speciation using an array of nested streambed piezometers.
Abstract: For an experimental field site at the River Leith, United Kingdom, the spatial and temporal distribution of nitrate was observed along the upwelling flow path from groundwater to surface water. The study was carried out during baseflow conditions for two successive years. For two contrasting stream reaches, the physical and chemical characteristics of streambed sediment cores were analysed together with observations of hydraulic head, dissolved oxygen, redox and nitrogen speciation using an array of nested streambed piezometers. Pressure head gradients in the streambed piezometers showed that upwelling flows dominated the exchange between groundwater and surface water throughout the observation period. Infiltration of surface water into the streambed was not evident at depths below 10 cm. Pore water collected from sediment cores and streambed piezometers showed spatially variable redox conditions and nitrogen speciation within up to 100 cm depth in the streambed. In particular, nitrate concentrations along upwelling flow paths appeared to follow two opposite trends, with both decreasing and increasing nitrate concentrations being observed at different points in the experimental reach. The observed changes of nitrate concentrations in the upwelling groundwater are restricted to the loose superficial sediments that overlay the sandstone bedrock and do not appear to coincide with surface water-groundwater mixing in the streambed. The magnitude of variation in nitrate concentration along the upwelling flow path to the streambed appears to be governed by the sediment structure and characteristics in the two contrasting field sites. The results suggest that changes in redox status and pore water nitrate concentrations in the hyporheic may occur at depths greater than surface water infiltration into the streambed and may call for new conceptual understanding of hyporheic nutrient transformations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the balance laws for unsaturated porous media composed of a double-porosity solid matrix infiltrated by liquid and gas are formulated using mixture theory and derived an expression for the effective stress that is energy-conjugate to the rate of deformation of the solid matrix.
Abstract: Using mixture theory we formulate the balance laws for unsaturated porous media composed of a double-porosity solid matrix infiltrated by liquid and gas. In this context, the term ‘double porosity’ pertains to the microstructural characteristic that allows the pore spaces in a continuum to be classified into two pore subspaces. We use the first law of thermodynamics to identify energy-conjugate variables and derive an expression for the ‘effective’, or constitutive, stress that is energy-conjugate to the rate of deformation of the solid matrix. The effective stress has the form σ ¯ = σ + B p ¯ 1 , where σ is the total Cauchy stress tensor, B is the Biot coefficient, and p ¯ is the mean fluid pressure weighted according to the local degrees of saturation and pore fractions. We identify other emerging energy-conjugate pairs relevant for constitutive modeling of double-porosity unsaturated continua, including the local suction versus degree of saturation pair and the pore volume fraction versus weighted pore pressure difference pair. Finally, we use the second law of thermodynamics to determine conditions for maximum plastic dissipation in the regime of inelastic deformation for the unsaturated two-porosity mixture.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the spatial and temporal changes in hydrology and pore water elemental and 87 Sr/86 Sr compositions are used to determine contemporary weathering rates in a 65- to 226-kyr-old soil chronosequence formed from granitic sediments deposited on marine terraces along coastal California.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This paper measured U in sediments (both pore waters and solid phase) from three locations on the middle Atlantic Bight (MAB) from the eastern margin of the United States: a northern location on the continental shelf off Massachusetts (OC426, 75m water depth), and two southern locations off North Carolina (EN433-1, 647 meters water depth and EN433-2, 2648 meters water depths).

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a numerical methodology to model and simulate behavior of piles in liquefiable soils is presented, which relies on use of validated elasto-plastic material model for soil skeleton, verified fully coupled porous media (soil skeleton) -pore fluid (water) dynamic finite element formulation, and detailed load staging of FEM models.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a coupled thermoelastic model of a chemically-active rock saturated by a binary electrolyte fluid consisting of a solute and diluent is presented, which is carried out within the framework of a theory that considers conventional poro-thermal expansibility as well as the variation of chemical potential with temperature.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the effect of fine content on excess pore water pressure generation in sands and silty sands was investigated, and the findings from this study were used to develop insight into the behavior of silty sand under undrained cyclic loading conditions.
Abstract: It is well established that the main mechanism for the occurrence of liquefaction under seismic loading conditions is the generation of excess pore water pressure. Most previous research efforts have focused on clean sands, yet sand deposits with fines are more commonly found in nature. Previous laboratory liquefaction studies on the effect of fines on liquefaction susceptibility have not yet reached a consensus. This research presents an investigation on the effect of fines content on excess pore water pressure generation in sands and silty sands. Multiple series of strain-controlled cyclic direct simple shear tests were performed to directly measure the excess pore water pressure generation of sands and silty sands at different strain levels. The soil specimens were tested under three different categories: (1) at a constant relative density; (2) at a constant sand skeleton void ratio; and (3) at a constant overall void ratio. The findings from this study were used to develop insight into the behavior of silty sands under undrained cyclic loading conditions. In general, beneficial effects of the fines were observed in the form of a decrease in excess pore water pressure and an increase in the threshold strain. However, pore water pressure appears to increase when enough fines are present to create a sand skeleton void ratio greater than the maximum void ratio of the clean sand.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a pore scale model is used to model the transient diffusion of ionic tracers (22Na+, 36Cl−, and 35 SO 4 2 - ) through the Callovo-Oxfordian clay-rock.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the effect of soil permeability on the response of endbearing single piles and pile groups subjected to lateral spreading was investigated in a laminar box and simulate a mild infinite slope with a liquefiable sand layer on top of a nonliquefiable layer.
Abstract: This paper presents experimental results and analysis of six model centrifuge experiments conducted on the 150 g-ton Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute centrifuge to investigate the effect of soil permeability on the response of end-bearing single piles and pile groups subjected to lateral spreading. The models were tested in a laminar box and simulate a mild infinite slope with a liquefiable sand layer on top of a nonliquefiable layer. Three fine sand models consisting of a single pile, a 3×1 pile group, and a 2×2 pile group were tested, first using water as pore fluid, and then repeated using a viscous pore fluid, hence simulating two sands of different permeability in the field. The results were dramatically different, with the three tests simulating a low permeability soil developing 3–6 times larger pile head displacements and bending moments at the end of shaking. Deformation observations of colored sand strips, as well as measurements of sustained negative excess pore pressures near the foundations i...

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Billerbeck et al. as mentioned in this paper measured the dynamics of pH, O2 and H2S in the top 5-10 cm of an intertidal flat consisting of permeable sand.
Abstract: In this article, we describe the dynamics of pH, O2 and H2S in the top 5–10 cm of an intertidal flat consisting of permeable sand. These dynamics were measured at the low water line and higher up the flat and during several seasons. Together with pore water nutrient data, the dynamics confirm that two types of transport act as driving forces for the cycling of elements (Billerbeck et al. 2006b): Fast surface dynamics of pore water chemistry occur only during inundation. Thus, they must be driven by hydraulics (tidal and wave action) and are highly dependent on weather conditions. This was demonstrated clearly by quick variation in oxygen penetration depth: Seeps are active at low tide only, indicating that the pore water flow in them is driven by a pressure head developing at low tide. The seeps are fed by slow transport of pore water over long distances in the deeper sediment. In the seeps, high concentrations of degradation products such as nutrients and sulphide were found, showing them to be the outlets of deep-seated degradation processes. The degradation products appear toxic for bioturbating/bioirrigating organisms, as a consequence of which, these were absent in the wider seep areas. These two mechanisms driving advection determine oxygen dynamics in these flats, whereas bioirrigation plays a minor role. The deep circulation causes a characteristic distribution of strongly reduced pore water near the low water line and rather more oxidised sediments in the centre of the flats. The two combined transport phenomena determine the fluxes of solutes and gases from the sediment to the surface water and in this way create specific niches for various types of microorganisms.

Journal ArticleDOI
01 Jun 2009
TL;DR: In this paper, a method of accurately predicting changes in pore water pressure within a slope as a response to a given climate is presented. But this method is limited to the case of a diagnostic railway embankment, where rain events are of higher intensity but are less persistent.
Abstract: This paper reviews a method of accurately predicting changes in pore water pressure within a slope as a response to a given climate. Observations are made on the importance of correctly determining the hydraulic parameters and correctly assessing local climate conditions. The mechanical response of the slope to pore water pressure changes is modelled and it is shown how closely deformation magnitude and rate relates to climate. A diagnostic railway embankment is subjected to a simulated future climate scenario in which rain events are of higher intensity but are less persistent and average temperatures increase significantly. These climate changes are shown to reduce infiltration and increase evaporation, resulting in negative pore water pressures persisting throughout the winter months and providing improved stability.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: An analytical solution for the analysis of tunnels below groundwater table in plane strain axisymmetric condition is presented in this article, where the tunnel stability depends on the seepage and the pore water pressure particularly in the case of high pore pressure gradient.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the effect of seepage, pore water pressure, and bank geometry on erosion and bank stability of layered streambanks was evaluated using an intermediate-size soil lysimeter packed with a sandy clay loam top soil and an underlying fine sand layer.
Abstract: Current stream restoration practices often require anthropogenic manipulation of natural field soils to reconstruct stream banks in the absence of stabilizing vegetation. For this study, researchers conducted laboratory experiments on reconstructed, non-vegetated stream banks with layered soils experiencing seepage. The objective of the study was to determine the effect of seepage, pore water pressure, and bank geometry on erosion and bank stability of layered streambanks. The experimental design consisted of an intermediate-size soil lysimeter packed with a sandy clay loam top soil and an underlying fine sand layer at three bank slopes (90°, 45° and 26°). Shallow groundwater flow and seepage resulted in bank failure of geometrically stable banks. Pop out failures, liquid deformation, and piping were all observed failure mechanisms in the underlying sand material, dependent on the bank angle. Groundwater seepage processes created small-scale failures of the underlying sand leading to larger-scale failures of the overlying sandy clay loam. The underlying sand layer eroded according to the initial bank angle and change in overburden loading. The overlying loam layer failed along linear failure planes. The gradually sloped bank (i.e. 26° slope) failed faster, hypothesized to be due to less confining pressure and greater vertical seepage forces. Researchers analyzed the laboratory experiments using the Bank Stability and Toe Erosion Model, version 4·1. The model calculated an accurate shear surface angle similar to the failure angle observed in the lysimeter tests. The model predicted failure only for the undercut 90° bank slope, and indicated stable conditions for the other geometries. Steeper initial bank slopes and undercut banks decreased the bank factor of safety. The observed failure mechanisms and measured saturation data indicated an interaction between overburden pressure, seepage forces, and bank slope on bank stability. Future bank stability modeling would benefit by incorporating lateral seepage erosion and soil liquefaction prediction calculations. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, synchrotron X-ray difference microtomography (XDMT) was used to resolve the temporal evolution of pore structure and the distribution of colloidal deposits within a granular porous medium.
Abstract: Deposition of colloidal particles is one of many processes that lead to the evolution of the structure of natural porous media in groundwater aquifers, oil reservoirs, and sediment beds. Understanding of the mechanisms and effects of this type of structural evolution has been limited by a lack of direct observations of pore structure. Here, synchrotron X-ray difference microtomography (XDMT) was used to resolve the temporal evolution of pore structure and the distribution of colloidal deposits within a granular porous medium. Column filtration experiments were performed to observe the deposition of relatively high concentrations of colloidal zirconia (200 mg/l of particles having diameter {approx}1 {micro}m) in a packed bed of glass beads (diameters 210-300 {micro}m). Noninvasive XDMT imaging of the pore structure was performed three separate times during each column experiment. The structural information observed at each time was used to define internal boundary conditions for three-dimensional lattice Boltzmann (LB) simulations that show how the evolving pore structure affects pore fluid flow and solute transport. While the total deposit mass increased continuously over time, colloid deposition was observed to be highly heterogeneous and local colloid detachment was observed at some locations in a low ionic strength medium. LB simulations indicated thatmore » particle accumulation greatly reduced the permeability of the porous medium while increasing the tortuosity. The colloidal deposits also increased the spatial variability in pore water velocities, leading to higher dispersion coefficients. Anomalous dispersion behavior was investigated by simulation at the scale of the experimental system: weak tailing was found in the clean bed case, and the extent of tailing greatly increased following colloid deposition because of the development of extensive no-flow regions. As a result of this coupling between pore fluid flow, colloid accumulation, and the pore geometry, colloid deposition is expected to strongly influence long-term solute dynamics in cases where solute transport is either accompanied by high colloid influx or where the passage of the solute front mobilizes and then redistributes material from the porous matrix.« less

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the results of numerical modeling are presented to investigate the groundwater flow and the distribution of the pore pressure around tunnels, and an innovative water-gathering system for reducing water leakage was proposed and applied in some tunnels on ChangJi Expressway in China.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a model of pore water flow induced by pressure fluctuations from a turbulent boundary layer flow over a permeable sediment bed is presented, where the flow field in the sediment is described by the continuity equation and Darcy's law.
Abstract: [1] A model of pore water flow induced by pressure fluctuations from a turbulent boundary layer flow over a permeable sediment bed is presented. The bed has a smooth or rough flat surface without bed forms. Pressure and velocity fluctuations that penetrate from the sediment/water interface into the sediment pore system and affect mass (solute) transfer are described as periodic in space and time. The amplitude (p0) is determined from a study of the turbulent kinetic energy balance for wall turbulence; the wave number (χ) and the period (T) are given as functions of the shear velocity (U*) based on the near-bed coherent motions. The flow field in the sediment is described by the continuity equation and Darcy's law. Simulation results show that pore water velocity is faster when the shear velocity (U*) on the sediment bed and/or the permeability of the sediment bed (k) are increased. Accordingly, the exchange velocity of water or solute transfer rate across the sediment/water interface (V0) becomes larger when (U*) and (k) are increased. However, the penetration depth of pore water velocity fluctuations into the sediment bed becomes smaller when (U*) is larger, i.e., when the period of fluctuating pressure is short. Overall, this paper provides new and quantitative information on the enhancement of pore water flow in a flat sediment bed over which a turbulent current is flowing.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a hillside hollow in the Oregon Coast Range failed and mobilized as a debris flow during heavy rainfall in November 1996, and the 3D slope stability model CLARA-W, used with locally observed pore water pressure, predicted small areas with lower factors of safety within the overall slide mass.
Abstract: [1] The middle of a hillslope hollow in the Oregon Coast Range failed and mobilized as a debris flow during heavy rainfall in November 1996. Automated pressure transducers recorded high spatial variability of pore water pressure within the area that mobilized as a debris flow, which initiated where local upward flow from bedrock developed into overlying colluvium. Postfailure observations of the bedrock surface exposed in the debris flow scar reveal a strong spatial correspondence between elevated piezometric response and water discharging from bedrock fractures. Measurements of apparent root cohesion on the basal (Cb) and lateral (Cl) scarp demonstrate substantial local variability, with areally weighted values of Cb = 0.1 and Cl = 4.6 kPa. Using measured soil properties and basal root strength, the widely used infinite slope model, employed assuming slope parallel groundwater flow, provides a poor prediction of hydrologic conditions at failure. In contrast, a model including lateral root strength (but neglecting lateral frictional strength) gave a predicted critical value of relative soil saturation that fell within the range defined by the arithmetic and geometric mean values at the time of failure. The 3-D slope stability model CLARA-W, used with locally observed pore water pressure, predicted small areas with lower factors of safety within the overall slide mass at sites consistent with field observations of where the failure initiated. This highly variable and localized nature of small areas of high pore pressure that can trigger slope failure means, however, that substantial uncertainty appears inevitable for estimating hydrologic conditions within incipient debris flows under natural conditions.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a model of loading and pore pressure diffusion was proposed to investigate pore fluid pressure evolution within underthrust sediment at the Nankai subduction zone, and it was shown that the required pore pressures within the wedge are near hydrostatic (λw = 0.41-0.59).
Abstract: [1] Despite its importance for plate boundary fault processes, quantitative constraints on pore pressure are rare, especially within fault zones. Here, we combine laboratory permeability measurements from core samples with a model of loading and pore pressure diffusion to investigate pore fluid pressure evolution within underthrust sediment at the Nankai subduction zone. Independent estimates of pore pressure to ∼20 km from the trench, combined with permeability measurements conducted over a wide range of effective stresses and porosities, allow us to reliably simulate pore pressure development to greater depths than in previous studies and to directly quantify pore pressure within the plate boundary fault zone itself, which acts as the upper boundary of the underthrusting section. Our results suggest that the time-averaged excess pore pressure (P*) along the decollement ranges from 1.7–2.1 MPa at the trench to 30.2–35.9 MPa by 40 km landward, corresponding to pore pressure ratios of λb = 0.68–0.77. For friction coefficients of 0.30–0.40, the resulting shear strength along the decollement remains <12 MPa over this region. When noncohesive critical taper theory is applied using these values, the required pore pressure ratios within the wedge are near hydrostatic (λw = 0.41–0.59), implying either that pore pressure throughout the wedge is low or that the fault slips only during transient pulses of elevated pore pressure. In addition, simulated downward migration of minima in effective stress during drainage provides a quantitative explanation for down stepping of the decollement that is consistent with observations at Nankai.