Open Access
Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
TLDR
Drafting Authors: Neil Adger, Pramod Aggarwal, Shardul Agrawala, Joseph Alcamo, Abdelkader Allali, Oleg Anisimov, Nigel Arnell, Michel Boko, Osvaldo Canziani, Timothy Carter, Gino Casassa, Ulisses Confalonieri, Rex Victor Cruz, Edmundo de Alba Alcaraz, William Easterling, Christopher Field, Andreas Fischlin, Blair Fitzharris.Abstract:
Drafting Authors: Neil Adger, Pramod Aggarwal, Shardul Agrawala, Joseph Alcamo, Abdelkader Allali, Oleg Anisimov, Nigel Arnell, Michel Boko, Osvaldo Canziani, Timothy Carter, Gino Casassa, Ulisses Confalonieri, Rex Victor Cruz, Edmundo de Alba Alcaraz, William Easterling, Christopher Field, Andreas Fischlin, Blair Fitzharris, Carlos Gay García, Clair Hanson, Hideo Harasawa, Kevin Hennessy, Saleemul Huq, Roger Jones, Lucka Kajfež Bogataj, David Karoly, Richard Klein, Zbigniew Kundzewicz, Murari Lal, Rodel Lasco, Geoff Love, Xianfu Lu, Graciela Magrín, Luis José Mata, Roger McLean, Bettina Menne, Guy Midgley, Nobuo Mimura, Monirul Qader Mirza, José Moreno, Linda Mortsch, Isabelle Niang-Diop, Robert Nicholls, Béla Nováky, Leonard Nurse, Anthony Nyong, Michael Oppenheimer, Jean Palutikof, Martin Parry, Anand Patwardhan, Patricia Romero Lankao, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Stephen Schneider, Serguei Semenov, Joel Smith, John Stone, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, David Vaughan, Coleen Vogel, Thomas Wilbanks, Poh Poh Wong, Shaohong Wu, Gary Yoheread more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests
Craig D. Allen,Alison K. Macalady,Haroun Chenchouni,Dominique Bachelet,Nate G. McDowell,Michel Vennetier,Thomas Kitzberger,Andreas Rigling,David D. Breshears,Edward H. Hogg,Patrick Gonzalez,Rod Fensham,Zhen Zhang,Jorge Castro,N.A. Demidova,Jong Hwan Lim,Gillian Allard,Steven W. Running,Akkin Semerci,Neil S. Cobb +19 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress and identify key information gaps and scientific uncertainties that currently hinder our ability to predict tree mortality in response to climate change and emphasizes the need for a globally coordinated observation system.
Journal ArticleDOI
A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists
TL;DR: A new statistical explanation of MaxEnt is described, showing that the model minimizes the relative entropy between two probability densities defined in covariate space, which is likely to be a more accessible way to understand the model than previous ones that rely on machine learning concepts.
Journal ArticleDOI
Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change
TL;DR: The authors argue that societies have inherent capacities to adapt to climate change, but these capacities are bound up in their ability to act collectively, and they argue that this capacity is limited by the nature of the agents of change, states, markets and civil society.
Journal ArticleDOI
A blueprint for blue carbon: toward an improved understanding of the role of vegetated coastal habitats in sequestering CO2
Elizabeth Mcleod,Gail L. Chmura,Steven Bouillon,Rodney Salm,Mats Björk,Carlos M. Duarte,Carlos M. Duarte,Catherine E. Lovelock,William H. Schlesinger,Brian R. Silliman +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors identify key areas of uncertainty and specific actions needed to address them and identify the value of mangrove forests, seagrass beds, and salt marshes in sequestering carbon dioxide.
Journal ArticleDOI
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Kristie L. Ebi,Stephane Hallegatte,Timothy R. Carter,Ritu Mathur,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +8 more
TL;DR: A conceptual framework for how to define and develop a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for use within the scenario framework for climate change research is proposed.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Indirect Aerosol Forcing, Quasi Forcing, and Climate Response
Leon D. Rotstayn,Joyce E. Penner +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the second indirect aerosol effect related to changes in precipitation efficiency (the second indirect or Albrecht effect) is evaluated in climate models by taking the difference in net irradiance between a present-day and a preindustrial simulation using fixed sea surface temperatures (SSTs).
Journal ArticleDOI
Simulated and observed decadal variability in ocean heat content
Jonathan M. Gregory,Jonathan M. Gregory,Helene T. Banks,Peter A. Stott,Jason A. Lowe,Matthew D. Palmer +5 more
TL;DR: The HadCM3 coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) as discussed by the authors simulates the Levitus trend if both natural and anthropogenic forcings are included.
Borehole Climate Reconstructions: Spatial Structure and Hemispheric Averages
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the subhemispheric spatial correlation of ground surface temperature and surface air temperature at various spatial scales and found that the majority of grid element means are determined from three or fewer boreholes, a number that is insufficient to suppress site-specific noise via ensemble averaging.
Journal ArticleDOI
Detection of Regional Surface Temperature Trends
David J. Karoly,Qigang Wu +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, three different climate models are used to provide estimates of the internal variability of trends, one of which appears to overestimate the observed variability of surface temperature at interannual and 5-yr time scales.
Journal ArticleDOI
Estimating signal amplitudes in optimal fingerprinting. Part II: application to general circulation models
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that there is a significant low bias in standard estimates of the amplitudes of climate change signals estimated by small ensembles of coupled ocean atmosphere general circulation models.
Related Papers (5)
Summary for Policymakers
T. Barker,I. Bashmakov,Lenny Bernstein,J Bogner,Peter Bosch,Rutu Dave,Ogunlade Davidson,Brian Fisher,M. Grubb,Sunil Gupta,Kirsten Halsnæs,Bertjan Heij,S. Kahn Ribeiro,Shingo Kobayashi,Mark D. Levine,Daniel Martino,O Masera Cerutti,Bert Metz,Leo Meyer,Gert-Jan Nabuurs,Adil Najam,N Nakicenovic,Hans-Holger Rogner,Joyashree Roy,J. Sathaye,R.N. Schock,P.R. Shukla,Ralph E.H. Sims,Pete Smith,Rob Swart,Dennis Tirpak,Diana Ürge-Vorsatz,Z. Dadi +32 more