Open Access
Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
TLDR
Drafting Authors: Neil Adger, Pramod Aggarwal, Shardul Agrawala, Joseph Alcamo, Abdelkader Allali, Oleg Anisimov, Nigel Arnell, Michel Boko, Osvaldo Canziani, Timothy Carter, Gino Casassa, Ulisses Confalonieri, Rex Victor Cruz, Edmundo de Alba Alcaraz, William Easterling, Christopher Field, Andreas Fischlin, Blair Fitzharris.Abstract:
Drafting Authors: Neil Adger, Pramod Aggarwal, Shardul Agrawala, Joseph Alcamo, Abdelkader Allali, Oleg Anisimov, Nigel Arnell, Michel Boko, Osvaldo Canziani, Timothy Carter, Gino Casassa, Ulisses Confalonieri, Rex Victor Cruz, Edmundo de Alba Alcaraz, William Easterling, Christopher Field, Andreas Fischlin, Blair Fitzharris, Carlos Gay García, Clair Hanson, Hideo Harasawa, Kevin Hennessy, Saleemul Huq, Roger Jones, Lucka Kajfež Bogataj, David Karoly, Richard Klein, Zbigniew Kundzewicz, Murari Lal, Rodel Lasco, Geoff Love, Xianfu Lu, Graciela Magrín, Luis José Mata, Roger McLean, Bettina Menne, Guy Midgley, Nobuo Mimura, Monirul Qader Mirza, José Moreno, Linda Mortsch, Isabelle Niang-Diop, Robert Nicholls, Béla Nováky, Leonard Nurse, Anthony Nyong, Michael Oppenheimer, Jean Palutikof, Martin Parry, Anand Patwardhan, Patricia Romero Lankao, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Stephen Schneider, Serguei Semenov, Joel Smith, John Stone, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, David Vaughan, Coleen Vogel, Thomas Wilbanks, Poh Poh Wong, Shaohong Wu, Gary Yoheread more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests
Craig D. Allen,Alison K. Macalady,Haroun Chenchouni,Dominique Bachelet,Nate G. McDowell,Michel Vennetier,Thomas Kitzberger,Andreas Rigling,David D. Breshears,Edward H. Hogg,Patrick Gonzalez,Rod Fensham,Zhen Zhang,Jorge Castro,N.A. Demidova,Jong Hwan Lim,Gillian Allard,Steven W. Running,Akkin Semerci,Neil S. Cobb +19 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress and identify key information gaps and scientific uncertainties that currently hinder our ability to predict tree mortality in response to climate change and emphasizes the need for a globally coordinated observation system.
Journal ArticleDOI
A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists
TL;DR: A new statistical explanation of MaxEnt is described, showing that the model minimizes the relative entropy between two probability densities defined in covariate space, which is likely to be a more accessible way to understand the model than previous ones that rely on machine learning concepts.
Journal ArticleDOI
Social Capital, Collective Action, and Adaptation to Climate Change
TL;DR: The authors argue that societies have inherent capacities to adapt to climate change, but these capacities are bound up in their ability to act collectively, and they argue that this capacity is limited by the nature of the agents of change, states, markets and civil society.
Journal ArticleDOI
A blueprint for blue carbon: toward an improved understanding of the role of vegetated coastal habitats in sequestering CO2
Elizabeth Mcleod,Gail L. Chmura,Steven Bouillon,Rodney Salm,Mats Björk,Carlos M. Duarte,Carlos M. Duarte,Catherine E. Lovelock,William H. Schlesinger,Brian R. Silliman +9 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors identify key areas of uncertainty and specific actions needed to address them and identify the value of mangrove forests, seagrass beds, and salt marshes in sequestering carbon dioxide.
Journal ArticleDOI
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
Brian C. O'Neill,Elmar Kriegler,Keywan Riahi,Kristie L. Ebi,Stephane Hallegatte,Timothy R. Carter,Ritu Mathur,Detlef P. van Vuuren,Detlef P. van Vuuren +8 more
TL;DR: A conceptual framework for how to define and develop a set of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for use within the scenario framework for climate change research is proposed.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
High-Frequency Variability in Hurricane Power Dissipation and Its Relationship to Global Temperature
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigated the relationship between global mean surface air temperature (GT) and hurricane power dissipation directly using statistical analysis and showed that after removing the effect of sea surface temperature (SST), the correlation between GT and hurricane PD is negative and that the positive influence of global temperature on Atlantic hurricanes appears to be limited to an indirect connection with tropical Atlantic SST.
Journal ArticleDOI
Testing for Trend in North Atlantic Hurricane Activity, 1900–98
Andrew R. Solow,Laura J. Moore +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a further extension was made back to 1900, and the assumption in the earlier paper of an exponential linear trend was relaxed and the trend was estimated nonparametrically.
Journal ArticleDOI
A new approach to detection of anthropogenic temperature changes in the Australian region
David J. Karoly,Karl Braganza +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a new method has been applied for detecting a human influence on regional temperature changes in Australia over the last 50 years, including the whole of Australia, the southern half of Australia and the southeastern sector of Australia.
Journal ArticleDOI
Design and Analysis of Climate Model Experiments for the Efficient Estimation of Anthropogenic Signals
TL;DR: In this article, the effects of several radiative forcing factors on climate were estimated as precisely as possible from a limited suite of atmosphere-only general circulation model (GCM) integrations, including the combined effect of observed changes in sea surface temperatures, sea ice extent, stratospheric (volcanic) aerosols, and solar output.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Detection and Attribution of Climate Change Using an Ensemble of Opportunity
TL;DR: In this article, an extension to the fingerprinting technique that permits the inclusion of GCMs in the multisignal analysis of surface temperature even when the required families of ensembles have not been generated is presented.
Related Papers (5)
Summary for Policymakers
T. Barker,I. Bashmakov,Lenny Bernstein,J Bogner,Peter Bosch,Rutu Dave,Ogunlade Davidson,Brian Fisher,M. Grubb,Sunil Gupta,Kirsten Halsnæs,Bertjan Heij,S. Kahn Ribeiro,Shingo Kobayashi,Mark D. Levine,Daniel Martino,O Masera Cerutti,Bert Metz,Leo Meyer,Gert-Jan Nabuurs,Adil Najam,N Nakicenovic,Hans-Holger Rogner,Joyashree Roy,J. Sathaye,R.N. Schock,P.R. Shukla,Ralph E.H. Sims,Pete Smith,Rob Swart,Dennis Tirpak,Diana Ürge-Vorsatz,Z. Dadi +32 more